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PAOK - Aris Thessalonikis

Super League September 13, 2026 20:00
PAOK
#5 · 6 pts
vs
Aris Thessalonikis
#7 · 6 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.1%
Win
PAOK
30.43%
Draw
30.47%
Win
Aris Thessalonikis
2.32
Expected xG
1.62

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.58%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 30%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 61%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
✓ 90.5% hit rate (21 picks)
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives PAOK a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Aris Thessalonikis. Expected goals are 2.3 for PAOK and 1.6 for Aris Thessalonikis (total 3.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.58% probability. In 3 previous meetings, PAOK have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Aris Thessalonikis.

Season Stats

PAOK
6W 6D 3L
Aris Thessalonikis
7W 5D 3L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.5
1.1
Conceded
1.3
3.4
Shots OT
5.1
4.3
Corners
5.1
53%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
87%
60%
O 2.5
53%
60%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Super League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
PAOK
7W 3D 0L · at home
Aris Thessalonikis
4W 3D 3L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.1
0.3
Conceded
1.4
70%
Win %
40%
100%
Win or Draw
70%
80%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
40%
30%
O 3.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%
70%
Clean Sht
30%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ PAOK Aris Thessalonikis →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0% 3.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.5% 7.3% 5.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.2% 8.5% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.0% 6.6% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.3% 3.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

PAOK PAOK
L Panathinaikos 3–1
W Atromitos 1–2
W Levadiakos 4–0
D Panathinaikos 2–2
D AEK Athens FC 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis
L AEK Athens FC 5–0
W OFI 2–1
W Kalamata 2–3
W Levadiakos 3–0
W Volos NFC 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

PAOK PAOK
Attack
24
Defence
40
Form
37
Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis
Attack
33
Defence
45
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
PAOK
2
Draw
0
Aris Thessalonikis
8 Feb 2026 Super League 0–0
7 Dec 2025 Super League 3–1
3 Dec 2025 Cup 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3 9
2 Panetolikos Panetolikos 3 9
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 7
4 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 7
5 PAOK PAOK 3 6
6 OFI OFI 3 6
7 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 3 6
8 Iraklis 1908 Iraklis 1908 3 4
9 Volos NFC Volos NFC 3 2
10 Atromitos Atromitos 3 1
11 Kalamata Kalamata 3 1
12 Kifisia Kifisia 3 1
13 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3 0
14 Levadiakos Levadiakos 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?
The model gives PAOK a 39% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an Aris Thessalonikis win.
How many goals are expected in PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Expected goals: PAOK 2.3, Aris Thessalonikis 1.6 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.58%.