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Super League · Regular Season - 6 October 12, 2026 17:00 Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
PAOK
#5 · 15 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Kalamata
#8 · 10 pts
Cherif Ndiaye 44'
(pen.) 28' Kenneth Vargas
56' (ast. Julio Alonso) Kenneth Vargas
66' (ast. Julio Alonso) David Kurminowski
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PAOK a 39% win probability (draw 33%, Kalamata 26%). The final result was PAOK 1–3 Kalamata.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
6
1.23
Actual xG
2.35
3
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
7
Corners
2
18
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
28'
(pen.) Kenneth Vargas⚽
43'
Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro
⚽Cherif Ndiaye
44'
↕ Dimitrios Chatsidis / Andrija Živković
45'
↕ Giannis Michailidis / Aritz Elustondo
45'
56'
ast. Julio Alonso · Kenneth Vargas⚽
60'
David Kurminowski
61'
Antonis Tsiftsis
62'
↕ Dimitrios Pelkas / Dimitrios Monastirlis
63'
66'
ast. Julio Alonso · David Kurminowski⚽
73'
M. Bakayoko / Antônio Josenildo Rodrigues de Oliveira ↕
↕ Taison Barcellos Freda / Simon Banza
74'
↕ Kristijan Jakić / Ognjen ugresic
74'
78'
J. Cataldi / Djibril Diarra ↕
84'
Argyrios Liatsikouras / Ahmad Mendes Moreira ↕
84'
Arnór Sigurðsson / Erik Hamza ↕
84'
Josete Miranda / David Kurminowski ↕
Aritz Elustondo
89'
Pre-match prediction
39.93%
PAOK
33.09%
X
26.98%
Kalamata ←
we assigned to the actual result (Kalamata) 26.98% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
PAOK
0.98
1.23
+0.25
Kalamata
0.57
2.35
+1.78
Kalamata dominated by xG (2.35 vs 1.23). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 8 21
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 8 19
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 7 17
4 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 8 16
5 PAOK PAOK 8 15
6 OFI OFI 8 13
7 Kifisia Kifisia 8 11
8 Kalamata Kalamata 8 10
9 Iraklis 1908 Iraklis 1908 8 9
10 Panetolikos Panetolikos 8 9
11 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 8 6
12 Levadiakos Levadiakos 8 3
13 Atromitos Atromitos 7 2
14 Volos NFC Volos NFC 8 0
Lineups
PAOK PAOK 4-2-3-1
99 A. Tsiftsis A. Tsiftsis 62' G 5.24
21 A. Baba A. Baba D 6.17
5 G. Michailidis G. Michailidis 45' D 5.94
19 Diego Costa Diego Costa D 6.51
3 J. Kenny J. Kenny D 6.14
18 K. Jakić K. Jakić 74' M 6.41
20 C. Zafeiris C. Zafeiris M 5.92
11 Taison Taison 74' M 6.26
10 D. Pelkas D. Pelkas 63' M 6.27
52 D. Chatsidis D. Chatsidis 45' M 5.57
27 C. Ndiaye C. Ndiaye 1 ⚽ F 7.80
Bench
56 A. Mythou A. Mythou F 0.00
14 A. Živković A. Živković 45' F 7.20
7 B. Santamaría B. Santamaría M 0.00
13 D. Giannoulis D. Giannoulis D 0.00
41 D. Monastirlis D. Monastirlis 27' G 5.11
6 Elustondo Elustondo 45' D 6.10
32 G. Taylor G. Taylor D 0.00
2 M. Camara M. Camara M 0.00
16 O. Ugresić O. Ugresić 16' M 5.84
4 P. Hatzidiakos P. Hatzidiakos D 0.00
24 S. Banza S. Banza 16' F 6.72
47 S. Shoretire S. Shoretire F 0.00
Kalamata Kalamata 4-2-3-1
40 N. Vasiljević N. Vasiljević G 7.42
17 Julio Alonso Julio Alonso 2 👟 D 7.95
97 Rodrigues Rodrigues 73' D 6.82
4 S. Stroungis S. Stroungis D 6.51
22 P. Kaloutsikidis P. Kaloutsikidis D 6.32
6 D. Diarra D. Diarra 78' M 6.21
23 G. Piñeiro G. Piñeiro M 6.73
20 A. Mendes Moreira A. Mendes Moreira 84' M 5.94
24 E. Hamza E. Hamza 84' M 6.03
77 K. Vargas K. Vargas 2 ⚽ M 8.05
91 D. Kurminowski D. Kurminowski 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.72
Bench
44 A. Guessand A. Guessand D 0.00
8 A. Liatsikouras A. Liatsikouras 6' M 6.31
10 A. Sigurðsson A. Sigurðsson 6' M 6.43
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis I. Chatzitheodoridis D 0.00
1 I. Gelios I. Gelios G 0.00
32 J. Bonetto J. Bonetto F 0.00
7 J. Cataldi J. Cataldi 12' M 6.19
11 Josete Miranda Josete Miranda 6' F 6.59
19 M. J. Bakayoko M. J. Bakayoko 17' D 6.41
14 M. Soumahoro M. Soumahoro M 0.00
26 P. Ginis P. Ginis G 0.00
29 U. Ignjatović U. Ignjatović D 0.00
Best on the pitch
K. Vargas
K. Vargas
M · Kalamata
8.05
2 ⚽
5 shots · 25 pass
Julio Alonso
Julio Alonso
D · Kalamata
7.95
2 👟
· 36 pass
C. Ndiaye
C. Ndiaye
F · PAOK
7.80
1 ⚽
4 shots · 24 pass
D. Kurminowski
D. Kurminowski
F · Kalamata
7.72
1 ⚽
3 shots · 12 pass
N. Vasiljević
N. Vasiljević
G · Kalamata
7.42
· 24 pass
A. Živković
A. Živković
F · PAOK
7.20
2 shots · 22 pass
PAOK PAOK — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Tsiftsis G 62 5.24 — — 0 19 18% 0 — 1
A. Baba D 90 6.17 — — 2 41 34% 3 — —
G. Michailidis D 45 5.94 — — 0 48 39% 0 — —
Diego Costa D 90 6.51 — — 1 88 77% 0 — —
J. Kenny D 90 6.14 — — 0 45 38% 5 — —
K. Jakić M 74 6.41 — — 1 33 26% 1 — —
C. Zafeiris M 90 5.92 — — 1 59 49% 3 — —
Taison M 74 6.26 — — 1 44 38% 0 — —
D. Pelkas M 63 6.27 — — 4 24 17% 1 — —
D. Chatsidis M 45 5.57 — — 0 9 6% 1 — —
C. Ndiaye F 90 7.80 1 — 4 24 20% 0 — —
A. Živković F 45 7.20 — — 2 22 16% 2 — —
D. Monastirlis G 27 5.11 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
Elustondo D 45 6.10 — — 0 36 34% 1 1 —
O. Ugresić M 16 5.84 — — 1 5 5% 0 — —
S. Banza F 16 6.72 — — 2 2 1% 1 — —
Kalamata Kalamata — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Vasiljević G 90 7.42 — — 0 24 15% 0 — —
Julio Alonso D 90 7.95 — 2 0 36 28% 3 — —
Rodrigues D 73 6.82 — — 0 22 22% 3 — —
S. Stroungis D 90 6.51 — — 0 43 34% 2 — —
P. Kaloutsikidis D 90 6.32 — — 0 30 23% 1 — —
D. Diarra M 78 6.21 — — 1 18 10% 2 — —
G. Piñeiro M 90 6.73 — — 0 46 43% 1 1 —
A. Mendes Moreira M 84 5.94 — — 1 19 15% 2 — —
E. Hamza M 84 6.03 — — 1 16 12% 1 — —
K. Vargas M 90 8.05 2 — 5 25 19% 0 — —
D. Kurminowski F 84 7.72 1 — 3 12 10% 1 1 —
A. Liatsikouras M 6 6.31 — — 0 7 6% 1 — —
A. Sigurðsson M 6 6.43 — — 1 3 2% 0 — —
J. Cataldi M 12 6.19 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
Josete Miranda F 6 6.59 — — 0 1 0% 1 — —
M. J. Bakayoko D 17 6.41 — — 0 15 14% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PAOK vs Kalamata?
The final score was PAOK 1–3 Kalamata.
What did the model predict before PAOK vs Kalamata?
The model assigned 39% probability to a PAOK win, 33% to a draw, and 26% to an Kalamata win.