Super League
· Championship Group - 3
May 03, 2026 18:00
A. Jeremejeff
16'
A. Zivkovic
(ast. G. Konstantelias)
55'
A. Jeremejeff
(ast. A. Zivkovic)
65'
29'
(ast. Chiquinho)
A. El Kaabi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Olympiakos Piraeus a 39% win probability (draw 34%, PAOK 25%). The final result was PAOK 3–1 Olympiakos Piraeus. In 4 previous meetings, PAOK have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Olympiakos Piraeus.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
5
2.06
Actual xG
1.89
4
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
3
Corners
9
14
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Jeremejeff
16'
29'
ast. Chiquinho ·
A. El Kaabi⚽
43'
F. Ortega
C. Zafeiris
45'
⚽A. Zivkovic
· ast. G. Konstantelias
55'
⚽A. Jeremejeff
· ast. A. Zivkovic
65'
71'
C. Mouzakitis
/
D. Garcia
71'
D. Podence
/
Rodinei
Taison
/ D. Pelkas
77'
S. Meite
/ M. Ozdoev
77'
81'
Andre Luiz
/
G. Martins
A. Jeremejeff
/ A. Mythou
87'
G. Konstantelias
/ L. Ivanusec
87'
C. Zafeiris
/ A. Bianco
90'+2
90'
M. Taremi
/
Chiquinho
90'
G. Biancone
/
P. Retsos
Pre-match prediction
25.7%
PAOK ←
34.74%
X
39.57%
Olympiakos
we assigned to the actual result (PAOK)
25.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.92
2.06
+1.14
1.27
1.89
+0.62
xG dominance was balanced (2.06 – 1.89).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
21
D
5
D
16
Tomasz Kędziora
D
3
D
8
S. Meïté
77'
M
S. Meïté
77'
M
20
Christos Zafeiris
M
11
Taison
77'
M
65
Giannis Konstantelias
1 👟
87'
M
14
Andrija Živković
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
19
Alexander Jeremejeff
2 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
23
Joan Sastre
D
Joan Sastre
D
35
J. Sánchez
D
J. Sánchez
D
88
Konstantinos Tzolakis
G
Konstantinos Tzolakis
G
3
Francisco Ortega
D
Francisco Ortega
D
5
Lorenzo Pirola
D
Lorenzo Pirola
D
45
Panagiotis Retsos
D
Panagiotis Retsos
D
20
Costinha
D
Costinha
D
32
Santiago Hezze
M
Santiago Hezze
M
14
Dani García
71'
M
Dani García
71'
M
10
Gelson Martins
81'
M
Gelson Martins
81'
M
22
Chiquinho
1 👟
M
Chiquinho
1 👟
M
23
Rodinei
71'
M
Rodinei
71'
M
9
Ayoub El Kaabi
1 ⚽
F
Ayoub El Kaabi
1 ⚽
F
Bench
96
Christos Mouzakitis
25'
M
Christos Mouzakitis
25'
M
56
Daniel Podence
25'
F
Daniel Podence
25'
F
99
M. Taremi
6'
F
M. Taremi
6'
F
Best on the pitch
Alexander Jeremejeff
F · PAOK
8.20
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 16 pass
Andrija Živković
M · PAOK
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
Tomasz Kędziora
D · PAOK
7.70
· 41 pass
Konstantinos Tzolakis
G · Olympiakos
7.30
· 34 pass
Giannis Konstantelias
M · PAOK
7.20
1 👟
· 15 pass
G · PAOK
7.00
· 38 pass
PAOK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 18% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | — | — | — | |
| Tomasz Kędziora | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 33% | 3 | — | — | |
| S. Meïté | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Christos Zafeiris | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Taison | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Giannis Konstantelias | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Andrija Živković | M | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexander Jeremejeff | F | 87 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 4 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
Olympiakos Piraeus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konstantinos Tzolakis | G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Ortega | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lorenzo Pirola | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Panagiotis Retsos | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Costinha | D | 96 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Hezze | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Dani García | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Gelson Martins | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Chiquinho | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 35 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Rodinei | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Ayoub El Kaabi | F | 96 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Christos Mouzakitis | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Podence | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Taremi | F | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The final score was PAOK 3–1 Olympiakos Piraeus.
What did the model predict before PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The model assigned 25% probability to a PAOK win, 34% to a draw, and 39% to an Olympiakos Piraeus win.