Super League
· Championship Group - 3
May 03, 2026 18:00
A. Jeremejeff
16'
A. Zivkovic
(ast. G. Konstantelias)
55'
A. Jeremejeff
(ast. A. Zivkovic)
65'
29'
(ast. Chiquinho)
A. El Kaabi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Olympiakos Piraeus a 39% win probability (draw 34%, PAOK 25%). The final result was PAOK 3–1 Olympiakos Piraeus. In 4 previous meetings, PAOK have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Olympiakos Piraeus.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
5
2.06
Actual xG
1.89
4
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
3
Corners
9
14
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Jeremejeff
16'
29'
ast. Chiquinho ·
A. El Kaabi⚽
43'
F. Ortega
C. Zafeiris
45'
⚽A. Zivkovic
· ast. G. Konstantelias
55'
⚽A. Jeremejeff
· ast. A. Zivkovic
65'
71'
C. Mouzakitis
/
D. Garcia
71'
D. Podence
/
Rodinei
Taison
/ D. Pelkas
77'
S. Meite
/ M. Ozdoev
77'
81'
Andre Luiz
/
G. Martins
A. Jeremejeff
/ A. Mythou
87'
G. Konstantelias
/ L. Ivanusec
87'
C. Zafeiris
/ A. Bianco
90'+2
90'
M. Taremi
/
Chiquinho
90'
G. Biancone
/
P. Retsos
Pre-match prediction
25.7%
PAOK ←
34.74%
X
39.57%
Olympiakos
we assigned to the actual result (PAOK)
25.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.92
2.06
+1.14
1.27
1.89
+0.62
xG dominance was balanced (2.06 – 1.89).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
21
D
5
D
16
Tomasz Kędziora
D
3
D
8
S. Meïté
77'
M
S. Meïté
77'
M
20
Christos Zafeiris
M
Christos Zafeiris
M
11
Taison
77'
M
Taison
77'
M
65
G. Konstantelias
1 👟
87'
M
G. Konstantelias
1 👟
87'
M
14
A. Živković
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
A. Živković
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
19
Alexander Jeremejeff
2 ⚽
87'
F
Alexander Jeremejeff
2 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
23
Joan Sastre
D
Joan Sastre
D
35
Jorge Sánchez
D
Jorge Sánchez
D
88
Konstantinos Tzolakis
G
Konstantinos Tzolakis
G
3
Francisco Ortega
D
Francisco Ortega
D
5
Lorenzo Pirola
D
Lorenzo Pirola
D
45
Panagiotis Retsos
D
Panagiotis Retsos
D
20
Costinha
D
Costinha
D
32
S. Hezze
M
S. Hezze
M
14
Dani García
71'
M
Dani García
71'
M
10
Gelson Martins
81'
M
Gelson Martins
81'
M
22
Chiquinho
1 👟
M
Chiquinho
1 👟
M
23
Rodinei
71'
M
Rodinei
71'
M
9
A. El Kaabi
1 ⚽
F
A. El Kaabi
1 ⚽
F
Bench
96
Christos Mouzakitis
25'
M
Christos Mouzakitis
25'
M
56
Daniel Podence
25'
F
Daniel Podence
25'
F
99
M. Taremi
6'
F
M. Taremi
6'
F
Best on the pitch
Alexander Jeremejeff
F · PAOK
8.20
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 16 pass
A. Živković
M · PAOK
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
Tomasz Kędziora
D · PAOK
7.70
· 41 pass
Konstantinos Tzolakis
G · Olympiakos
7.30
· 34 pass
G. Konstantelias
M · PAOK
7.20
1 👟
· 15 pass
G · PAOK
7.00
· 38 pass
PAOK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 18% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | — | — | — | |
| Tomasz Kędziora | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 33% | 3 | — | — | |
| S. Meïté | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Christos Zafeiris | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Taison | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Konstantelias | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Živković | M | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexander Jeremejeff | F | 87 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 4 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
Olympiakos Piraeus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konstantinos Tzolakis | G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Ortega | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lorenzo Pirola | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Panagiotis Retsos | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Costinha | D | 96 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Hezze | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Dani García | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Gelson Martins | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Chiquinho | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 35 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Rodinei | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| A. El Kaabi | F | 96 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Christos Mouzakitis | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Podence | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Taremi | F | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The final score was PAOK 3–1 Olympiakos Piraeus.
What did the model predict before PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The model assigned 25% probability to a PAOK win, 34% to a draw, and 39% to an Olympiakos Piraeus win.