✓Model correct — prediction France
(pen.)
70'
K. Mbappe
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave France a 50% win probability (draw 27%, Paraguay 22%). The final result was Paraguay 0–1 France.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
11
1
Shots on target
5
0.15
Actual xG
1.36
4
Saves
1
24%
Possession
76%
1
Corners
11
26
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
19'
B. Barcola
O. Alderete
/ J. Canale
58'
J. Enciso
/ G. Caballero
61'
61'
D. Doue
/
B. Barcola
70'
(pen.)
K. Mbappe⚽
G. Gomez
/ Mauricio
71'
M. Almiron
/ G. Avalos
71'
81'
M. Kone
84'
R. Cherki
/
O. Dembele
90'+7
M. Olise
Pre-match prediction
22.08%
Paraguay
27.68%
X
50.24%
France ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (France)
50.24%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
0.15
-1.01
1.88
1.36
-0.52
France dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.15).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
O. Gill
G
O. Gill
G
6
J. Alonso
D
J. Alonso
D
3
O. Alderete
58'
D
O. Alderete
58'
D
15
G. Gómez
D
G. Gómez
D
2
Gustavo Velázquez
D
Gustavo Velázquez
D
4
J. Cáceres
D
J. Cáceres
D
23
M. Galarza
M
M. Galarza
M
14
A. Cubas
M
A. Cubas
M
8
D. Gómez
71'
M
D. Gómez
71'
M
10
M. Almirón
71'
M
M. Almirón
71'
M
19
J. Enciso
61'
F
J. Enciso
61'
F
Bench
18
A. Arce
F
A. Arce
F
17
Alejandro Romero
M
Alejandro Romero
M
26
A. Maidana
D
A. Maidana
D
9
A. Sanabria
F
A. Sanabria
F
20
Braian Ojeda
M
Braian Ojeda
M
16
Damián Bobadilla
M
Damián Bobadilla
M
5
F. Balbuena
D
F. Balbuena
D
22
Gastón Olveira
G
21
G. Ávalos
27'
F
G. Ávalos
27'
F
24
G. Caballero
37'
F
G. Caballero
37'
F
25
I. Pitta
F
I. Pitta
F
13
J. Canale
40'
D
J. Canale
40'
D
11
Maurício
27'
M
Maurício
27'
M
1
Roberto Fernández
G
Roberto Fernández
G
7
R. Sosa
F
R. Sosa
F
16
Mike Maignan
G
Mike Maignan
G
3
L. Digne
D
L. Digne
D
17
William Saliba
D
William Saliba
D
4
D. Upamecano
D
D. Upamecano
D
5
J. Koundé
D
J. Koundé
D
14
Adrien Rabiot
M
Adrien Rabiot
M
6
M. Koné
M
M. Koné
M
12
B. Barcola
61'
M
B. Barcola
61'
M
11
M. Olise
M
M. Olise
M
7
O. Dembélé
84'
M
O. Dembélé
84'
M
10
Kylian Mbappé
1 ⚽
F
Kylian Mbappé
1 ⚽
F
Bench
8
A. Tchouaméni
M
A. Tchouaméni
M
1
B. Samba
G
B. Samba
G
20
D. Doué
37'
F
D. Doué
37'
F
15
I. Konaté
D
I. Konaté
D
22
Jean-Philippe Mateta
F
Jean-Philippe Mateta
F
21
L. Hernández
D
L. Hernández
D
25
M. Akliouche
M
M. Akliouche
M
2
M. Gusto
D
M. Gusto
D
26
M. Lacroix
D
M. Lacroix
D
9
M. Thuram
F
M. Thuram
F
13
N. Kanté
M
N. Kanté
M
24
R. Cherki
14'
M
R. Cherki
14'
M
23
R. Risser
G
R. Risser
G
19
Theo Hernández
D
Theo Hernández
D
18
W. Zaïre-Emery
M
W. Zaïre-Emery
M
Best on the pitch
D. Upamecano
D · France
7.50
· 65 pass
D. Doué
F · France
7.30
· 16 pass
A. Cubas
M · Paraguay
7.30
· 22 pass
Mike Maignan
G · France
7.30
· 28 pass
J. Koundé
D · France
7.20
· 59 pass
Kylian Mbappé
F · France
7.00
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 27 pass
Paraguay — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Gill | G | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Alonso | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Alderete | D | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Velázquez | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cáceres | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Galarza | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cubas | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 7 | — | — |
| D. Gómez | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Almirón | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Enciso | F | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Ávalos | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| G. Caballero | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — | — |
| J. Canale | D | 40 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Maurício | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
France — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Maignan | G | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| L. Digne | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| William Saliba | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 66 | 63% | — | — | — |
| D. Upamecano | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 61% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Koundé | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrien Rabiot | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 61 | 50% | — | — | — |
| M. Koné | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 65% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Barcola | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Olise | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 54% | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Dembélé | M | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 98 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 5 | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| D. Doué | F | 37 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Cherki | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paraguay vs France?
The final score was Paraguay 0–1 France.
What did the model predict before Paraguay vs France?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Paraguay win, 27% to a draw, and 50% to an France win.