✓Model correct — prediction France
(pen.)
70'
K. Mbappe
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave France a 50% win probability (draw 27%, Paraguay 22%). The final result was Paraguay 0–1 France.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
11
1
Shots on target
5
0.15
Actual xG
1.36
4
Saves
1
24%
Possession
76%
1
Corners
11
26
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
19'
B. Barcola
O. Alderete
/ J. Canale
58'
J. Enciso
/ G. Caballero
61'
61'
D. Doue
/
B. Barcola
70'
(pen.)
K. Mbappe⚽
G. Gomez
/ Mauricio
71'
M. Almiron
/ G. Avalos
71'
81'
M. Kone
84'
R. Cherki
/
O. Dembele
90'+7
M. Olise
Pre-match prediction
22.08%
Paraguay
27.68%
X
50.24%
France ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (France)
50.24%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
0.15
-1.01
1.88
1.36
-0.52
France dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.15).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Orlando Gill
G
Orlando Gill
G
6
Junior Alonso
D
Junior Alonso
D
3
Omar Alderete
58'
D
Omar Alderete
58'
D
15
Gustavo Gómez
D
Gustavo Gómez
D
2
Gustavo Velázquez
D
Gustavo Velázquez
D
4
Juan Cáceres
D
Juan Cáceres
D
23
M. Galarza
M
M. Galarza
M
14
Andrés Cubas
M
Andrés Cubas
M
8
D. Gómez
71'
M
D. Gómez
71'
M
10
M. Almirón
71'
M
M. Almirón
71'
M
19
J. Enciso
61'
F
J. Enciso
61'
F
Bench
18
A. Arce
F
A. Arce
F
17
Alejandro Romero
M
Alejandro Romero
M
26
A. Maidana
D
A. Maidana
D
9
A. Sanabria
F
A. Sanabria
F
20
Braian Ojeda
M
Braian Ojeda
M
16
Damián Bobadilla
M
Damián Bobadilla
M
5
Fabián Balbuena
D
Fabián Balbuena
D
22
Gastón Olveira
G
Gastón Olveira
G
21
G. Ávalos
27'
F
G. Ávalos
27'
F
24
Gustavo Caballero
37'
F
Gustavo Caballero
37'
F
25
Isidro Pitta
F
Isidro Pitta
F
13
José Canale
40'
D
José Canale
40'
D
11
Mauricio
27'
M
Mauricio
27'
M
7
Ramón Sosa
F
Ramón Sosa
F
1
Roberto Fernández
G
Roberto Fernández
G
16
Mike Maignan
G
Mike Maignan
G
3
Lucas Digne
D
Lucas Digne
D
17
William Saliba
D
William Saliba
D
4
D. Upamecano
D
D. Upamecano
D
5
Jules Koundé
D
Jules Koundé
D
14
A. Rabiot
M
A. Rabiot
M
6
Manu Koné
M
Manu Koné
M
12
B. Barcola
61'
M
B. Barcola
61'
M
11
M. Olise
M
M. Olise
M
7
O. Dembélé
84'
M
O. Dembélé
84'
M
10
Kylian Mbappé
1 ⚽
F
Kylian Mbappé
1 ⚽
F
Bench
8
A. Tchouaméni
M
A. Tchouaméni
M
1
Brice Samba
G
Brice Samba
G
20
D. Doué
37'
F
D. Doué
37'
F
15
Ibrahima Konaté
D
Ibrahima Konaté
D
22
Jean-Philippe Mateta
F
Jean-Philippe Mateta
F
21
Lucas Hernández
D
Lucas Hernández
D
25
Maghnes Akliouche
M
Maghnes Akliouche
M
2
Malo Gusto
D
Malo Gusto
D
9
Marcus Thuram
F
Marcus Thuram
F
26
Maxence Lacroix
D
Maxence Lacroix
D
13
N'Golo Kanté
M
N'Golo Kanté
M
24
Rayan Cherki
14'
M
Rayan Cherki
14'
M
23
Robin Risser
G
Robin Risser
G
19
Theo Hernández
D
Theo Hernández
D
18
Warren Zaïre-Emery
M
Warren Zaïre-Emery
M
Best on the pitch
D. Upamecano
D · France
7.50
· 65 pass
D. Doué
F · France
7.30
· 16 pass
Andrés Cubas
M · Paraguay
7.30
· 22 pass
Mike Maignan
G · France
7.30
· 28 pass
Jules Koundé
D · France
7.20
· 59 pass
Kylian Mbappé
F · France
7.00
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 27 pass
Paraguay — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Gill | G | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Junior Alonso | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Omar Alderete | D | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Gómez | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Velázquez | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Cáceres | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Galarza | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrés Cubas | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 7 | — | — |
| D. Gómez | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Almirón | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Enciso | F | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Ávalos | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Caballero | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — | — |
| José Canale | D | 40 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
France — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Maignan | G | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Digne | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| William Saliba | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 66 | 63% | — | — | — |
| D. Upamecano | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 61% | 4 | — | — |
| Jules Koundé | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rabiot | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 61 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Manu Koné | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 65% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Barcola | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Olise | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 54% | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Dembélé | M | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 98 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 5 | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| D. Doué | F | 37 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Rayan Cherki | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paraguay vs France?
The final score was Paraguay 0–1 France.
What did the model predict before Paraguay vs France?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Paraguay win, 27% to a draw, and 50% to an France win.