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Czech Liga · Semi-finals May 10, 2026 15:00
Pardubice
#8 · 41 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Karviná
#9 · 39 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Pardubice, result Karviná vince
V. Patrak (ast. K. Vacek) 18'
45'+3 (ast. P. Kacor) O. Conde
90'+6 J. Fiala
101' Kahuan Vinicius

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pardubice a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Karviná 20%). The final result was Pardubice 1–3 Karviná. In 3 previous meetings, Pardubice have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Karviná.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
16
6
Shots on target
6
1.72
Actual xG
2.97
3
Saves
5
36%
Possession
64%
5
Corners
6
15
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽V. Patrak · ast. K. Vacek
18'
↕ K. Vacek / V. Samuel
22'
↕ M. Hlavaty / S. Misek
28'
30'
F. Prebsl
38'
D. Samko
J. Tredl
40'
45'+3
ast. P. Kacor · O. Conde⚽
↕ V. Patrak / D. Smekal
46'
S. Misek
58'
66'
P. Kacor
↕ T. Boledovic / R. Saarma
73'
↕ J. Tredl / J. Hamza
73'
77'
Y. Lawali / P. Kacor ↕
77'
J. Kristan / A. Traore ↕
85'
J. Fiala / D. Samko ↕
89'
(missed pen.) J. Kristan⚽
90'+6
J. Fiala⚽
↕ V. Samuel / F. Vecheta
91'
91'
S. Camara / Y. Skyba ↕
96'
E. Ayaosi
100'
J. Fleisman / A. Labik ↕
101'
Kahuan Vinicius⚽
112'
N. Milic / E. Ayaosi ↕
Pre-match prediction
57.24%
Pardubice
22.67%
X
20.09%
Karviná ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Karviná) 20.09% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Pardubice
1.82
1.72
-0.1
Karviná
0.89
2.97
+2.08
Karviná dominated by xG (2.97 vs 1.72). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zlin Zlin 33 38
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 33 77
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 30 71
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 33 70
2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 33 37
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 30 63
3 Plzen Plzen 33 60
3 Teplice Teplice 33 36
3 Plzen Plzen 30 53
4 Slovácko Slovácko 33 30
4 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 33 53
4 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 30 51
5 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 33 52
5 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 33 26
5 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 30 49
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 30 46
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 33 46
6 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 33 23
7 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 30 43
8 Pardubice Pardubice 30 41
9 Karviná Karviná 30 39
10 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 30 36
11 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 30 35
12 Zlin Zlin 30 34
13 Teplice Teplice 30 29
14 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 30 23
15 Slovácko Slovácko 30 23
16 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 30 22
Lineups
Pardubice Pardubice 3-4-1-2
30 Aleš Mandous Aleš Mandous G 7.50
32 Mikuláš Konečný Mikuláš Konečný D 6.30
44 Simon Bammens Simon Bammens D 6.60
12 Jan Trédl Jan Trédl 73' D 6.70
25 Ryan Mahuta Ryan Mahuta M 6.60
7 Kamil Vacek Kamil Vacek 1 👟 22' M 6.90
16 Tomáš Jelínek Tomáš Jelínek M 7.30
40 Tobias Boledovic Tobias Boledovic 73' M 6.60
19 Michal Hlavatý Michal Hlavatý 28' F 6.90
8 Vojtěch Patrák Vojtěch Patrák 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.60
28 Abdoull Tanko Abdoull Tanko F 6.20
Bench
92 Bohdan Slyubyk Bohdan Slyubyk D
9 Daniel Smékal Daniel Smékal 75' F 6.70
10 Filip Vecheta Filip Vecheta 30' F 6.70
5 Jiri Hamza Jiri Hamza 47' D 6.30
11 Jiri Zima Jiri Zima M
17 Ladislav Krobot Ladislav Krobot F
99 Luka Kharatishvili Luka Kharatishvili G
77 Robi Saarma Robi Saarma 47' M 6.30
39 S. Kopásek S. Kopásek D
18 Stepan Misek Stepan Misek 92' M 6.20
35 Victor Samuel Victor Samuel 68' F 6.60
Karviná Karviná 4-2-3-1
1 Vladimir Neuman Vladimir Neuman G 8.50
9 Albert Labík Albert Labík D 5.90
44 Yevgeniy Skyba Yevgeniy Skyba D 7.30
99 Filip Prebsl Filip Prebsl D 6.90
6 Sebastian Boháč Sebastian Boháč D 6.30
4 Aboubacar Traore Aboubacar Traore 77' M 6.90
11 Pavel Kačor Pavel Kačor 1 👟 77' M 7.30
14 Emmanuel Ayaosi Emmanuel Ayaosi M 6.90
10 Denny Samko Denny Samko 85' M 6.20
31 Ousmane Conde Ousmane Conde 1 ⚽ M 7.30
20 Kahuan Kahuan 1 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
8 Jakub Křišťan Jakub Křišťan 43' M 6.30
30 Jakub Lapes Jakub Lapes G
24 Jan Chytrý Jan Chytrý D
29 Jan Fiala Jan Fiala 1 ⚽ 35' F 8.00
25 Jiři Fleišman Jiři Fleišman 20' D 6.70
26 Lucky Ezeh Lucky Ezeh F
19 Nino Milić Nino Milić 8' D 6.70
34 Ondrej Mrozek Ondrej Mrozek G
49 Sahmkou Camara Sahmkou Camara 30' D 6.90
21 Simon Sloncik Simon Sloncik D
3 Yahaya Danjuma Lawali Yahaya Danjuma Lawali 43' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
Vladimir Neuman
Vladimir Neuman
G · Karviná
8.50
· 68 pass
Jan Fiala
Jan Fiala
F · Karviná
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 8 pass
Kahuan
Kahuan
F · Karviná
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 35 pass
Vojtěch Patrák
Vojtěch Patrák
F · Pardubice
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
Aleš Mandous
Aleš Mandous
G · Pardubice
7.50
· 49 pass
Ousmane Conde
Ousmane Conde
M · Karviná
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 23 pass
Pardubice Pardubice — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Aleš Mandous G 120 7.50 — — — 49 31% — — —
Mikuláš Konečný D 120 6.30 — — 1 34 20% 2 — —
Simon Bammens D 120 6.60 — — — 38 29% 2 — —
Jan Trédl D 73 6.70 — — 1 16 14% 2 1 —
Ryan Mahuta M 120 6.60 — — — 27 18% — — —
Kamil Vacek M 22 6.90 — 1 — 4 4% — — —
Tomáš Jelínek M 120 7.30 — — 1 33 22% 2 — —
Tobias Boledovic M 73 6.60 — — — 11 8% — — —
Michal Hlavatý F 28 6.90 — — — 12 9% — — —
Vojtěch Patrák F 45 7.60 1 — 2 9 8% — — —
Abdoull Tanko F 120 6.20 — — 2 24 15% 1 — —
Daniel Smékal F 75 6.70 — — 2 22 10% — — —
Filip Vecheta F 30 6.70 — — 1 10 8% — — —
Jiri Hamza D 47 6.30 — — — 9 5% 2 — —
Robi Saarma M 47 6.30 — — — 15 11% 1 — —
Stepan Misek M 92 6.20 — — 1 22 16% 2 1 —
Victor Samuel F 68 6.60 — — 2 15 9% 1 — —
Karviná Karviná — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Vladimir Neuman G 120 8.50 — — — 68 55% — — —
Albert Labík D 100 5.90 — — 1 62 47% 1 — —
Yevgeniy Skyba D 90 7.30 — — — 76 67% 1 — —
Filip Prebsl D 120 6.90 — — — 77 66% 3 1 —
Sebastian Boháč D 120 6.30 — — — 58 48% 1 — —
Aboubacar Traore M 77 6.90 — — 1 31 29% 1 — —
Pavel Kačor M 77 7.30 — 1 1 36 27% 2 1 —
Emmanuel Ayaosi M 112 6.90 — — 2 28 24% 1 1 —
Denny Samko M 85 6.20 — — 2 19 12% 4 1 —
Ousmane Conde M 120 7.30 1 — 4 23 20% 1 — —
Kahuan F 120 7.70 1 — 2 35 31% — — —
Jakub Křišťan M 43 6.30 — — 1 32 30% 1 — —
Jan Fiala F 35 8.00 1 — 2 8 8% — — —
Jiři Fleišman D 20 6.70 — — — 13 8% — — —
Nino Milić D 8 6.70 — — — 4 2% — — —
Sahmkou Camara D 30 6.90 — — — 22 20% — — —
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali M 43 6.90 — — — 32 26% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pardubice vs Karviná?
The final score was Pardubice 1–3 Karviná.
What did the model predict before Pardubice vs Karviná?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Pardubice win, 22% to a draw, and 20% to an Karviná win.