Czech Liga
· Semi-finals
May 10, 2026 15:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Pardubice, result Karviná wins
V. Patrak
(ast. K. Vacek)
18'
45'+3
(ast. P. Kacor)
O. Conde
90'+6
J. Fiala
101'
Kahuan Vinicius
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pardubice a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Karviná 20%). The final result was Pardubice 1–3 Karviná. In 3 previous meetings, Pardubice have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Karviná.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
16
6
Shots on target
6
1.72
Actual xG
2.97
3
Saves
5
36%
Possession
64%
5
Corners
6
15
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽V. Patrak
· ast. K. Vacek
18'
K. Vacek
/ V. Samuel
22'
M. Hlavaty
/ S. Misek
28'
30'
F. Prebsl
38'
D. Samko
J. Tredl
40'
45'+3
ast. P. Kacor ·
O. Conde⚽
V. Patrak
/ D. Smekal
46'
S. Misek
58'
66'
P. Kacor
T. Boledovic
/ R. Saarma
73'
J. Tredl
/ J. Hamza
73'
77'
Y. Lawali
/
P. Kacor
77'
J. Kristan
/
A. Traore
85'
J. Fiala
/
D. Samko
89'
(missed pen.)
J. Kristan⚽
90'+6
J. Fiala⚽
V. Samuel
/ F. Vecheta
91'
91'
S. Camara
/
Y. Skyba
96'
E. Ayaosi
100'
J. Fleisman
/
A. Labik
101'
Kahuan Vinicius⚽
112'
N. Milic
/
E. Ayaosi
Pre-match prediction
57.24%
Pardubice
22.67%
X
20.09%
Karviná ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Karviná)
20.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.82
1.72
-0.1
0.89
2.97
+2.08
Karviná dominated by xG (2.97 vs 1.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Aleš Mandous
G
Aleš Mandous
G
32
Mikuláš Konečný
D
Mikuláš Konečný
D
44
Simon Bammens
D
Simon Bammens
D
12
J. Trédl
73'
D
J. Trédl
73'
D
25
R. Mahuta
M
R. Mahuta
M
7
Kamil Vacek
1 👟
22'
M
Kamil Vacek
1 👟
22'
M
16
T. Jelínek
M
T. Jelínek
M
40
T. Boledovic
73'
M
T. Boledovic
73'
M
19
M. Hlavatý
28'
F
M. Hlavatý
28'
F
8
Vojtěch Patrák
1 ⚽
45'
F
Vojtěch Patrák
1 ⚽
45'
F
28
A. Tanko
F
A. Tanko
F
Bench
92
B. Slyubyk
D
B. Slyubyk
D
9
D. Smékal
75'
F
D. Smékal
75'
F
10
F. Vecheta
30'
F
F. Vecheta
30'
F
5
Jiri Hamza
47'
D
Jiri Hamza
47'
D
11
J. Zima
M
J. Zima
M
99
L. Kharatishvili
G
L. Kharatishvili
G
17
L. Krobot
F
L. Krobot
F
77
R. Saarma
47'
M
R. Saarma
47'
M
39
S. Kopásek
D
S. Kopásek
D
18
Stepan Misek
92'
M
Stepan Misek
92'
M
35
V. Samuel
68'
F
V. Samuel
68'
F
1
V. Neuman
G
V. Neuman
G
9
A. Labík
D
A. Labík
D
44
Y. Skyba
D
Y. Skyba
D
99
F. Prebsl
D
F. Prebsl
D
6
S. Boháč
D
S. Boháč
D
4
A. Traoré
77'
M
A. Traoré
77'
M
11
Pavel Kacor
1 👟
77'
M
Pavel Kacor
1 👟
77'
M
14
E. Ayaosi
M
E. Ayaosi
M
10
Denny Samko
85'
M
Denny Samko
85'
M
31
Ousmane Conde
1 ⚽
M
Ousmane Conde
1 ⚽
M
20
Kahuan Vinicius
1 ⚽
F
Kahuan Vinicius
1 ⚽
F
Bench
8
Jakub Křišťan
43'
M
Jakub Křišťan
43'
M
30
Jakub Lapes
G
Jakub Lapes
G
24
Jan Chytrý
D
Jan Chytrý
D
29
J. Fiala
1 ⚽
35'
F
J. Fiala
1 ⚽
35'
F
25
J. Fleišman
20'
D
J. Fleišman
20'
D
26
L. Ezeh
F
L. Ezeh
F
19
Nino Milić
8'
D
Nino Milić
8'
D
34
Ondrej Mrozek
G
Ondrej Mrozek
G
49
S. Camara
30'
D
S. Camara
30'
D
21
Š. Slončík
D
Š. Slončík
D
3
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali
43'
M
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali
43'
M
Best on the pitch
V. Neuman
G · Karviná
8.50
· 68 pass
J. Fiala
F · Karviná
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
Kahuan Vinicius
F · Karviná
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 35 pass
Vojtěch Patrák
F · Pardubice
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Aleš Mandous
G · Pardubice
7.50
· 49 pass
Ousmane Conde
M · Karviná
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 23 pass
Pardubice — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleš Mandous | G | 120 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Mikuláš Konečný | D | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Simon Bammens | D | 120 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Trédl | D | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Mahuta | M | 120 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Kamil Vacek | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Jelínek | M | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Boledovic | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Hlavatý | F | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Vojtěch Patrák | F | 45 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Tanko | F | 120 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Smékal | F | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 10% | — | — | — |
| F. Vecheta | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jiri Hamza | D | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Saarma | M | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Stepan Misek | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| V. Samuel | F | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Karviná — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Neuman | G | 120 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 55% | — | — | — |
| A. Labík | D | 100 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Skyba | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 76 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Prebsl | D | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 77 | 66% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Boháč | D | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Traoré | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Pavel Kacor | M | 77 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Ayaosi | M | 112 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Denny Samko | M | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 12% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Ousmane Conde | M | 120 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Kahuan Vinicius | F | 120 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Jakub Křišťan | M | 43 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Fiala | F | 35 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Fleišman | D | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Nino Milić | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Camara | D | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Yahaya Danjuma Lawali | M | 43 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pardubice vs Karviná?
The final score was Pardubice 1–3 Karviná.
What did the model predict before Pardubice vs Karviná?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Pardubice win, 22% to a draw, and 20% to an Karviná win.