Czech Liga
· Semi-finals
May 10, 2026 15:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Pardubice, result Karviná wins
V. Patrak
(ast. K. Vacek)
18'
45'+3
(ast. P. Kacor)
O. Conde
90'+6
J. Fiala
101'
Kahuan Vinicius
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pardubice a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Karviná 20%). The final result was Pardubice 1–3 Karviná. In 3 previous meetings, Pardubice have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Karviná.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
16
6
Shots on target
6
1.72
Actual xG
2.97
3
Saves
5
36%
Possession
64%
5
Corners
6
15
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽V. Patrak
· ast. K. Vacek
18'
K. Vacek
/ V. Samuel
22'
M. Hlavaty
/ S. Misek
28'
30'
F. Prebsl
38'
D. Samko
J. Tredl
40'
45'+3
ast. P. Kacor ·
O. Conde⚽
V. Patrak
/ D. Smekal
46'
S. Misek
58'
66'
P. Kacor
T. Boledovic
/ R. Saarma
73'
J. Tredl
/ J. Hamza
73'
77'
Y. Lawali
/
P. Kacor
77'
J. Kristan
/
A. Traore
85'
J. Fiala
/
D. Samko
89'
(missed pen.)
J. Kristan⚽
90'+6
J. Fiala⚽
V. Samuel
/ F. Vecheta
91'
91'
S. Camara
/
Y. Skyba
96'
E. Ayaosi
100'
J. Fleisman
/
A. Labik
101'
Kahuan Vinicius⚽
112'
N. Milic
/
E. Ayaosi
Pre-match prediction
57.24%
Pardubice
22.67%
X
20.09%
Karviná ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Karviná)
20.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.82
1.72
-0.1
0.89
2.97
+2.08
Karviná dominated by xG (2.97 vs 1.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Aleš Mandous
G
Aleš Mandous
G
32
Mikuláš Konečný
D
Mikuláš Konečný
D
44
Simon Bammens
D
Simon Bammens
D
12
Jan Trédl
73'
D
Jan Trédl
73'
D
25
Ryan Mahuta
M
Ryan Mahuta
M
7
Kamil Vacek
1 👟
22'
M
Kamil Vacek
1 👟
22'
M
16
Tomáš Jelínek
M
Tomáš Jelínek
M
40
Tobias Boledovic
73'
M
Tobias Boledovic
73'
M
19
Michal Hlavatý
28'
F
Michal Hlavatý
28'
F
8
Vojtěch Patrák
1 ⚽
45'
F
Vojtěch Patrák
1 ⚽
45'
F
28
Abdoull Tanko
F
Abdoull Tanko
F
Bench
92
Bohdan Slyubyk
D
Bohdan Slyubyk
D
9
Daniel Smékal
75'
F
Daniel Smékal
75'
F
10
Filip Vecheta
30'
F
Filip Vecheta
30'
F
5
Jiri Hamza
47'
D
Jiri Hamza
47'
D
11
Jiri Zima
M
Jiri Zima
M
17
Ladislav Krobot
F
Ladislav Krobot
F
99
Luka Kharatishvili
G
Luka Kharatishvili
G
77
Robi Saarma
47'
M
Robi Saarma
47'
M
39
S. Kopásek
D
S. Kopásek
D
18
Stepan Misek
92'
M
Stepan Misek
92'
M
35
Victor Samuel
68'
F
Victor Samuel
68'
F
1
Vladimir Neuman
G
Vladimir Neuman
G
9
Albert Labík
D
Albert Labík
D
44
Yevgeniy Skyba
D
Yevgeniy Skyba
D
99
Filip Prebsl
D
Filip Prebsl
D
6
Sebastian Boháč
D
Sebastian Boháč
D
4
Aboubacar Traore
77'
M
Aboubacar Traore
77'
M
11
Pavel Kačor
1 👟
77'
M
Pavel Kačor
1 👟
77'
M
14
Emmanuel Ayaosi
M
Emmanuel Ayaosi
M
10
Denny Samko
85'
M
Denny Samko
85'
M
31
Ousmane Conde
1 ⚽
M
Ousmane Conde
1 ⚽
M
20
Kahuan
1 ⚽
F
Kahuan
1 ⚽
F
Bench
8
Jakub Křišťan
43'
M
Jakub Křišťan
43'
M
30
Jakub Lapes
G
Jakub Lapes
G
24
Jan Chytrý
D
Jan Chytrý
D
29
Jan Fiala
1 ⚽
35'
F
Jan Fiala
1 ⚽
35'
F
25
J. Fleišman
20'
D
J. Fleišman
20'
D
26
Lucky Ezeh
F
Lucky Ezeh
F
19
Nino Milić
8'
D
Nino Milić
8'
D
34
Ondrej Mrozek
G
Ondrej Mrozek
G
49
Sahmkou Camara
30'
D
Sahmkou Camara
30'
D
21
Simon Sloncik
D
Simon Sloncik
D
3
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali
43'
M
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali
43'
M
Best on the pitch
Vladimir Neuman
G · Karviná
8.50
· 68 pass
Jan Fiala
F · Karviná
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
Kahuan
F · Karviná
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 35 pass
Vojtěch Patrák
F · Pardubice
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Aleš Mandous
G · Pardubice
7.50
· 49 pass
Ousmane Conde
M · Karviná
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 23 pass
Pardubice — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleš Mandous | G | 120 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Mikuláš Konečný | D | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Simon Bammens | D | 120 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Jan Trédl | D | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ryan Mahuta | M | 120 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Kamil Vacek | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Tomáš Jelínek | M | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Tobias Boledovic | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Michal Hlavatý | F | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Vojtěch Patrák | F | 45 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Abdoull Tanko | F | 120 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Smékal | F | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Filip Vecheta | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jiri Hamza | D | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Robi Saarma | M | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Stepan Misek | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Victor Samuel | F | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Karviná — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Neuman | G | 120 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Albert Labík | D | 100 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Yevgeniy Skyba | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 76 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Filip Prebsl | D | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 77 | 66% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Sebastian Boháč | D | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Aboubacar Traore | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Pavel Kačor | M | 77 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Emmanuel Ayaosi | M | 112 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Denny Samko | M | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 12% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Ousmane Conde | M | 120 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Kahuan | F | 120 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Jakub Křišťan | M | 43 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Jan Fiala | F | 35 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Fleišman | D | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Nino Milić | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Sahmkou Camara | D | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Yahaya Danjuma Lawali | M | 43 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pardubice vs Karviná?
The final score was Pardubice 1–3 Karviná.
What did the model predict before Pardubice vs Karviná?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Pardubice win, 22% to a draw, and 20% to an Karviná win.