Czech Liga
· Regular Season - 4
August 15, 2026 17:00
V. Patrak
10'
75'
(ast. D. Kozel)
M. Subert
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pardubice a 34% win probability (draw 30%, Mlada Boleslav 34%). The final result was Pardubice 1–1 Mlada Boleslav. In 2 previous meetings, Pardubice have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mlada Boleslav.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
3
1.37
Actual xG
0.75
31%
Possession
69%
4
Corners
10
Match Events
⚽V. Patrak
10'
16'
A. Majer
E. Godwin
18'
V. Patrak
/ D. Smekal
33'
T. Solil
/ J. Noslin
41'
T. Jelinek
/ M. Icha
46'
V. Drchal
/ Kahuan Vinicius
61'
J. Tredl
/ R. Mahuta
62'
66'
J. Buryan
/
D. Langhamer
67'
J. Kolarik
/
S. John
67'
D. Mares
/
D. Donat
Kahuan Vinicius
74'
S. Simek
74'
75'
ast. D. Kozel ·
M. Subert⚽
79'
L. Letenay
/
J. Klima
Pre-match prediction
34.81%
Pardubice
30.24%
X ←
34.95%
Mlada
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.61
1.37
-0.24
1.93
0.75
-1.18
Pardubice dominated by xG (1.37 vs 0.75).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?
The final score was Pardubice 1–1 Mlada Boleslav.
What did the model predict before Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Pardubice win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Mlada Boleslav win.