Paredes - Fafe
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.6%
Win
Paredes
29.49%
Draw
32.91%
Win
Fafe
2.1
1.89
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.6%)
1X2 Result
1
38%
X
29%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
62%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Paredes a 37% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Fafe. Expected goals are 2.1 for Paredes and 1.9 for Fafe (total 4.0), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.6% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Paredes have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for Fafe.
Season Stats
7W
3D
5L
6W
6D
3L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.3
0.9
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
53%
O 1.5
60%
47%
O 2.5
47%
47%
BTTS
53%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga 3. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
4W
5D
1L
· at home
4W
2D
4L
· away
1.6
gls/g
1.5
0.7
Conceded
0.9
40%
Win %
40%
90%
Win or Draw
60%
60%
O 1.5
50%
60%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%
50%
Clean Sht
40%
40%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Paredes
Fafe →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 4.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Paredes
Attack
24
Defence
59
Form
43
Fafe
Attack
26
Defence
59
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Liga 3 - A
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paredes
|
4 | 9 |
| 2 |
Varzim
|
5 | 9 |
| 3 |
Fafe
|
4 | 8 |
| 4 |
Vianense
|
5 | 8 |
| 5 |
AD Marco 09
|
4 | 7 |
| 6 |
Guimaraes B
|
4 | 5 |
| 7 |
Trofense
|
4 | 4 |
| 8 |
Leça
|
4 | 4 |
| 9 |
São João Ver
|
4 | 2 |
| 10 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
4 | 1 |
What's at stake · Liga 3 - A
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #3 |
| → Paredes | #1 | #3 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Fafe | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Paredes vs Fafe?
The model gives Paredes a 37% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 32% for an Fafe win.
How many goals are expected in Paredes vs Fafe?
Expected goals: Paredes 2.1, Fafe 1.9 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Paredes vs Fafe?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.6%.