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Paredes - Famalicao

Taça de Portugal October 17, 2026 16:00
Paredes
vs
Famalicao
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.75%
Win
Paredes
20.31%
Draw
20.94%
Win
Famalicao
3.08
Expected xG
1.29
Most likely outcome
Paredes
58.75%
Probability

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.25%)
1X2 Result
1 59%
X 20%
2 21%
Double Chance
1X 79%
X2 41%
12 80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 72%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Paredes a 58% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Famalicao. Expected goals are 3.1 for Paredes and 1.3 for Famalicao (total 4.4), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.25% probability.

Season Stats

Paredes
2W 0D 1L
Famalicao
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.7
Goals
2.0
1.3
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
67%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Paredes
1W 0D 1L · at home
Famalicao
2W 0D 1L · away
2.5
gls/g
2.0
1.5
Conceded
1.7
50%
Win %
67%
50%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
33%
50%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Paredes Famalicao →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 3.9% 5.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.0% 7.7% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.2% 8.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.8% 6.1% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.9% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Paredes Paredes
W Maria da Fonte 5–1
W Ermesinde 1–3
L Chaves 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 15%
Famalicao Famalicao
L FC Porto 4–1
W Estoril 1–2
W São João Ver 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Paredes Paredes
Attack
59
Defence
76
Form
75
Famalicao Famalicao
Attack
34
Defence
74
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Paredes vs Famalicao?
The model gives Paredes a 58% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 20% for an Famalicao win.
How many goals are expected in Paredes vs Famalicao?
Expected goals: Paredes 3.1, Famalicao 1.3 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Paredes vs Famalicao?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.25%.