Paredes - Maria da Fonte
Taça de Portugal
September 20, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.14%
Win
Paredes
30.19%
Draw
29.67%
Win
Maria da Fonte
3.19
0.73
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(13.08%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
30%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
60%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Paredes a 40% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Maria da Fonte. Expected goals are 3.2 for Paredes and 0.7 for Maria da Fonte (total 3.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.08% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.0
1.5
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Paredes
Maria da Fonte →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 10.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 10.7% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Paredes
Attack
52
Defence
70
Form
67
Maria da Fonte
Attack
14
Defence
76
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Paredes vs Maria da Fonte?
The model gives Paredes a 40% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 29% for an Maria da Fonte win.
How many goals are expected in Paredes vs Maria da Fonte?
Expected goals: Paredes 3.2, Maria da Fonte 0.7 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Paredes vs Maria da Fonte?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.08%.