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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 17:15
Paris FC
#11 · 41 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Le Havre
#14 · 32 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris FC a 51% win probability (draw 31%, Le Havre 16%). The final result was Paris FC 3–2 Le Havre. In 1 previous meetings, Paris FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Le Havre.

Match statistics
4
Shots on target
6
1.94
Actual xG
2.19
41%
Possession
59%
9
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
51.73%
Paris ←
31.42%
X
16.84%
Le
we assigned to the actual result (Paris FC) 51.73% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
1.16
1.94
+0.78
Le
0.60
2.19
+1.6
xG dominance was balanced (1.94 – 2.19). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris FC vs Le Havre?
The final score was Paris FC 3–2 Le Havre.
What did the model predict before Paris FC vs Le Havre?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Paris FC win, 31% to a draw, and 16% to an Le Havre win.