(pen.)
26'
M. Fernandez-Pardo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lille a 42% win probability (draw 23%, Paris FC 33%). The final result was Paris FC 0–1 Lille. In 1 previous meetings, Paris FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lille.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
4
1.06
Actual xG
1.70
3
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
3
19
Tackles
15
6
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
M. Mbow
10'
26'
(pen.)
M. Fernandez-Pardo⚽
M. Lopez
/ R. Matondo
46'
M. Munetsi
/ A. Gory
46'
49'
A. Bouaddi
63'
B. Andre
M. Simon
/ I. Kebbal
69'
C. Immobile
/ L. Koleosho
69'
J. Ikone
72'
⚽I. Kebbal
(missed pen.)
74'
78'
E. Mbappe
/
H. Haraldsson
83'
O. Giroud
/
M. Fernandez-Pardo
83'
G. Perrin
/
F. Correia
P. Lees-Melou
85'
P. Lees-Melou
85'
P. Lees-Melou
85'
A. Camara
/ H. Traore
90'+2
90'+4
N. Ngoy
A. Gory
90'+4
I. Kebbal
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.73%
Paris
23.6%
X
42.67%
Lille ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lille)
42.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.46
1.06
-0.4
1.74
1.70
-0.04
Lille dominated by xG (1.70 vs 1.06).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
35
Kevin Trapp
G
Kevin Trapp
G
19
D
5
Moustapha Mbow
D
Moustapha Mbow
D
42
D
17
A. Camara
D
A. Camara
D
21
M. Lopez
45'
M
M. Lopez
45'
M
33
Pierre Lees Melou
85'
M
Pierre Lees Melou
85'
M
27
M. Simon
69'
M
M. Simon
69'
M
18
Marshall Munetsi
45'
M
93
J. Ikoné
M
J. Ikoné
M
36
C. Immobile
69'
F
C. Immobile
69'
F
Bench
7
Alimami Gory
51'
F
Alimami Gory
51'
F
14
Hamari Traoré
4'
D
Hamari Traoré
4'
D
10
I. Kebbal
27'
M
I. Kebbal
27'
M
24
Luca Koleosho
27'
F
Luca Koleosho
27'
F
6
Otávio
D
Otávio
D
23
Rudy Matondo
51'
M
Rudy Matondo
51'
M
9
Willem Geubbels
F
Willem Geubbels
F
1
Berke Özer
G
Berke Özer
G
15
R. Perraud
D
R. Perraud
D
23
Aïssa Mandi
D
Aïssa Mandi
D
3
N. Ngoy
D
N. Ngoy
D
12
Thomas Meunier
D
Thomas Meunier
D
32
Ayyoub Bouaddi
M
Ayyoub Bouaddi
M
21
B. André
M
B. André
M
27
Félix Correia
83'
M
Félix Correia
83'
M
10
H. Haraldsson
78'
M
H. Haraldsson
78'
M
17
N. Mukau
M
N. Mukau
M
7
Matías Fernández-Pardo
1 ⚽
83'
F
Matías Fernández-Pardo
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
24
Calvin Verdonk
D
18
Chancel Mbemba
D
Chancel Mbemba
D
8
Ethan Mbappé
18'
M
Ethan Mbappé
18'
M
28
Gaëtan Perrin
13'
F
Gaëtan Perrin
13'
F
9
Olivier Giroud
13'
F
Olivier Giroud
13'
F
22
T. Santos
D
Best on the pitch
Rudy Matondo
M · Paris
7.50
· 19 pass
Aïssa Mandi
D · Lille
7.50
· 66 pass
N. Mukau
M · Lille
7.20
· 50 pass
B. André
M · Lille
7.20
2 shots
· 62 pass
N. Ngoy
D · Lille
7.20
· 43 pass
R. Perraud
D · Lille
7.20
1 shots
· 37 pass
Paris FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Trapp | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 2 | — | — | |
| Moustapha Mbow | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — | |
| A. Camara | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Lopez | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Pierre Lees Melou | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| M. Simon | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Marshall Munetsi | M | 45 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Ikoné | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Immobile | F | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Alimami Gory | F | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Hamari Traoré | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| I. Kebbal | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Luca Koleosho | F | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Rudy Matondo | M | 51 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
Lille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berke Özer | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 22% | — | — | — |
| R. Perraud | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Aïssa Mandi | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | — | — | — |
| N. Ngoy | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| Thomas Meunier | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Ayyoub Bouaddi | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. André | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 55% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Félix Correia | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Haraldsson | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Mukau | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| Matías Fernández-Pardo | F | 83 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ethan Mbappé | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Gaëtan Perrin | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Olivier Giroud | F | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris FC vs Lille?
The final score was Paris FC 0–1 Lille.
What did the model predict before Paris FC vs Lille?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Paris FC win, 23% to a draw, and 42% to an Lille win.