(pen.)
26'
M. Fernandez-Pardo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lille a 42% win probability (draw 23%, Paris FC 33%). The final result was Paris FC 0–1 Lille. In 1 previous meetings, Paris FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lille.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
4
1.06
Actual xG
1.70
3
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
3
19
Tackles
15
6
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
M. Mbow
10'
26'
(pen.)
M. Fernandez-Pardo⚽
M. Lopez
/ R. Matondo
46'
M. Munetsi
/ A. Gory
46'
49'
A. Bouaddi
63'
B. Andre
M. Simon
/ I. Kebbal
69'
C. Immobile
/ L. Koleosho
69'
J. Ikone
72'
⚽I. Kebbal
(missed pen.)
74'
78'
E. Mbappe
/
H. Haraldsson
83'
O. Giroud
/
M. Fernandez-Pardo
83'
G. Perrin
/
F. Correia
P. Lees-Melou
85'
P. Lees-Melou
85'
P. Lees-Melou
85'
A. Camara
/ H. Traore
90'+2
90'+4
N. Ngoy
A. Gory
90'+4
I. Kebbal
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.73%
Paris
23.6%
X
42.67%
Lille ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lille)
42.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.46
1.06
-0.4
1.74
1.70
-0.04
Lille dominated by xG (1.70 vs 1.06).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
35
K. Trapp
G
K. Trapp
G
19
D
5
M. Mbow
D
M. Mbow
D
42
D
17
A. Camara
D
A. Camara
D
21
M. Lopez
45'
M
M. Lopez
45'
M
33
P. Lees-Melou
85'
M
P. Lees-Melou
85'
M
27
M. Simon
69'
M
M. Simon
69'
M
18
M. Munetsi
45'
M
M. Munetsi
45'
M
93
J. Ikoné
M
J. Ikoné
M
36
C. Immobile
69'
F
C. Immobile
69'
F
Bench
7
A. Gory
51'
F
A. Gory
51'
F
14
H. Traoré
4'
D
H. Traoré
4'
D
10
I. Kebbal
27'
M
I. Kebbal
27'
M
24
L. Koleosho
27'
F
L. Koleosho
27'
F
6
Otávio
D
Otávio
D
23
R. Matondo
51'
M
R. Matondo
51'
M
9
Willem Geubbels
F
Willem Geubbels
F
1
B. Özer
G
B. Özer
G
15
R. Perraud
D
R. Perraud
D
23
A. Mandi
D
A. Mandi
D
3
N. Ngoy
D
N. Ngoy
D
12
T. Meunier
D
T. Meunier
D
32
A. Bouaddi
M
A. Bouaddi
M
21
B. André
M
B. André
M
27
Félix Correia
83'
M
Félix Correia
83'
M
10
H. Haraldsson
78'
M
H. Haraldsson
78'
M
17
N. Mukau
M
N. Mukau
M
7
M. Fernandez-Pardo
1 ⚽
83'
F
M. Fernandez-Pardo
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
18
C. Mbemba
D
C. Mbemba
D
24
C. Verdonk
D
C. Verdonk
D
8
E. Mbappé
18'
M
E. Mbappé
18'
M
28
G. Perrin
13'
F
G. Perrin
13'
F
9
O. Giroud
13'
F
O. Giroud
13'
F
22
Tiago Santos
D
Tiago Santos
D
Best on the pitch
R. Matondo
M · Paris
7.50
· 19 pass
A. Mandi
D · Lille
7.50
· 66 pass
N. Mukau
M · Lille
7.20
· 50 pass
B. André
M · Lille
7.20
2 shots
· 62 pass
N. Ngoy
D · Lille
7.20
· 43 pass
R. Perraud
D · Lille
7.20
1 shots
· 37 pass
Paris FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Trapp | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 2 | — | — | |
| M. Mbow | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — | |
| A. Camara | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Lopez | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Lees-Melou | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| M. Simon | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Munetsi | M | 45 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Ikoné | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Immobile | F | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Gory | F | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Traoré | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| I. Kebbal | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Koleosho | F | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| R. Matondo | M | 51 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
Lille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Özer | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 22% | — | — | — |
| R. Perraud | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mandi | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | — | — | — |
| N. Ngoy | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Meunier | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bouaddi | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. André | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 55% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Félix Correia | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Haraldsson | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Mukau | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo | F | 83 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| E. Mbappé | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| G. Perrin | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| O. Giroud | F | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris FC vs Lille?
The final score was Paris FC 0–1 Lille.
What did the model predict before Paris FC vs Lille?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Paris FC win, 23% to a draw, and 42% to an Lille win.