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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34 May 17, 2026 21:00 Stade Jean Bouin, Isilemulino
Paris FC
#3 · 7 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Paris Saint Germain
#13 · 2 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Paris Saint Germain, result Paris FC wins
A. Gory (ast. P. Lees-Melou) 76'
A. Gory (ast. L. Koleosho) 90'+4
50' (ast. F. Ruiz) B. Barcola
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 56% win probability (draw 22%, Paris FC 21%). The final result was Paris FC 2–1 Paris Saint Germain. In 2 previous meetings, Paris FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris Saint Germain.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
2
2.13
Actual xG
0.62
1
Saves
7
37%
Possession
63%
3
Corners
3
24
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
27'
G. Ramos / O. Dembele ↕
46'
D. Fernandez / D. Lucea ↕
50'
ast. F. Ruiz · B. Barcola⚽
58'
Lee Kang-In / W. Zaire-Emery ↕
58'
I. Mbaye / B. Barcola ↕
58'
S. Mayulu / K. Kvaratskhelia ↕
↕ M. Simon / M. Lopez
67'
↕ J. Ikone / A. Gory
67'
↕ M. Munetsi / I. Kebbal
67'
↕ W. Geubbels / L. Koleosho
68'
68'
J. Neves / Vitinha ↕
⚽A. Gory · ast. P. Lees-Melou
76'
↕ R. Matondo / V. Marchetti
77'
↕ Otavio / H. Traore
84'
M. Lopez
90'+1
A. Gory
90'+4
⚽A. Gory · ast. L. Koleosho
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
21.19%
Paris ←
22.14%
X
56.67%
Paris
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paris FC) 21.19% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
1.56
2.13
+0.57
Paris
2.46
0.62
-1.84
Paris FC dominated by xG (2.13 vs 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Lineups
Paris FC Paris FC 4-4-2
35 K. Trapp K. Trapp G 6.30
6 Otávio Otávio 84' D 7.20
42 D. Coppola D. Coppola D 6.90
31 S. Chergui S. Chergui D 6.30
17 A. Camara A. Camara D 6.90
27 M. Simon M. Simon 67' M 6.90
33 P. Lees-Melou P. Lees-Melou 1 👟 M 7.20
23 R. Matondo R. Matondo 77' M 6.60
93 J. Ikoné J. Ikoné 67' M 6.90
9 Willem Geubbels Willem Geubbels 68' F 6.50
18 M. Munetsi M. Munetsi 67' F 7.20
Bench
7 A. Gory A. Gory 2 ⚽ 23' F 8.60
14 H. Traoré H. Traoré 11' D 6.70
10 I. Kebbal I. Kebbal 23' M 6.60
24 L. Koleosho L. Koleosho 1 👟 22' F 7.90
13 M. Cafaro M. Cafaro M
21 M. Lopez M. Lopez 23' M 6.90
16 O. Nkambadio O. Nkambadio G
28 Thibault De Smet Thibault De Smet D
4 V. Marchetti V. Marchetti 13' M 6.90
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
39 M. Safonov M. Safonov G 8.50
54 Dimitri Lucea Dimitri Lucea 45' D 6.90
5 Marquinhos Marquinhos D 6.90
6 I. Zabarnyi I. Zabarnyi D 7.20
33 W. Zaïre-Emery W. Zaïre-Emery 58' D 6.90
8 Fabián Ruiz Fabián Ruiz 1 👟 M 7.30
4 Beraldo Beraldo M 7.00
17 Vitinha Vitinha 68' M 6.90
7 K. Kvaratskhelia K. Kvaratskhelia 58' F 6.20
10 O. Dembélé O. Dembélé 27' F 6.50
29 B. Barcola B. Barcola 1 ⚽ 58' F 7.00
Bench
14 D. Doué D. Doué F
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos 63' F 5.90
49 I. Mbaye I. Mbaye 32' F 6.60
87 João Neves João Neves 22' M 6.20
19 Lee Kang-In Lee Kang-In 32' M 6.60
21 L. Hernández L. Hernández D
27 Pedro Fernández Pedro Fernández 45' M 6.50
89 Renato Bellucci Renato Bellucci G
24 Senny Mayulu Senny Mayulu 32' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
A. Gory
A. Gory
F · Paris
8.60
2 ⚽
3 shots · 6 pass
M. Safonov
M. Safonov
G · Paris
8.50
· 31 pass
L. Koleosho
L. Koleosho
F · Paris
7.90
1 👟
· 6 pass
Fabián Ruiz
Fabián Ruiz
M · Paris
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 78 pass
Otávio
Otávio
D · Paris
7.20
· 28 pass
P. Lees-Melou
P. Lees-Melou
M · Paris
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 49 pass
Paris FC Paris FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Trapp G 90 6.30 — — — 41 28% — — —
Otávio D 84 7.20 — — — 28 28% 7 — —
D. Coppola D 90 6.90 — — 1 56 52% — — —
S. Chergui D 90 6.30 — — 1 37 34% — — —
A. Camara D 90 6.90 — — 1 35 32% 5 — —
M. Simon M 67 6.90 — — 1 25 22% 1 — —
P. Lees-Melou M 90 7.20 — 1 1 49 44% 2 — —
R. Matondo M 77 6.60 — — — 21 17% 2 — —
J. Ikoné M 67 6.90 — — 1 25 19% 2 — —
Willem Geubbels F 68 6.50 — — 1 12 11% — — —
M. Munetsi F 67 7.20 — — 3 20 11% 1 — —
A. Gory F 23 8.60 2 — 3 6 5% — 1 —
H. Traoré D 11 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
I. Kebbal M 23 6.60 — — 1 15 11% — — —
L. Koleosho F 22 7.90 — 1 — 6 6% 2 — —
M. Lopez M 23 6.90 — — — 11 9% — 1 —
V. Marchetti M 13 6.90 — — — 8 7% 2 — —
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Safonov G 90 8.50 — — — 31 24% — — —
Dimitri Lucea D 45 6.90 — — — 38 34% 4 — —
Marquinhos D 90 6.90 — — — 83 80% — — —
I. Zabarnyi D 90 7.20 — — — 97 92% 3 — —
W. Zaïre-Emery D 58 6.90 — — — 51 44% 1 — —
Fabián Ruiz M 90 7.30 — 1 1 78 68% 3 — —
Beraldo M 90 7.00 — — — 55 52% 5 — —
Vitinha M 68 6.90 — — 2 76 69% — — —
K. Kvaratskhelia F 58 6.20 — — — 25 24% — — —
O. Dembélé F 27 6.50 — — — 9 7% — — —
B. Barcola F 58 7.00 1 — 2 15 13% — — —
Gonçalo Ramos F 63 5.90 — — — 18 16% — — —
I. Mbaye F 32 6.60 — — — 23 18% — — —
João Neves M 22 6.20 — — 1 17 15% — — —
Lee Kang-In M 32 6.60 — — — 23 20% 1 — —
Pedro Fernández M 45 6.50 — — — 29 27% 1 — —
Senny Mayulu M 32 6.50 — — — 12 11% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
The final score was Paris FC 2–1 Paris Saint Germain.
What did the model predict before Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Paris FC win, 22% to a draw, and 56% to an Paris Saint Germain win.