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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34 May 17, 2026 21:00 Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Paris FC
#11 · 44 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Paris Saint Germain
#1 · 76 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Paris Saint Germain, result Paris FC wins
A. Gory (ast. P. Lees-Melou) 76'
A. Gory (ast. L. Koleosho) 90'+4
50' (ast. F. Ruiz) B. Barcola
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 56% win probability (draw 22%, Paris FC 21%). The final result was Paris FC 2–1 Paris Saint Germain. In 2 previous meetings, Paris FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris Saint Germain.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
2
2.13
Actual xG
0.62
1
Saves
7
37%
Possession
63%
3
Corners
3
24
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
27'
G. Ramos / O. Dembele ↕
46'
D. Fernandez / D. Lucea ↕
50'
ast. F. Ruiz · B. Barcola⚽
58'
Lee Kang-In / W. Zaire-Emery ↕
58'
I. Mbaye / B. Barcola ↕
58'
S. Mayulu / K. Kvaratskhelia ↕
↕ M. Simon / M. Lopez
67'
↕ J. Ikone / A. Gory
67'
↕ M. Munetsi / I. Kebbal
67'
↕ W. Geubbels / L. Koleosho
68'
68'
J. Neves / Vitinha ↕
⚽A. Gory · ast. P. Lees-Melou
76'
↕ R. Matondo / V. Marchetti
77'
↕ Otavio / H. Traore
84'
M. Lopez
90'+1
A. Gory
90'+4
⚽A. Gory · ast. L. Koleosho
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
21.19%
Paris ←
22.14%
X
56.67%
Paris
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paris FC) 21.19% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
1.56
2.13
+0.57
Paris
2.46
0.62
-1.84
Paris FC dominated by xG (2.13 vs 0.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 34 76
2 Lens Lens 34 70
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 34 61
4 Lyon Lyon 34 60
5 Marseille Marseille 34 59
6 Rennes Rennes 34 59
7 Monaco Monaco 34 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 34 53
9 Lorient Lorient 34 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 34 44
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 34 39
13 Angers Angers 34 36
14 Le Havre Le Havre 34 35
15 Auxerre Auxerre 34 34
16 Nice Nice 34 32
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 34 17
Lineups
Paris FC Paris FC 4-4-2
35 Kevin Trapp Kevin Trapp G 6.30
6 Otávio Otávio 84' D 7.20
42 D. Coppola D. Coppola D 6.90
31 Samir Sophian Chergui Samir Sophian Chergui D 6.30
17 A. Camara A. Camara D 6.90
27 Moses Simon Moses Simon 67' M 6.90
33 Pierre Lees Melou Pierre Lees Melou 1 👟 M 7.20
23 Rudy Matondo Rudy Matondo 77' M 6.60
93 J. Ikoné J. Ikoné 67' M 6.90
9 Willem Geubbels Willem Geubbels 68' F 6.50
18
Marshall Munetsi 67' F 7.20
Bench
7 Alimami Gory Alimami Gory 2 ⚽ 23' F 8.60
14 Hamari Traoré Hamari Traoré 11' D 6.70
10 I. Kebbal I. Kebbal 23' M 6.60
24 Luca Koleosho Luca Koleosho 1 👟 22' F 7.90
13 Mathieu Cafaro Mathieu Cafaro M
21 M. Lopez M. Lopez 23' M 6.90
16 Obed Nkambadio Obed Nkambadio G
28 Thibault De Smet Thibault De Smet D
4 Vincent Marchetti Vincent Marchetti 13' M 6.90
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
39 Matvey Safonov Matvey Safonov G 8.50
54 Dimitri Lucea Dimitri Lucea 45' D 6.90
5 Marquinhos Marquinhos D 6.90
6 I. Zabarnyi I. Zabarnyi D 7.20
33 Warren Zaïre-Emery Warren Zaïre-Emery 58' D 6.90
8 Fabián Ruiz Fabián Ruiz 1 👟 M 7.30
4 Lucas Beraldo Lucas Beraldo M 7.00
17 Vitinha Vitinha 68' M 6.90
7 K. Kvaratskhelia K. Kvaratskhelia 58' F 6.20
10 O. Dembélé O. Dembélé 27' F 6.50
29 B. Barcola B. Barcola 1 ⚽ 58' F 7.00
Bench
14 Désiré Doué Désiré Doué F
27 Dro Fernández Dro Fernández 45' M 6.50
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos 63' F 5.90
49 Ibrahim Mbaye Ibrahim Mbaye 32' F 6.60
87 João Neves João Neves 22' M 6.20
19 Lee Kang-In Lee Kang-In 32' M 6.60
21 Lucas Hernández Lucas Hernández D
89 Renato Marin Renato Marin G
24 Senny Mayulu Senny Mayulu 32' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
Alimami Gory
Alimami Gory
F · Paris
8.60
2 ⚽
3 shots · 6 pass
Matvey Safonov
Matvey Safonov
G · Paris
8.50
· 31 pass
Luca Koleosho
Luca Koleosho
F · Paris
7.90
1 👟
· 6 pass
Fabián Ruiz
Fabián Ruiz
M · Paris
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 78 pass
Otávio
Otávio
D · Paris
7.20
· 28 pass
Pierre Lees Melou
Pierre Lees Melou
M · Paris
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 49 pass
Paris FC Paris FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kevin Trapp G 90 6.30 — — — 41 28% — — —
Otávio D 84 7.20 — — — 28 28% 7 — —
D. Coppola D 90 6.90 — — 1 56 52% — — —
Samir Sophian Chergui D 90 6.30 — — 1 37 34% — — —
A. Camara D 90 6.90 — — 1 35 32% 5 — —
Moses Simon M 67 6.90 — — 1 25 22% 1 — —
Pierre Lees Melou M 90 7.20 — 1 1 49 44% 2 — —
Rudy Matondo M 77 6.60 — — — 21 17% 2 — —
J. Ikoné M 67 6.90 — — 1 25 19% 2 — —
Willem Geubbels F 68 6.50 — — 1 12 11% — — —
Marshall Munetsi F 67 7.20 — — 3 20 11% 1 — —
Alimami Gory F 23 8.60 2 — 3 6 5% — 1 —
Hamari Traoré D 11 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
I. Kebbal M 23 6.60 — — 1 15 11% — — —
Luca Koleosho F 22 7.90 — 1 — 6 6% 2 — —
M. Lopez M 23 6.90 — — — 11 9% — 1 —
Vincent Marchetti M 13 6.90 — — — 8 7% 2 — —
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matvey Safonov G 90 8.50 — — — 31 24% — — —
Dimitri Lucea D 45 6.90 — — — 38 34% 4 — —
Marquinhos D 90 6.90 — — — 83 80% — — —
I. Zabarnyi D 90 7.20 — — — 97 92% 3 — —
Warren Zaïre-Emery D 58 6.90 — — — 51 44% 1 — —
Fabián Ruiz M 90 7.30 — 1 1 78 68% 3 — —
Lucas Beraldo M 90 7.00 — — — 55 52% 5 — —
Vitinha M 68 6.90 — — 2 76 69% — — —
K. Kvaratskhelia F 58 6.20 — — — 25 24% — — —
O. Dembélé F 27 6.50 — — — 9 7% — — —
B. Barcola F 58 7.00 1 — 2 15 13% — — —
Dro Fernández M 45 6.50 — — — 29 27% 1 — —
Gonçalo Ramos F 63 5.90 — — — 18 16% — — —
Ibrahim Mbaye F 32 6.60 — — — 23 18% — — —
João Neves M 22 6.20 — — 1 17 15% — — —
Lee Kang-In M 32 6.60 — — — 23 20% 1 — —
Senny Mayulu M 32 6.50 — — — 12 11% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
The final score was Paris FC 2–1 Paris Saint Germain.
What did the model predict before Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Paris FC win, 22% to a draw, and 56% to an Paris Saint Germain win.