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Paris Saint Germain - AS Roma

Champions League November 25, 2026 21:00
#1 · 3 pts
vs
#17 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.49%
Win
Paris Saint Germain
32.2%
Draw
38.32%
Win
AS Roma
0.6
Expected xG
1.18

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.52%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 32%
2 38%
Double Chance
1X 62%
X2 71%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives AS Roma a 38% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Paris Saint Germain. Expected goals are 0.6 for Paris Saint Germain and 1.2 for AS Roma (total 1.8), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.52% probability.

Season Stats

Paris Saint Germain
8W 5D 2L
AS Roma
0W 1D 0L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.0
1.4
Conceded
1.0
6.9
Shots OT
3.0
5.9
Corners
3.0
64%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
0%
73%
BTTS
100%
27%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
90%
BTTS
Paris Saint Germain
6W 3D 1L · at home
AS Roma
0W 1D 0L · away
3.2
gls/g
1.0
1.6
Conceded
1.0
60%
Win %
0%
90%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
70%
O 2.5
0%
60%
O 3.5
0%
80%
BTTS
100%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Paris Saint Germain AS Roma →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.9% 19.9% 11.8% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.1% 11.9% 7.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% — —
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

W Slovan Bratislava 6–1
D Arsenal 1–1
D Bayern München 1–1
W Bayern München 5–4
W Liverpool 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
D Fenerbahçe 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
Attack
59
Defence
69
Form
61
AS Roma AS Roma
Attack
54
Defence
63
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 1 3
2 Bayern München Bayern München 1 3
3 Barcelona Barcelona 1 3
4 Manchester United Manchester United 1 3
5 Como Como 1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1 3
7 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1 3
8 Manchester City Manchester City 1 3
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1 3
10 Lens Lens 1 3
11 Real Betis Real Betis 1 3
12 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1 3
13 Liverpool Liverpool 1 3
14 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1 3
15 Arsenal Arsenal 1 3
16 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 1 3
17 AS Roma AS Roma 1 1
18 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1 1
19 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1 1
20 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1 1
21 Villarreal Villarreal 1 0
22 Lille Lille 1 0
23 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 1 0
24 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 1 0
25 Inter Inter 1 0
26 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1 0
27 Napoli Napoli 1 0
28 Lask Linz Lask Linz 1 0
29 Viking Viking 1 0
30 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1 0
31 FC Porto FC Porto 1 0
32 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1 0
33 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1 0
34 Sabah FA Sabah FA 1 0
35 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 1 0
36 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs AS Roma?
The model gives Paris Saint Germain a 29% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 38% for an AS Roma win.
How many goals are expected in Paris Saint Germain vs AS Roma?
Expected goals: Paris Saint Germain 0.6, AS Roma 1.2 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Paris Saint Germain vs AS Roma?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.52%.