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Champions League · League Stage - 3 October 20, 2026 21:00 Parc des Princes, Paris
Paris Saint Germain
#1 · 12 pts
4 – 2
Final score
Barcelona
#5 · 9 pts
Désiré Doue (ast. João Neves) 38'
Lucas Hernández (ast. Désiré Doue) 72'
Vitinha 81'
Fabián Ruiz (ast. Achraf Hakimi) 86'
55' (ast. Fermín López) Xavi Espart
79' Lamine Yamal
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Paris Saint Germain 36%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 4–2 Barcelona. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Barcelona.

Match statistics
22
Total shots
18
15
Shots on target
5
3.77
Actual xG
2.22
3
Saves
10
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
3
17
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
17'
João Cancelo
↕ Ousmane Dembélé / Ferrán Torres
20'
27'
Fermín López / Daniel Olmo Carvajal ↕
⚽Désiré Doue · ast. João Neves
38'
55'
ast. Fermín López · Xavi Espart⚽
↕ Marcos Aoás Corrêa / Ilya Zabarnyi
59'
↕ Khvicha Kvaratskhelia / Maghnes Akliouche
59'
60'
Karim Adeyemi / Raphael Dias Belloli ↕
60'
Pablo Martín Páez Gavira / Pedri ↕
60'
Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante / Marc Bernal ↕
⚽Lucas Hernández · ast. Désiré Doue
72'
74'
Alejandro Balde / Xavi Espart ↕
↕ Lucas Hernández / Warren Zaire-Emery
78'
↕ Désiré Doue / Senny Mayulu
78'
79'
Lamine Yamal⚽
⚽Vitinha
81'
⚽Fabián Ruiz · ast. Achraf Hakimi
86'
Pre-match prediction
36.03%
Paris ←
23.43%
X
40.54%
Barcelona
we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain) 36.03% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
1.70
3.77
+2.08
Barcelona
1.87
2.22
+0.35
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (3.77 vs 2.22). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4 12
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4 12
3 Arsenal Arsenal 4 10
4 Como Como 4 9
5 Barcelona Barcelona 4 9
6 Aston Villa Aston Villa 4 9
7 Manchester City Manchester City 4 9
8 Liverpool Liverpool 4 9
9 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 4 9
10 Sporting CP Sporting CP 4 9
11 Real Betis Real Betis 4 9
12 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 4 9
13 Bayern München Bayern München 4 8
14 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 4 7
15 Inter Inter 4 6
16 Lask Linz Lask Linz 4 6
17 Manchester United Manchester United 4 6
18 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4 6
19 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4 5
20 AS Roma AS Roma 4 4
21 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 4 4
22 Viking Viking 4 4
23 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 4
24 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4 4
25 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 4 4
26 FC Porto FC Porto 4 3
27 Napoli Napoli 4 3
28 Villarreal Villarreal 4 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 4 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4 3
31 Sabah FA Sabah FA 4 3
32 Feyenoord Feyenoord 4 3
33 Lens Lens 4 3
34 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 4 1
35 Lille Lille 4 1
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 4 0
Lineups
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
39 M. Safonov M. Safonov G 6.26
21 L. Hernández L. Hernández 1 ⚽ 78' D 7.01
51 W. Pacho W. Pacho D 6.52
5 Marquinhos Marquinhos 59' D 6.21
2 A. Hakimi A. Hakimi 1 👟 D 7.40
8 Fabián Ruiz Fabián Ruiz 1 ⚽ M 8.20
17 Vitinha Vitinha 1 ⚽ M 7.86
87 João Neves João Neves 1 👟 M 7.70
7 K. Kvaratskhelia K. Kvaratskhelia 59' F 7.20
10 O. Dembélé O. Dembélé 20' F 6.69
14 D. Doué D. Doué 1 ⚽ 1 👟 78' F 9.00
Bench
4 Beraldo Beraldo D 0.00
9 Ferran Torres Ferran Torres 70' F 6.39
6 I. Zabarnyi I. Zabarnyi 31' D 6.46
30 L. Chevalier L. Chevalier G 0.00
12 L. Digne L. Digne D 0.00
11 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche 31' M 6.17
22 M. Godts M. Godts F 0.00
27 Pedro Fernández Pedro Fernández M 0.00
47 Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha F 0.00
24 Senny Mayulu Senny Mayulu 12' M 5.99
33 W. Zaïre-Emery W. Zaïre-Emery 12' M 6.01
Barcelona Barcelona 4-2-3-1
1 Joan García Joan García G 7.70
2 João Cancelo João Cancelo D 5.54
18 Gerard Martín Gerard Martín D 6.32
5 Pau Cubarsí Paredes Pau Cubarsí Paredes D 6.05
12 X. Espart X. Espart 1 ⚽ 74' D 7.01
8 Pedri Pedri 60' M 6.77
22 Marc Bernal Marc Bernal 60' M 6.30
17 A. Gordon A. Gordon M 6.13
20 Dani Olmo Dani Olmo 27' M 5.69
10 Lamine Yamal Lamine Yamal 1 ⚽ M 7.84
11 Raphinha Raphinha 60' F 6.89
Bench
41 A. Campos A. Campos D 0.00
3 Alejandro Balde Alejandro Balde 16' D 5.81
4 B. Farinas B. Farinas M 0.00
25 D. Livaković D. Livaković G 0.00
21 F. de Jong F. de Jong M 0.00
7 Fermín Fermín 1 👟 63' M 5.93
9 Gabriel Jesus Gabriel Jesus F 0.00
6 Gavi Gavi 30' M 6.04
29 H. Abdelkarim H. Abdelkarim F 0.00
14 K. Adeyemi K. Adeyemi 30' F 6.54
16 Rodri Rodri 30' M 5.91
13 W. Szczęsny W. Szczęsny G 0.00
Best on the pitch
D. Doué
D. Doué
F · Paris
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 35 pass
Fabián Ruiz
Fabián Ruiz
M · Paris
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots · 63 pass
Vitinha
Vitinha
M · Paris
7.86
1 ⚽
1 shots · 65 pass
Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal
M · Barcelona
7.84
1 ⚽
4 shots · 56 pass
João Neves
João Neves
M · Paris
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 36 pass
Joan García
Joan García
G · Barcelona
7.70
· 32 pass
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Safonov G 90 6.26 — — 0 24 17% 0 — —
L. Hernández D 78 7.01 1 — 1 33 26% 3 — —
W. Pacho D 90 6.52 — — 0 34 32% 2 — —
Marquinhos D 59 6.21 — — 0 41 34% 1 — —
A. Hakimi D 90 7.40 — 1 2 69 62% 1 — —
Fabián Ruiz M 90 8.20 1 — 5 63 57% 1 — —
Vitinha M 90 7.86 1 — 1 65 56% 0 — —
João Neves M 90 7.70 — 1 1 36 32% 4 — —
K. Kvaratskhelia F 59 7.20 — — 4 14 12% 2 — —
O. Dembélé F 20 6.69 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
D. Doué F 78 9.00 1 1 4 35 26% 2 — —
Ferran Torres F 70 6.39 — — 3 12 10% 0 — —
I. Zabarnyi D 31 6.46 — — 0 20 17% 0 — —
M. Akliouche M 31 6.17 — — 0 19 16% 0 — —
Senny Mayulu M 12 5.99 — — 0 4 3% 1 — —
W. Zaïre-Emery M 12 6.01 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
Barcelona Barcelona — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Joan García G 90 7.70 — — 0 32 27% 0 — —
João Cancelo D 90 5.54 — — 1 55 46% 2 1 —
Gerard Martín D 90 6.32 — — 0 63 58% 0 — —
Pau Cubarsí Paredes D 90 6.05 — — 0 65 60% 0 — —
X. Espart D 74 7.01 1 — 1 41 36% 4 — —
Pedri M 60 6.77 — — 2 38 36% 1 — —
Marc Bernal M 60 6.30 — — 1 30 26% 1 — —
A. Gordon M 90 6.13 — — 0 36 31% 0 — —
Dani Olmo M 27 5.69 — — 1 13 9% 0 — —
Lamine Yamal M 90 7.84 1 — 4 56 44% 0 — —
Raphinha F 60 6.89 — — 2 20 19% 0 — —
Alejandro Balde D 16 5.81 — — 0 10 9% 1 — —
Fermín M 63 5.93 — 1 3 22 19% 0 — —
Gavi M 30 6.04 — — 1 17 17% 0 — —
K. Adeyemi F 30 6.54 — — 2 14 13% 0 — —
Rodri M 30 5.91 — — 0 25 21% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 4–2 Barcelona.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 23% to a draw, and 40% to an Barcelona win.