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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6 October 10, 2026 20:45 Parc des Princes, Paris
Paris Saint Germain
#1 · 17 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Le Mans
#15 · 7 pts
Lucas Beraldo 19' (pen.)
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 61'
Maghnes Akliouche (ast. Warren Zaire-Emery) 68'
54' (ast. Lucas Calodat) Louis Mafouta
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 47% win probability (draw 25%, Le Mans 26%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Le Mans.

Match statistics
22
Total shots
11
8
Shots on target
3
4.33
Actual xG
1.49
2
Saves
5
72%
Possession
28%
4
Corners
4
11
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
16'
⚽Lucas Beraldo (pen.)
19'
45'
Dame Gueye / Habib Diallo ↕
47'
Dame Gueye
54'
ast. Lucas Calodat · Louis Mafouta⚽
54'
↕ João Neves / Warren Zaire-Emery
58'
↕ Dro Fernández / Fabián Ruiz
58'
↕ Lucas Beraldo / Vitinha
59'
↕ Mika Godts / Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
59'
⚽Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
61'
65'
Louis Mafouta
66'
Bilal Brahimi / Jean Vercruysse ↕
⚽Maghnes Akliouche · ast. Warren Zaire-Emery
68'
↕ Achraf Hakimi / Désiré Doue
72'
72'
William Harhouz / Louis Mafouta ↕
72'
Antoine Rabillard / Alexandre Lauray ↕
77'
Yasser Larouci / Lucas Calodat ↕
90'+2
Rayan Bamba
90'+2
Bilal Brahimi
⚽Désiré Doue (missed pen.)
90'+3
90'+3
Noa Boissé
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
47.7%
Paris ←
25.61%
X
26.69%
Le
we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain) 47.7% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
2.04
4.33
+2.29
Le
1.74
1.49
-0.25
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (4.33 vs 1.49). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
39 M. Safonov M. Safonov G 6.87
12 L. Digne L. Digne D 7.68
21 L. Hernández L. Hernández D 7.18
6 I. Zabarnyi I. Zabarnyi D 6.82
2 A. Hakimi A. Hakimi 72' D 6.41
27 Pedro Fernández Pedro Fernández 58' M 6.31
4 Beraldo Beraldo 1 ⚽ 59' M 7.26
87 João Neves João Neves 58' M 6.52
22 M. Godts M. Godts 59' F 6.74
9 Ferran Torres Ferran Torres F 6.58
11 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche 1 ⚽ F 8.12
Bench
14 D. Doué D. Doué 18' F 6.88
8 Fabián Ruiz Fabián Ruiz 32' M 6.49
7 K. Kvaratskhelia K. Kvaratskhelia 1 ⚽ 31' F 7.88
30 L. Chevalier L. Chevalier G 0.00
5 Marquinhos Marquinhos D 0.00
47 Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha F 0.00
17 Vitinha Vitinha 31' M 7.01
51 W. Pacho W. Pacho D 0.00
33 W. Zaïre-Emery W. Zaïre-Emery 1 👟 32' M 7.39
Le Mans Le Mans 3-1-4-2
98 N. Kocik N. Kocik G 6.79
5 H. Voyer H. Voyer D 6.10
17 S. Yohou S. Yohou D 5.74
15 N. Boissé N. Boissé D 5.76
8 A. Lauray A. Lauray 72' M 6.02
22 L. Calodat L. Calodat 1 👟 77' M 6.71
10 J. Vercruysse J. Vercruysse 66' M 5.92
29 L. Bretelle L. Bretelle M 6.13
26 R. Bamba R. Bamba M 5.56
14 L. Mafouta L. Mafouta 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.21
13 H. Diallo H. Diallo 45' F 6.61
Bench
9 A. Rabillard A. Rabillard 18' F 6.22
7 B. Brahimi B. Brahimi 24' F 6.50
25 D. Guèye D. Guèye 45' F 6.00
23 D. Traoré D. Traoré M 0.00
1 E. Hatfout E. Hatfout G 0.00
18 L. Buadés L. Buadés D 0.00
16 Raúl Torrente Raúl Torrente D 0.00
20 W. Harhouz W. Harhouz 18' F 6.68
76 Y. Larouci Y. Larouci 13' D 5.89
Best on the pitch
M. Akliouche
M. Akliouche
F · Paris
8.12
1 ⚽
2 shots · 67 pass
K. Kvaratskhelia
K. Kvaratskhelia
F · Paris
7.88
1 ⚽
2 shots · 30 pass
L. Digne
L. Digne
D · Paris
7.68
1 shots · 80 pass
W. Zaïre-Emery
W. Zaïre-Emery
M · Paris
7.39
1 👟
· 35 pass
Beraldo
Beraldo
M · Paris
7.26
1 ⚽
1 shots · 40 pass
L. Mafouta
L. Mafouta
F · Le
7.21
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Safonov G 90 6.87 — — 0 22 17% 0 — —
L. Digne D 90 7.68 — — 1 80 74% 1 — —
L. Hernández D 90 7.18 — — 0 74 70% 1 — —
I. Zabarnyi D 90 6.82 — — 0 77 73% 0 — —
A. Hakimi D 72 6.41 — — 5 61 56% 0 — —
Pedro Fernández M 58 6.31 — — 0 30 24% 1 — —
Beraldo M 59 7.26 1 — 1 40 36% 3 — —
João Neves M 58 6.52 — — 1 43 38% 0 — —
M. Godts F 59 6.74 — — 1 31 27% 1 — —
Ferran Torres F 90 6.58 — — 2 11 8% 1 — —
M. Akliouche F 90 8.12 1 — 2 67 57% 0 — —
D. Doué F 18 6.88 — — 2 19 16% 1 — —
Fabián Ruiz M 32 6.49 — — 4 39 30% 1 — —
K. Kvaratskhelia F 31 7.88 1 — 2 30 23% 1 — —
Vitinha M 31 7.01 — — 1 50 45% 0 — —
W. Zaïre-Emery M 32 7.39 — 1 0 35 32% 0 — —
Le Mans Le Mans — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Kocik G 90 6.79 — — 0 19 10% 0 — —
H. Voyer D 90 6.10 — — 1 25 19% 0 — —
S. Yohou D 90 5.74 — — 2 22 17% 0 — —
N. Boissé D 90 5.76 — — 0 35 28% 4 1 —
A. Lauray M 72 6.02 — — 0 25 21% 1 — —
L. Calodat M 77 6.71 — 1 0 10 6% 2 — —
J. Vercruysse M 66 5.92 — — 2 16 7% 2 — —
L. Bretelle M 90 6.13 — — 0 28 23% 1 — —
R. Bamba M 90 5.56 — — 0 26 21% 1 1 —
L. Mafouta F 72 7.21 1 — 2 9 6% 0 1 —
H. Diallo F 45 6.61 — — 0 10 4% 0 — —
A. Rabillard F 18 6.22 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
B. Brahimi F 24 6.50 — — 0 9 6% 1 1 —
D. Guèye F 45 6.00 — — 2 10 6% 0 1 —
W. Harhouz F 18 6.68 — — 2 4 2% 0 — —
Y. Larouci D 13 5.89 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Le Mans.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 25% to a draw, and 26% to an Le Mans win.