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Champions League · Quarter-finals April 08, 2026 21:00
Paris Saint Germain
#11 · 14 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Liverpool
#3 · 18 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Paris Saint Germain
D. Doue 11'
K. Kvaratskhelia (ast. J. Neves) 65'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 65% win probability (draw 18%, Liverpool 15%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Liverpool. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Liverpool.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
1
6
Shots on target
0
2.20
Actual xG
0.18
0
Saves
4
74%
Possession
26%
3
Corners
1
10
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽D. Doue
11'
28'
Joe Gomez
31'
Alexis Mac Allister
⚽K. Kvaratskhelia · ast. J. Neves
65'
71'
↕ D. Doue / Lee Kang-In
78'
78'
C. Gakpo / H. Ekitike ↕
78'
C. Jones / D. Szoboszlai ↕
78'
A. Robertson / M. Kerkez ↕
78'
A. Isak / F. Wirtz ↕
↕ O. Dembele / L. Hernandez
88'
90'+1
T. Nyoni / J. Frimpong ↕
Pre-match prediction
65.92%
Paris ←
18.88%
X
15.21%
Liverpool
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain) 65.92% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
2.27
2.20
-0.07
Liverpool
1.03
0.18
-0.85
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (2.20 vs 0.18). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 8 24
2 Bayern München Bayern München 8 21
3 Liverpool Liverpool 8 18
4 Tottenham Tottenham 8 17
5 Barcelona Barcelona 8 16
6 Chelsea Chelsea 8 16
7 Sporting CP Sporting CP 8 16
8 Manchester City Manchester City 8 16
9 Real Madrid Real Madrid 8 15
10 Inter Inter 8 15
11 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 14
12 Newcastle Newcastle 8 14
13 Juventus Juventus 8 13
14 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 8 13
15 Atalanta Atalanta 8 13
16 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 8 12
17 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 8 11
18 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 8 11
19 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 8 10
20 Galatasaray Galatasaray 8 10
21 Monaco Monaco 8 10
22 Qarabag Qarabag 8 10
23 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 8 9
24 Benfica Benfica 8 9
25 Marseille Marseille 8 9
26 Pafos Pafos 8 9
27 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 8 9
28 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 8 8
29 Athletic Club Athletic Club 8 8
30 Napoli Napoli 8 8
31 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 8 8
32 Ajax Ajax 8 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 8 4
34 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 8 3
35 Villarreal Villarreal 8 1
36 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty 8 1
Lineups
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
39 Matvey Safonov Matvey Safonov G 6.70
25 Nuno Mendes Nuno Mendes D 7.60
51 W. Pacho W. Pacho D 7.30
5
Marquinhos D 7.70
2 Achraf Hakimi Achraf Hakimi D 7.00
33 Warren Zaïre-Emery Warren Zaïre-Emery M 6.90
17 Vitinha Vitinha M 7.90
87 João Neves João Neves 1 👟 M 7.70
7 K. Kvaratskhelia K. Kvaratskhelia 1 ⚽ F 9.00
10 O. Dembélé O. Dembélé 88' F 7.50
14 Désiré Doué Désiré Doué 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.90
Bench
27 Dro Fernández Dro Fernández M
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos F
49 Ibrahim Mbaye Ibrahim Mbaye F
6 I. Zabarnyi I. Zabarnyi D
19 Lee Kang-In Lee Kang-In 15' M 6.70
4 Lucas Beraldo Lucas Beraldo D
21 Lucas Hernández Lucas Hernández 5' D
24 Senny Mayulu Senny Mayulu M
Liverpool Liverpool 3-5-2
25
Giorgi Mamardashvili G 6.90
2 Joe Gomez Joe Gomez D 6.30
4 V. van Dijk V. van Dijk D 6.60
5 Ibrahima Konaté Ibrahima Konaté D 6.90
6 Miloš Kerkez Miloš Kerkez 78' M 6.70
10 A. Mac Allister A. Mac Allister M 6.50
38 R. Gravenberch R. Gravenberch M 6.60
8 D. Szoboszlai D. Szoboszlai 78' M 6.20
30 Jeremie Frimpong Jeremie Frimpong M 6.00
22 H. Ekitike H. Ekitike 78' F 6.30
7 F. Wirtz F. Wirtz 78' F 7.00
Bench
9 A. Isak A. Isak 15' F 6.50
26 Andy Robertson Andy Robertson 15' D 6.90
18 C. Gakpo C. Gakpo 15' F 6.50
17 C. Jones C. Jones 15' M 6.70
14 F. Chiesa F. Chiesa F
11 Mohamed Salah Mohamed Salah F
73 Rio Ngumoha Rio Ngumoha F
Best on the pitch
K. Kvaratskhelia
K. Kvaratskhelia
F · Paris
9.00
1 ⚽
4 shots · 41 pass
Vitinha
Vitinha
M · Paris
7.90
· 138 pass
Désiré Doué
Désiré Doué
F · Paris
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 40 pass
Marquinhos
D · Paris
7.70
· 84 pass
João Neves
João Neves
M · Paris
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 61 pass
Nuno Mendes
Nuno Mendes
D · Paris
7.60
· 67 pass
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matvey Safonov G 93 6.70 — — — 18 10% — — —
Nuno Mendes D 93 7.60 — — — 67 61% — — —
W. Pacho D 93 7.30 — — — 70 66% — — —
Marquinhos D 93 7.70 — — — 84 80% 2 — —
Achraf Hakimi D 93 7.00 — — 2 78 71% 1 — —
Warren Zaïre-Emery M 93 6.90 — — — 63 60% 1 — —
Vitinha M 93 7.90 — — — 138 132% 2 — —
João Neves M 93 7.70 — 1 1 61 57% 2 — —
K. Kvaratskhelia F 93 9.00 1 — 4 41 38% 2 — —
O. Dembélé F 88 7.50 — — 3 71 61% — — —
Désiré Doué F 78 7.90 1 — 2 40 36% — — —
Lee Kang-In M 15 6.70 — — — 11 10% — — —
Lucas Hernández D 5 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Liverpool Liverpool — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Giorgi Mamardashvili G 93 6.90 — — — 26 15% — — —
Joe Gomez D 93 6.30 — — — 25 18% 1 1 —
V. van Dijk D 93 6.60 — — — 21 16% 1 — —
Ibrahima Konaté D 93 6.90 — — — 18 15% 2 — —
Miloš Kerkez M 78 6.70 — — — 13 10% 2 — —
A. Mac Allister M 93 6.50 — — — 24 20% 2 1 —
R. Gravenberch M 93 6.60 — — — 29 24% 2 — —
D. Szoboszlai M 78 6.20 — — — 28 19% 1 — —
Jeremie Frimpong M 91 6.00 — — — 12 10% — — —
H. Ekitike F 78 6.30 — — 1 23 13% 1 — —
F. Wirtz F 78 7.00 — — — 19 17% 3 — —
A. Isak F 15 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
Andy Robertson D 15 6.90 — — — 7 4% — — —
C. Gakpo F 15 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
C. Jones M 15 6.70 — — — 4 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Liverpool.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 18% to a draw, and 15% to an Liverpool win.