Champions League
· Quarter-finals
April 08, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Paris Saint Germain
D. Doue
11'
K. Kvaratskhelia
(ast. J. Neves)
65'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 65% win probability (draw 18%, Liverpool 15%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Liverpool. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Liverpool.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
1
6
Shots on target
0
2.20
Actual xG
0.18
0
Saves
4
74%
Possession
26%
3
Corners
1
10
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽D. Doue
11'
28'
Joe Gomez
31'
Alexis Mac Allister
⚽K. Kvaratskhelia
· ast. J. Neves
65'
71'
D. Doue
/ Lee Kang-In
78'
78'
C. Gakpo
/
H. Ekitike
78'
C. Jones
/
D. Szoboszlai
78'
A. Robertson
/
M. Kerkez
78'
A. Isak
/
F. Wirtz
O. Dembele
/ L. Hernandez
88'
90'+1
T. Nyoni
/
J. Frimpong
Pre-match prediction
65.92%
Paris ←
18.88%
X
15.21%
Liverpool
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain)
65.92%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.27
2.20
-0.07
1.03
0.18
-0.85
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (2.20 vs 0.18).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
39
Matvey Safonov
G
Matvey Safonov
G
25
Nuno Mendes
D
Nuno Mendes
D
51
Willian Pacho
D
Willian Pacho
D
5
Marquinhos
D
Marquinhos
D
2
A. Hakimi
D
A. Hakimi
D
33
W. Zaïre-Emery
M
W. Zaïre-Emery
M
17
Vitinha
M
Vitinha
M
87
João Neves
1 👟
M
João Neves
1 👟
M
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
1 ⚽
F
K. Kvaratskhelia
1 ⚽
F
10
O. Dembélé
88'
F
O. Dembélé
88'
F
14
D. Doué
1 ⚽
78'
F
D. Doué
1 ⚽
78'
F
Bench
4
Beraldo
D
Beraldo
D
9
Gonçalo Ramos
F
Gonçalo Ramos
F
49
Ibrahim Mbaye
F
6
I. Zabarnyi
D
I. Zabarnyi
D
19
Kang-in Lee
15'
M
Kang-in Lee
15'
M
21
L. Hernández
5'
D
L. Hernández
5'
D
27
Pedro Fernández
M
Pedro Fernández
M
24
Senny Mayulu
M
Senny Mayulu
M
25
G. Mamardashvili
G
G. Mamardashvili
G
2
J. Gomez
D
J. Gomez
D
4
V. van Dijk
D
V. van Dijk
D
5
I. Konaté
D
I. Konaté
D
6
M. Kerkez
78'
M
M. Kerkez
78'
M
10
Alexis Mac Allister
M
Alexis Mac Allister
M
38
R. Gravenberch
M
R. Gravenberch
M
8
D. Szoboszlai
78'
M
D. Szoboszlai
78'
M
30
J. Frimpong
M
J. Frimpong
M
22
H. Ekitike
78'
F
H. Ekitike
78'
F
7
F. Wirtz
78'
F
F. Wirtz
78'
F
Bench
9
A. Isak
15'
F
A. Isak
15'
F
26
A. Robertson
15'
D
A. Robertson
15'
D
18
C. Gakpo
15'
F
C. Gakpo
15'
F
17
Curtis Jones
15'
M
Curtis Jones
15'
M
14
F. Chiesa
F
F. Chiesa
F
11
Mohamed Salah
F
Mohamed Salah
F
73
R. Ngumoha
F
R. Ngumoha
F
Best on the pitch
K. Kvaratskhelia
F · Paris
9.00
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 41 pass
Vitinha
M · Paris
7.90
· 138 pass
D. Doué
F · Paris
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 40 pass
Marquinhos
D · Paris
7.70
· 84 pass
João Neves
M · Paris
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 61 pass
Nuno Mendes
D · Paris
7.60
· 67 pass
Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvey Safonov | G | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Nuno Mendes | D | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 67 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Willian Pacho | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Marquinhos | D | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 84 | 80% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Hakimi | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 78 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Zaïre-Emery | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 138 | 132% | 2 | — | — |
| João Neves | M | 93 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 61 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Kvaratskhelia | F | 93 | 9.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 41 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Dembélé | F | 88 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 71 | 61% | — | — | — |
| D. Doué | F | 78 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 40 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Kang-in Lee | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| L. Hernández | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Liverpool — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Mamardashvili | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Gomez | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| V. van Dijk | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Konaté | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Kerkez | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexis Mac Allister | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Szoboszlai | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Frimpong | M | 91 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| H. Ekitike | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Wirtz | F | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Isak | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| A. Robertson | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| C. Gakpo | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Curtis Jones | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Liverpool.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 18% to a draw, and 15% to an Liverpool win.