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Champions League · Quarter-finals April 08, 2026 21:00
Paris Saint Germain
#11 · 14 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Liverpool
#3 · 18 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Paris Saint Germain
D. Doue 11'
K. Kvaratskhelia (ast. J. Neves) 65'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 65% win probability (draw 18%, Liverpool 15%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Liverpool. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Liverpool.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
1
6
Shots on target
0
2.20
Actual xG
0.18
0
Saves
4
74%
Possession
26%
3
Corners
1
10
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽D. Doue
11'
28'
Joe Gomez
31'
Alexis Mac Allister
⚽K. Kvaratskhelia · ast. J. Neves
65'
71'
↕ D. Doue / Lee Kang-In
78'
78'
C. Gakpo / H. Ekitike ↕
78'
C. Jones / D. Szoboszlai ↕
78'
A. Robertson / M. Kerkez ↕
78'
A. Isak / F. Wirtz ↕
↕ O. Dembele / L. Hernandez
88'
90'+1
T. Nyoni / J. Frimpong ↕
Pre-match prediction
65.92%
Paris ←
18.88%
X
15.21%
Liverpool
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain) 65.92% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
2.27
2.20
-0.07
Liverpool
1.03
0.18
-0.85
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (2.20 vs 0.18). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 8 24
2 Bayern München Bayern München 8 21
3 Liverpool Liverpool 8 18
4 Tottenham Tottenham 8 17
5 Barcelona Barcelona 8 16
6 Chelsea Chelsea 8 16
7 Sporting CP Sporting CP 8 16
8 Manchester City Manchester City 8 16
9 Real Madrid Real Madrid 8 15
10 Inter Inter 8 15
11 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 14
12 Newcastle Newcastle 8 14
13 Juventus Juventus 8 13
14 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 8 13
15 Atalanta Atalanta 8 13
16 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 8 12
17 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 8 11
18 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 8 11
19 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 8 10
20 Galatasaray Galatasaray 8 10
21 Monaco Monaco 8 10
22 Qarabag Qarabag 8 10
23 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 8 9
24 Benfica Benfica 8 9
25 Marseille Marseille 8 9
26 Pafos Pafos 8 9
27 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 8 9
28 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 8 8
29 Athletic Club Athletic Club 8 8
30 Napoli Napoli 8 8
31 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 8 8
32 Ajax Ajax 8 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 8 4
34 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 8 3
35 Villarreal Villarreal 8 1
36 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty 8 1
Lineups
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
39 Matvey Safonov Matvey Safonov G 6.70
25
N. Mendes D 7.60
51
W. Pacho D 7.30
5 Marquinhos Marquinhos D 7.70
2 A. Hakimi A. Hakimi D 7.00
33
Warren Zaïre-Emery M 6.90
17 Vitinha Vitinha M 7.90
87 João Neves João Neves 1 👟 M 7.70
7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 1 ⚽ F 9.00
10 Ousmane Dembélé Ousmane Dembélé 88' F 7.50
14 D. Doué D. Doué 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.90
Bench
27 Dro Fernández Dro Fernández M
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos F
6 Ilya Zabarnyi Ilya Zabarnyi D
49 I. Mbaye I. Mbaye F
19 Kang-in Lee Kang-in Lee 15' M 6.70
4 Lucas Beraldo Lucas Beraldo D
21 Lucas Hernández Lucas Hernández 5' D
24 Senny Mayulu Senny Mayulu M
Liverpool Liverpool 3-5-2
25
G. Mamardashvili G 6.90
2
J. Gomez D 6.30
4 V. van Dijk V. van Dijk D 6.60
5
Ibrahima Konaté D 6.90
6
Miloš Kerkez 78' M 6.70
10
Alexis Mac Allister M 6.50
38
R. Gravenberch M 6.60
8 D. Szoboszlai D. Szoboszlai 78' M 6.20
30
J. Frimpong M 6.00
22 H. Ekitike H. Ekitike 78' F 6.30
7 F. Wirtz F. Wirtz 78' F 7.00
Bench
9
A. Isak 15' F 6.50
26
A. Robertson 15' D 6.90
18 C. Gakpo C. Gakpo 15' F 6.50
17
C. Jones 15' M 6.70
14
F. Chiesa F
11 Mohamed Salah Mohamed Salah F
73
R. Ngumoha F
Best on the pitch
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
F · Paris
9.00
1 ⚽
4 shots · 41 pass
Vitinha
Vitinha
M · Paris
7.90
· 138 pass
D. Doué
D. Doué
F · Paris
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 40 pass
Marquinhos
Marquinhos
D · Paris
7.70
· 84 pass
João Neves
João Neves
M · Paris
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 61 pass
N. Mendes
D · Paris
7.60
· 67 pass
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matvey Safonov G 93 6.70 — — — 18 10% — — —
N. Mendes D 93 7.60 — — — 67 61% — — —
W. Pacho D 93 7.30 — — — 70 66% — — —
Marquinhos D 93 7.70 — — — 84 80% 2 — —
A. Hakimi D 93 7.00 — — 2 78 71% 1 — —
Warren Zaïre-Emery M 93 6.90 — — — 63 60% 1 — —
Vitinha M 93 7.90 — — — 138 132% 2 — —
João Neves M 93 7.70 — 1 1 61 57% 2 — —
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F 93 9.00 1 — 4 41 38% 2 — —
Ousmane Dembélé F 88 7.50 — — 3 71 61% — — —
D. Doué F 78 7.90 1 — 2 40 36% — — —
Kang-in Lee M 15 6.70 — — — 11 10% — — —
Lucas Hernández D 5 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Liverpool Liverpool — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Mamardashvili G 93 6.90 — — — 26 15% — — —
J. Gomez D 93 6.30 — — — 25 18% 1 1 —
V. van Dijk D 93 6.60 — — — 21 16% 1 — —
Ibrahima Konaté D 93 6.90 — — — 18 15% 2 — —
Miloš Kerkez M 78 6.70 — — — 13 10% 2 — —
Alexis Mac Allister M 93 6.50 — — — 24 20% 2 1 —
R. Gravenberch M 93 6.60 — — — 29 24% 2 — —
D. Szoboszlai M 78 6.20 — — — 28 19% 1 — —
J. Frimpong M 91 6.00 — — — 12 10% — — —
H. Ekitike F 78 6.30 — — 1 23 13% 1 — —
F. Wirtz F 78 7.00 — — — 19 17% 3 — —
A. Isak F 15 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
A. Robertson D 15 6.90 — — — 7 4% — — —
C. Gakpo F 15 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
C. Jones M 15 6.70 — — — 4 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Liverpool.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Liverpool?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 18% to a draw, and 15% to an Liverpool win.