✗Model wrong — prediction Paris Saint Germain, result Draw
I. Mbaye
6'
W. Zaire-Emery
(ast. D. Doue)
62'
12'
(ast. P. Katseris)
P. Pagis
78'
A. Tosin
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 83% win probability (draw 9%, Lorient 6%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Lorient. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lorient.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
3
1.96
Actual xG
0.79
1
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
12
Corners
2
13
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽I. Mbaye
6'
12'
ast. P. Katseris ·
P. Pagis⚽
L. Hernandez
47'
F. Ruiz
/ W. Zaire-Emery
61'
I. Mbaye
/ J. Neves
62'
⚽W. Zaire-Emery
· ast. D. Doue
62'
72'
D. Karim
/
P. Pagis
72'
A. Tosin
/
B. Dieng
73'
J. Makengo
/
A. Avom
D. Doue
/ P. Mounguengue
75'
78'
A. Tosin⚽
80'
D. Yongwa
/
P. Katseris
90'+1
D. Yongwa
Pre-match prediction
83.31%
Paris
9.88%
X ←
6.81%
Lorient
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
9.88%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.21
1.96
-2.25
0.99
0.79
-0.2
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (1.96 vs 0.79).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
89
G
21
Lucas Hernández
D
Lucas Hernández
D
51
Willian Pacho
D
Willian Pacho
D
4
Lucas Beraldo
D
Lucas Beraldo
D
24
Senny Mayulu
D
Senny Mayulu
D
27
Dro Fernández
M
Dro Fernández
M
8
Fabián Ruiz
61'
M
Fabián Ruiz
61'
M
19
Lee Kang-In
M
Lee Kang-In
M
29
B. Barcola
F
B. Barcola
F
14
Désiré Doué
1 👟
75'
F
Désiré Doué
1 👟
75'
F
49
Ibrahim Mbaye
1 ⚽
62'
F
Ibrahim Mbaye
1 ⚽
62'
F
Bench
87
João Neves
31'
M
João Neves
31'
M
7
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
F
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
F
5
Marquinhos
D
Marquinhos
D
10
O. Dembélé
F
O. Dembélé
F
33
Warren Zaïre-Emery
1 ⚽
32'
M
Warren Zaïre-Emery
1 ⚽
32'
M
38
G
25
D
3
M. Talbi
D
M. Talbi
D
32
Nathaniel Adjei
D
Nathaniel Adjei
D
43
K. Kouassi
M
K. Kouassi
M
8
Noah Cadiou
M
Noah Cadiou
M
6
Laurent Abergel
M
Laurent Abergel
M
77
Panos Katseris
1 👟
80'
M
Panos Katseris
1 👟
80'
M
10
P. Pagis
1 ⚽
72'
F
P. Pagis
1 ⚽
72'
F
62
Arthur Avom Ebong
73'
F
Arthur Avom Ebong
73'
F
12
B. Dieng
72'
F
B. Dieng
72'
F
Bench
15
Aiyegun Tosin
1 ⚽
21'
F
Aiyegun Tosin
1 ⚽
21'
F
44
Darlin Yongwa
13'
D
Darlin Yongwa
13'
D
17
Jean Victor Makengo
20'
M
Jean Victor Makengo
20'
M
29
Karim Dermane
21'
M
Karim Dermane
21'
M
Best on the pitch
Aiyegun Tosin
F · Lorient
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
Désiré Doué
F · Paris
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 35 pass
Warren Zaïre-Emery
M · Paris
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
Ibrahim Mbaye
F · Paris
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
M. Talbi
D · Lorient
7.30
2 shots
· 35 pass
P. Pagis
F · Lorient
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| Lucas Hernández | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 68 | 63% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Willian Pacho | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Beraldo | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 87 | 80% | 1 | — | — |
| Senny Mayulu | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 47 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Dro Fernández | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabián Ruiz | M | 61 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Lee Kang-In | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Barcola | F | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Désiré Doué | F | 75 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 35 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | F | 62 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| João Neves | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Warren Zaïre-Emery | M | 32 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
Lorient — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — | |
| M. Talbi | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Nathaniel Adjei | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Kouassi | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Noah Cadiou | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Laurent Abergel | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Panos Katseris | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Pagis | F | 72 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Avom Ebong | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Dieng | F | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Aiyegun Tosin | F | 21 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Darlin Yongwa | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Jean Victor Makengo | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Karim Dermane | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Lorient.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient?
The model assigned 83% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 9% to a draw, and 6% to an Lorient win.