Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 17:00

Paris Saint Germain

#1 · 76 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Lorient

#9 · 45 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Paris Saint Germain, result Pareggio

I. Mbaye 6'

W. Zaire-Emery (ast. D. Doue) 62'

12' (ast. P. Katseris) P. Pagis

78' A. Tosin

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 83% win probability (draw 9%, Lorient 6%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Lorient. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lorient.

Match statistics

15

Total shots

5

6

Shots on target

3

1.96

Actual xG

0.79

1

Saves

4

68%

Possession

32%

12

Corners

2

13

Tackles

12

1

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽I. Mbaye

6'

12'

ast. P. Katseris · P. Pagis⚽

L. Hernandez

47'

↕ F. Ruiz / W. Zaire-Emery

61'

↕ I. Mbaye / J. Neves

62'

⚽W. Zaire-Emery · ast. D. Doue

62'

72'

D. Karim / P. Pagis ↕

72'

A. Tosin / B. Dieng ↕

73'

J. Makengo / A. Avom ↕

↕ D. Doue / P. Mounguengue

75'

78'

A. Tosin⚽

80'

D. Yongwa / P. Katseris ↕

90'+1

D. Yongwa

Pre-match prediction

83.31%

Paris

9.88%

X ←

6.81%

Lorient

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 9.88% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Paris

4.21

1.96

-2.25

Lorient

0.99

0.79

-0.2

Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (1.96 vs 0.79). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	33	76
1	Rodez	1	3
2	Lens	33	67
2	RED Star FC 93	1	0
3	Lille	33	61
4	Lyon	33	60
5	Rennes	33	59
6	Marseille	33	56
7	Monaco	33	54
8	Strasbourg	33	50
9	Lorient	33	45
10	Toulouse	33	44
11	Paris FC	33	41
12	Stade Brestois 29	33	38
13	Angers	33	35
14	Le Havre	33	32
15	Auxerre	33	31
16	Nice	33	31
17	Nantes	33	23
18	Metz	33	16

Lineups

Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3

89

G 6.90

21 Lucas Hernández D 6.90

51

W. Pacho D 6.50

4 Lucas Beraldo D 6.70

24 Senny Mayulu D 6.30

27 Dro Fernández M 6.90

8 Fabián Ruiz 61' M 7.20

19 Kang-in Lee M 6.90

29 Bradley Barcola F 7.20

14 D. Doué 1 👟 75' F 7.70

49 I. Mbaye 1 ⚽ 62' F 7.50

Bench

87 João Neves 31' M 6.70

7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F

5 Marquinhos D

10 Ousmane Dembélé F

33

Warren Zaïre-Emery 1 ⚽ 32' M 7.60

Lorient 3-4-2-1

38

G 6.30

25

D 6.20

3 Montassar Talbi D 7.30

32 Nathaniel Adjei D 6.30

43 Arsène Kouassi M 6.30

8 Noah Cadiou M 6.70

6 Laurent Abergel M 6.60

77 Panos Katseris 1 👟 80' M 7.20

10 P. Pagis 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.30

62 Arthur Avom Ebong 73' F 6.20

12 B. Dieng 72' F 6.70

Bench

15 Aiyegun Tosin 1 ⚽ 21' F 8.00

44

Darlin Yongwa 13' D 6.90

17 Jean Victor Makengo 20' M 6.50

29 Karim Dermane 21' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

Aiyegun Tosin

F · Lorient

8.00

1 ⚽

2 shots

D. Doué

F · Paris

7.70

1 👟

3 shots · 35 pass

Warren Zaïre-Emery

M · Paris

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 25 pass

I. Mbaye

F · Paris

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 27 pass

Montassar Talbi

D · Lorient

7.30

2 shots · 35 pass

P. Pagis

F · Lorient

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 20 pass

Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	6.90	—	—	—	17	15%	—	—	—
Lucas Hernández	D	93	6.90	—	—	2	68	63%	3	1	—
W. Pacho	D	93	6.50	—	—	—	60	56%	—	—	—
Lucas Beraldo	D	93	6.70	—	—	—	87	80%	1	—	—
Senny Mayulu	D	93	6.30	—	—	4	47	41%	1	—	—
Dro Fernández	M	93	6.90	—	—	1	30	28%	2	—	—
Fabián Ruiz	M	61	7.20	—	—	1	68	66%	—	—	—
Kang-in Lee	M	93	6.90	—	—	1	62	55%	1	—	—
Bradley Barcola	F	93	7.20	—	—	1	37	33%	3	—	—
D. Doué	F	75	7.70	—	1	3	35	32%	2	—	—
I. Mbaye	F	62	7.50	1	—	1	27	23%	—	—	—
João Neves	M	31	6.70	—	—	—	35	34%	—	—	—
Warren Zaïre-Emery	M	32	7.60	1	—	1	25	24%	—	—	—

Lorient — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	6.30	—	—	—	51	35%	—	—	—
	D	93	6.20	—	—	—	35	30%	2	—	—
Montassar Talbi	D	93	7.30	—	—	2	35	31%	2	—	—
Nathaniel Adjei	D	93	6.30	—	—	—	17	14%	2	—	—
Arsène Kouassi	M	93	6.30	—	—	—	18	16%	1	—	—
Noah Cadiou	M	93	6.70	—	—	—	33	28%	—	—	—
Laurent Abergel	M	93	6.60	—	—	—	25	21%	—	—	—
Panos Katseris	M	80	7.20	—	1	—	12	10%	4	—	—
P. Pagis	F	72	7.30	1	—	1	20	15%	—	—	—
Arthur Avom Ebong	F	73	6.20	—	—	—	22	16%	1	—	—
B. Dieng	F	72	6.70	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
Aiyegun Tosin	F	21	8.00	1	—	2	—	—	—	—	—
Darlin Yongwa	D	13	6.90	—	—	—	3	2%	—	1	—
Jean Victor Makengo	M	20	6.50	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—
Karim Dermane	M	21	6.30	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—