Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 17:00 Parc des Princes, Paris

Paris Saint Germain

#6 · 8 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Lorient

#12 · 5 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Paris Saint Germain, result Draw

I. Mbaye 6'

W. Zaire-Emery (ast. D. Doue) 62'

12' (ast. P. Katseris) P. Pagis

78' A. Tosin

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 83% win probability (draw 9%, Lorient 6%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Lorient. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lorient.

Match statistics

15

Total shots

5

6

Shots on target

3

1.96

Actual xG

0.79

1

Saves

4

68%

Possession

32%

12

Corners

2

13

Tackles

12

1

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽I. Mbaye

6'

12'

ast. P. Katseris · P. Pagis⚽

L. Hernandez

47'

↕ F. Ruiz / W. Zaire-Emery

61'

↕ I. Mbaye / J. Neves

62'

⚽W. Zaire-Emery · ast. D. Doue

62'

72'

D. Karim / P. Pagis ↕

72'

A. Tosin / B. Dieng ↕

73'

J. Makengo / A. Avom ↕

↕ D. Doue / P. Mounguengue

75'

78'

A. Tosin⚽

80'

D. Yongwa / P. Katseris ↕

90'+1

D. Yongwa

Pre-match prediction

83.31%

Paris

9.88%

X ←

6.81%

Lorient

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 9.88% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Paris

4.21

1.96

-2.25

Lorient

0.99

0.79

-0.2

Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (1.96 vs 0.79). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Monaco	5	13
2	Lyon	5	11
3	Paris FC	5	11
4	Lille	5	10
5	Rennes	5	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	8
7	Angers	5	7
8	Strasbourg	5	7
9	Le Mans	5	6
10	Auxerre	5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	5
12	Lorient	5	5
13	Toulouse	5	5
14	Nice	5	5
15	Lens	5	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	4
17	Marseille	5	3
18	Le Havre	5	2

Lineups

Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3

89

G 6.90

21 L. Hernández D 6.90

51 Willian Pacho D 6.50

4 Beraldo D 6.70

24 Senny Mayulu D 6.30

27 Pedro Fernández M 6.90

8 Fabián Ruiz 61' M 7.20

19 Kang-in Lee M 6.90

29 B. Barcola F 7.20

14 D. Doué 1 👟 75' F 7.70

49 I. Mbaye 1 ⚽ 62' F 7.50

Bench

87 João Neves 31' M 6.70

7 K. Kvaratskhelia F

5 Marquinhos D

10 O. Dembélé F

33 W. Zaïre-Emery 1 ⚽ 32' M 7.60

Lorient 3-4-2-1

38

G 6.30

25

D 6.20

3 M. Talbi D 7.30

32 N. Adjei D 6.30

43 K. Kouassi M 6.30

8 N. Cadiou M 6.70

6 Laurent Abergel M 6.60

77 P. Katseris 1 👟 80' M 7.20

10 P. Pagis 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.30

62

A. Avom 73' F 6.20

12 B. Dieng 72' F 6.70

Bench

15 A. Tosin 1 ⚽ 21' F 8.00

29 D. Karim 21' M 6.30

44

D. Yongwa 13' D 6.90

17 J. Makengo 20' M 6.50

Best on the pitch

A. Tosin

F · Lorient

8.00

1 ⚽

2 shots

D. Doué

F · Paris

7.70

1 👟

3 shots · 35 pass

W. Zaïre-Emery

M · Paris

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 25 pass

I. Mbaye

F · Paris

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 27 pass

P. Pagis

F · Lorient

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 20 pass

M. Talbi

D · Lorient

7.30

2 shots · 35 pass

Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	6.90	—	—	—	17	15%	—	—	—
L. Hernández	D	93	6.90	—	—	2	68	63%	3	1	—
Willian Pacho	D	93	6.50	—	—	—	60	56%	—	—	—
Beraldo	D	93	6.70	—	—	—	87	80%	1	—	—
Senny Mayulu	D	93	6.30	—	—	4	47	41%	1	—	—
Pedro Fernández	M	93	6.90	—	—	1	30	28%	2	—	—
Fabián Ruiz	M	61	7.20	—	—	1	68	66%	—	—	—
Kang-in Lee	M	93	6.90	—	—	1	62	55%	1	—	—
B. Barcola	F	93	7.20	—	—	1	37	33%	3	—	—
D. Doué	F	75	7.70	—	1	3	35	32%	2	—	—
I. Mbaye	F	62	7.50	1	—	1	27	23%	—	—	—
João Neves	M	31	6.70	—	—	—	35	34%	—	—	—
W. Zaïre-Emery	M	32	7.60	1	—	1	25	24%	—	—	—

Lorient — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	6.30	—	—	—	51	35%	—	—	—
	D	93	6.20	—	—	—	35	30%	2	—	—
M. Talbi	D	93	7.30	—	—	2	35	31%	2	—	—
N. Adjei	D	93	6.30	—	—	—	17	14%	2	—	—
K. Kouassi	M	93	6.30	—	—	—	18	16%	1	—	—
N. Cadiou	M	93	6.70	—	—	—	33	28%	—	—	—
Laurent Abergel	M	93	6.60	—	—	—	25	21%	—	—	—
P. Katseris	M	80	7.20	—	1	—	12	10%	4	—	—
P. Pagis	F	72	7.30	1	—	1	20	15%	—	—	—
A. Avom	F	73	6.20	—	—	—	22	16%	1	—	—
B. Dieng	F	72	6.70	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
A. Tosin	F	21	8.00	1	—	2	—	—	—	—	—
D. Karim	M	21	6.30	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
D. Yongwa	D	13	6.90	—	—	—	3	2%	—	1	—
J. Makengo	M	20	6.50	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—