Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 17:00 Parc des Princes, Paris

Paris Saint Germain

#1 · 76 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Lorient

#9 · 45 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Paris Saint Germain, result Draw

I. Mbaye 6'

W. Zaire-Emery (ast. D. Doue) 62'

12' (ast. P. Katseris) P. Pagis

78' A. Tosin

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 83% win probability (draw 9%, Lorient 6%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Lorient. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lorient.

Match statistics

15

Total shots

5

6

Shots on target

3

1.96

Actual xG

0.79

1

Saves

4

68%

Possession

32%

12

Corners

2

13

Tackles

12

1

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽I. Mbaye

6'

12'

ast. P. Katseris · P. Pagis⚽

L. Hernandez

47'

↕ F. Ruiz / W. Zaire-Emery

61'

↕ I. Mbaye / J. Neves

62'

⚽W. Zaire-Emery · ast. D. Doue

62'

72'

D. Karim / P. Pagis ↕

72'

A. Tosin / B. Dieng ↕

73'

J. Makengo / A. Avom ↕

↕ D. Doue / P. Mounguengue

75'

78'

A. Tosin⚽

80'

D. Yongwa / P. Katseris ↕

90'+1

D. Yongwa

Pre-match prediction

83.31%

Paris

9.88%

X ←

6.81%

Lorient

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 9.88% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Paris

4.21

1.96

-2.25

Lorient

0.99

0.79

-0.2

Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (1.96 vs 0.79). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Rodez	1	3
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	76
2	Lens	34	70
2	RED Star FC 93	1	0
3	Lille	34	61
4	Lyon	34	60
5	Marseille	34	59
6	Rennes	34	59
7	Monaco	34	54
8	Strasbourg	34	53
9	Lorient	34	45
10	Toulouse	33	44
11	Paris FC	34	44
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	39
13	Angers	34	36
14	Le Havre	34	35
15	Auxerre	34	34
16	Nice	34	32
17	Nantes	33	23
18	Metz	34	17

Lineups

Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3

89

G 6.90

21 Lucas Hernández D 6.90

51 W. Pacho D 6.50

4 Lucas Beraldo D 6.70

24 Senny Mayulu D 6.30

27 Dro Fernández M 6.90

8 Fabián Ruiz 61' M 7.20

19 Lee Kang-In M 6.90

29 B. Barcola F 7.20

14 Désiré Doué 1 👟 75' F 7.70

49 Ibrahim Mbaye 1 ⚽ 62' F 7.50

Bench

87 João Neves 31' M 6.70

7 K. Kvaratskhelia F

5 Marquinhos D

10 O. Dembélé F

33 Warren Zaïre-Emery 1 ⚽ 32' M 7.60

Lorient 3-4-2-1

38

G 6.30

25

D 6.20

3 M. Talbi D 7.30

32 Nathaniel Adjei D 6.30

43 K. Kouassi M 6.30

8 Noah Cadiou M 6.70

6 Laurent Abergel M 6.60

77 Panos Katseris 1 👟 80' M 7.20

10 P. Pagis 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.30

62 Arthur Avom Ebong 73' F 6.20

12 B. Dieng 72' F 6.70

Bench

15 Aiyegun Tosin 1 ⚽ 21' F 8.00

44 Darlin Yongwa 13' D 6.90

17 Jean Victor Makengo 20' M 6.50

29 Karim Dermane 21' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

Aiyegun Tosin

F · Lorient

8.00

1 ⚽

2 shots

Désiré Doué

F · Paris

7.70

1 👟

3 shots · 35 pass

Warren Zaïre-Emery

M · Paris

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 25 pass

Ibrahim Mbaye

F · Paris

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 27 pass

M. Talbi

D · Lorient

7.30

2 shots · 35 pass

P. Pagis

F · Lorient

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 20 pass

Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	6.90	—	—	—	17	15%	—	—	—
Lucas Hernández	D	93	6.90	—	—	2	68	63%	3	1	—
W. Pacho	D	93	6.50	—	—	—	60	56%	—	—	—
Lucas Beraldo	D	93	6.70	—	—	—	87	80%	1	—	—
Senny Mayulu	D	93	6.30	—	—	4	47	41%	1	—	—
Dro Fernández	M	93	6.90	—	—	1	30	28%	2	—	—
Fabián Ruiz	M	61	7.20	—	—	1	68	66%	—	—	—
Lee Kang-In	M	93	6.90	—	—	1	62	55%	1	—	—
B. Barcola	F	93	7.20	—	—	1	37	33%	3	—	—
Désiré Doué	F	75	7.70	—	1	3	35	32%	2	—	—
Ibrahim Mbaye	F	62	7.50	1	—	1	27	23%	—	—	—
João Neves	M	31	6.70	—	—	—	35	34%	—	—	—
Warren Zaïre-Emery	M	32	7.60	1	—	1	25	24%	—	—	—

Lorient — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	93	6.30	—	—	—	51	35%	—	—	—
	D	93	6.20	—	—	—	35	30%	2	—	—
M. Talbi	D	93	7.30	—	—	2	35	31%	2	—	—
Nathaniel Adjei	D	93	6.30	—	—	—	17	14%	2	—	—
K. Kouassi	M	93	6.30	—	—	—	18	16%	1	—	—
Noah Cadiou	M	93	6.70	—	—	—	33	28%	—	—	—
Laurent Abergel	M	93	6.60	—	—	—	25	21%	—	—	—
Panos Katseris	M	80	7.20	—	1	—	12	10%	4	—	—
P. Pagis	F	72	7.30	1	—	1	20	15%	—	—	—
Arthur Avom Ebong	F	73	6.20	—	—	—	22	16%	1	—	—
B. Dieng	F	72	6.70	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
Aiyegun Tosin	F	21	8.00	1	—	2	—	—	—	—	—
Darlin Yongwa	D	13	6.90	—	—	—	3	2%	—	1	—
Jean Victor Makengo	M	20	6.50	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—
Karim Dermane	M	21	6.30	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—