Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 30
April 19, 2026 20:45
✗Model wrong — prediction Paris Saint Germain, result Lyon vince
K. Kvaratskhelia
(ast. F. Ruiz)
90'+4
6'
(ast. A. Moreira)
Endrick
18'
(ast. Endrick)
A. Moreira
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 84% win probability (draw 7%, Lyon 7%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Lyon. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lyon.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
5
2.82
Actual xG
0.70
3
Saves
4
77%
Possession
23%
13
Corners
5
11
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
6'
ast. A. Moreira ·
Endrick⚽
13'
R. Kluivert
18'
ast. Endrick ·
A. Moreira⚽
I. Zabarnyi
29'
L. Beraldo
30'
⚽G. Ramos
(missed pen.)
33'
33'
P. Fonseca
Vitinha
/ W. Zaire-Emery
39'
D. Doue
/ K. Kvaratskhelia
59'
S. Mayulu
/ Lee Kang-In
59'
G. Ramos
/ O. Dembele
59'
60'
H. Hateboer
/
R. Kluivert
Lee Kang-In
65'
L. Hernandez
68'
B. Barcola
/ F. Ruiz
72'
79'
A. Karabec
/
Endrick
79'
T. Tessmann
/
O. Mangala
85'
N. Kamara
/
K. Merah
⚽K. Kvaratskhelia
· ast. F. Ruiz
90'+4
F. Ruiz
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
84.66%
Paris
7.92%
X
7.42%
Lyon ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lyon)
7.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.13
2.82
-1.31
0.87
0.70
-0.17
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (2.82 vs 0.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
39
Matvey Safonov
G
Matvey Safonov
G
21
Lucas Hernández
D
Lucas Hernández
D
51
W. Pacho
D
6
Ilya Zabarnyi
D
Ilya Zabarnyi
D
2
A. Hakimi
D
A. Hakimi
D
17
Vitinha
39'
M
Vitinha
39'
M
4
Lucas Beraldo
M
Lucas Beraldo
M
24
Senny Mayulu
59'
M
Senny Mayulu
59'
M
29
Bradley Barcola
72'
F
Bradley Barcola
72'
F
9
Gonçalo Ramos
59'
F
Gonçalo Ramos
59'
F
14
D. Doué
59'
F
D. Doué
59'
F
Bench
27
Dro Fernández
M
Dro Fernández
M
8
Fabián Ruiz
1 👟
22'
M
Fabián Ruiz
1 👟
22'
M
87
João Neves
M
João Neves
M
19
Kang-in Lee
35'
M
Kang-in Lee
35'
M
7
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1 ⚽
35'
F
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1 ⚽
35'
F
5
Marquinhos
D
Marquinhos
D
10
Ousmane Dembélé
35'
F
Ousmane Dembélé
35'
F
33
Warren Zaïre-Emery
55'
M
1
Dominik Greif
G
Dominik Greif
G
21
Ruben Kluivert
60'
D
Ruben Kluivert
60'
D
19
D
22
Clinton Mata
D
Clinton Mata
D
98
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
D
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
D
16
Abner Vinícius
M
Abner Vinícius
M
5
O. Mangala
79'
M
O. Mangala
79'
M
23
Tyler Morton
M
Tyler Morton
M
44
Khalis Merah
85'
M
Khalis Merah
85'
M
17
Afonso Moreira
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Afonso Moreira
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
9
Endrick
1 ⚽
1 👟
79'
F
Endrick
1 ⚽
1 👟
79'
F
Bench
7
A. Karabec
15'
M
A. Karabec
15'
M
33
Hans Hateboer
34'
D
Hans Hateboer
34'
D
99
Noah Nartey
M
Noah Nartey
M
18
R. Ghezzal
F
77
Roman Yaremchuk
F
Roman Yaremchuk
F
34
S. Kango
D
6
Tanner Tessmann
15'
M
Best on the pitch
Afonso Moreira
F · Lyon
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 21 pass
Endrick
F · Lyon
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 13 pass
Fabián Ruiz
M · Paris
7.70
1 👟
· 25 pass
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
F · Paris
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 25 pass
Dominik Greif
G · Lyon
7.50
· 25 pass
Warren Zaïre-Emery
M · Paris
7.30
· 53 pass
Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvey Safonov | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Hernández | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 94 | 87% | 2 | 1 | — |
| W. Pacho | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 122 | 118% | — | — | — |
| Ilya Zabarnyi | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 125 | 123% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Hakimi | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 92 | 83% | 2 | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 39 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Beraldo | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 5 | 56 | 51% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Senny Mayulu | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Bradley Barcola | F | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Ramos | F | 59 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Doué | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Fabián Ruiz | M | 22 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Kang-in Lee | M | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | F | 35 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Ousmane Dembélé | F | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Warren Zaïre-Emery | M | 55 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
Lyon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Greif | G | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ruben Kluivert | D | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| Clinton Mata | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ainsley Maitland-Niles | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Abner Vinícius | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Mangala | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Tyler Morton | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Khalis Merah | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Afonso Moreira | F | 94 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Endrick | F | 79 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Karabec | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Hans Hateboer | D | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Tanner Tessmann | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Lyon.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
The model assigned 84% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 7% to a draw, and 7% to an Lyon win.