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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30 April 19, 2026 20:45 Parc des Princes, Paris
Paris Saint Germain
#1 · 76 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Lyon
#4 · 60 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Paris Saint Germain, result Lyon wins
K. Kvaratskhelia (ast. F. Ruiz) 90'+4
6' (ast. A. Moreira) Endrick
18' (ast. Endrick) A. Moreira
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 84% win probability (draw 7%, Lyon 7%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Lyon. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lyon.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
5
2.82
Actual xG
0.70
3
Saves
4
77%
Possession
23%
13
Corners
5
11
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
6'
ast. A. Moreira · Endrick⚽
13'
R. Kluivert
18'
ast. Endrick · A. Moreira⚽
I. Zabarnyi
29'
L. Beraldo
30'
⚽G. Ramos (missed pen.)
33'
33'
P. Fonseca
↕ Vitinha / W. Zaire-Emery
39'
↕ D. Doue / K. Kvaratskhelia
59'
↕ S. Mayulu / Lee Kang-In
59'
↕ G. Ramos / O. Dembele
59'
60'
H. Hateboer / R. Kluivert ↕
Lee Kang-In
65'
L. Hernandez
68'
↕ B. Barcola / F. Ruiz
72'
79'
A. Karabec / Endrick ↕
79'
T. Tessmann / O. Mangala ↕
85'
N. Kamara / K. Merah ↕
⚽K. Kvaratskhelia · ast. F. Ruiz
90'+4
F. Ruiz
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
84.66%
Paris
7.92%
X
7.42%
Lyon ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lyon) 7.42% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
4.13
2.82
-1.31
Lyon
0.87
0.70
-0.17
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (2.82 vs 0.70). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 34 76
2 Lens Lens 34 70
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 34 61
4 Lyon Lyon 34 60
5 Marseille Marseille 34 59
6 Rennes Rennes 34 59
7 Monaco Monaco 34 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 34 53
9 Lorient Lorient 34 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 34 44
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 34 39
13 Angers Angers 34 36
14 Le Havre Le Havre 34 35
15 Auxerre Auxerre 34 34
16 Nice Nice 34 32
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 34 17
Lineups
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
39 Matvey Safonov Matvey Safonov G 7.20
21 Lucas Hernández Lucas Hernández D 7.00
51 W. Pacho W. Pacho D 7.20
6 I. Zabarnyi I. Zabarnyi D 7.00
2 Achraf Hakimi Achraf Hakimi D 6.30
17 Vitinha Vitinha 39' M 6.50
4 Lucas Beraldo Lucas Beraldo M 7.20
24 Senny Mayulu Senny Mayulu 59' M 6.20
29 B. Barcola B. Barcola 72' F 6.70
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos 59' F 5.90
14 Désiré Doué Désiré Doué 59' F 6.90
Bench
27 Dro Fernández Dro Fernández M
8 Fabián Ruiz Fabián Ruiz 1 👟 22' M 7.70
87 João Neves João Neves M
7 K. Kvaratskhelia K. Kvaratskhelia 1 ⚽ 35' F 7.60
19 Lee Kang-In Lee Kang-In 35' M 6.30
5 Marquinhos Marquinhos D
10 O. Dembélé O. Dembélé 35' F 6.50
33 Warren Zaïre-Emery Warren Zaïre-Emery 55' M 7.30
Lyon Lyon 4-3-1-2
1 Dominik Greif Dominik Greif G 7.50
21 Ruben Kluivert Ruben Kluivert 60' D 6.50
19
D 7.00
22 Clinton Mata Clinton Mata D 7.20
98 Ainsley Maitland-Niles Ainsley Maitland-Niles D 7.20
16 Abner Vinícius Abner Vinícius M 6.30
5 O. Mangala O. Mangala 79' M 6.30
23 T. Morton T. Morton M 6.60
44 Khalis Merah Khalis Merah 85' M 6.90
17 Afonso Moreira Afonso Moreira 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.20
9 Endrick Endrick 1 ⚽ 1 👟 79' F 8.20
Bench
7 A. Karabec A. Karabec 15' M 6.30
33 Hans Hateboer Hans Hateboer 34' D 6.60
99 Noah Nartey Noah Nartey M
18
R. Ghezzal F
77 Roman Yaremchuk Roman Yaremchuk F
34
S. Kango D
6
Tanner Tessmann 15' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Afonso Moreira
Afonso Moreira
F · Lyon
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 21 pass
Endrick
Endrick
F · Lyon
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 13 pass
Fabián Ruiz
Fabián Ruiz
M · Paris
7.70
1 👟
· 25 pass
K. Kvaratskhelia
K. Kvaratskhelia
F · Paris
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 25 pass
Dominik Greif
Dominik Greif
G · Lyon
7.50
· 25 pass
Warren Zaïre-Emery
Warren Zaïre-Emery
M · Paris
7.30
· 53 pass
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matvey Safonov G 94 7.20 — — — 14 14% — — —
Lucas Hernández D 94 7.00 — — — 94 87% 2 1 —
W. Pacho D 94 7.20 — — — 122 118% — — —
I. Zabarnyi D 94 7.00 — — — 125 123% 3 1 —
Achraf Hakimi D 94 6.30 — — — 92 83% 2 — —
Vitinha M 39 6.50 — — — 30 26% — — —
Lucas Beraldo M 94 7.20 — — 5 56 51% 3 1 —
Senny Mayulu M 59 6.20 — — 1 30 27% — — —
B. Barcola F 72 6.70 — — 1 29 20% — — —
Gonçalo Ramos F 59 5.90 — — 3 15 11% — — —
Désiré Doué F 59 6.90 — — 1 40 35% — — —
Fabián Ruiz M 22 7.70 — 1 — 25 23% — — —
K. Kvaratskhelia F 35 7.60 1 — 3 25 24% — — —
Lee Kang-In M 35 6.30 — — — 27 25% — 1 —
O. Dembélé F 35 6.50 — — 2 8 7% — — —
Warren Zaïre-Emery M 55 7.30 — — — 53 51% 1 — —
Lyon Lyon — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dominik Greif G 94 7.50 — — — 25 12% 1 — —
Ruben Kluivert D 60 6.50 — — — 17 10% 2 1 —
D 94 7.00 — — — 24 21% 1 — —
Clinton Mata D 94 7.20 — — — 21 19% — — —
Ainsley Maitland-Niles D 94 7.20 — — — 16 11% 2 — —
Abner Vinícius M 94 6.30 — — 1 13 10% 2 — —
O. Mangala M 79 6.30 — — — 21 18% — — —
T. Morton M 94 6.60 — — — 32 23% 2 — —
Khalis Merah M 85 6.90 — — — 22 18% 4 — —
Afonso Moreira F 94 9.20 1 1 2 21 15% 2 — —
Endrick F 79 8.20 1 1 2 13 8% 2 — —
A. Karabec M 15 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Hans Hateboer D 34 6.60 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
Tanner Tessmann M 15 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Lyon.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
The model assigned 84% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 7% to a draw, and 7% to an Lyon win.