✗Model wrong — prediction Paris Saint Germain, result Lyon wins
K. Kvaratskhelia
(ast. F. Ruiz)
90'+4
6'
(ast. A. Moreira)
Endrick
18'
(ast. Endrick)
A. Moreira
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 84% win probability (draw 7%, Lyon 7%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Lyon. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lyon.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
5
2.82
Actual xG
0.70
3
Saves
4
77%
Possession
23%
13
Corners
5
11
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
6'
ast. A. Moreira ·
Endrick⚽
13'
R. Kluivert
18'
ast. Endrick ·
A. Moreira⚽
I. Zabarnyi
29'
L. Beraldo
30'
⚽G. Ramos
(missed pen.)
33'
33'
P. Fonseca
Vitinha
/ W. Zaire-Emery
39'
D. Doue
/ K. Kvaratskhelia
59'
S. Mayulu
/ Lee Kang-In
59'
G. Ramos
/ O. Dembele
59'
60'
H. Hateboer
/
R. Kluivert
Lee Kang-In
65'
L. Hernandez
68'
B. Barcola
/ F. Ruiz
72'
79'
A. Karabec
/
Endrick
79'
T. Tessmann
/
O. Mangala
85'
N. Kamara
/
K. Merah
⚽K. Kvaratskhelia
· ast. F. Ruiz
90'+4
F. Ruiz
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
84.66%
Paris
7.92%
X
7.42%
Lyon ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lyon)
7.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.13
2.82
-1.31
0.87
0.70
-0.17
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (2.82 vs 0.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
39
Matvey Safonov
G
Matvey Safonov
G
21
Lucas Hernández
D
Lucas Hernández
D
51
Willian Pacho
D
Willian Pacho
D
6
Ilya Zabarnyi
D
Ilya Zabarnyi
D
2
Achraf Hakimi
D
Achraf Hakimi
D
17
Vitinha
39'
M
Vitinha
39'
M
4
Lucas Beraldo
M
Lucas Beraldo
M
24
Senny Mayulu
59'
M
Senny Mayulu
59'
M
29
B. Barcola
72'
F
B. Barcola
72'
F
9
Gonçalo Ramos
59'
F
Gonçalo Ramos
59'
F
14
Désiré Doué
59'
F
Désiré Doué
59'
F
Bench
27
Dro Fernández
M
Dro Fernández
M
8
Fabián Ruiz
1 👟
22'
M
Fabián Ruiz
1 👟
22'
M
87
João Neves
M
João Neves
M
7
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1 ⚽
35'
F
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1 ⚽
35'
F
19
Lee Kang-In
35'
M
Lee Kang-In
35'
M
5
Marquinhos
D
Marquinhos
D
10
O. Dembélé
35'
F
O. Dembélé
35'
F
33
Warren Zaïre-Emery
55'
M
Warren Zaïre-Emery
55'
M
1
Dominik Greif
G
Dominik Greif
G
21
Ruben Kluivert
60'
D
Ruben Kluivert
60'
D
19
D
22
Clinton Mata
D
Clinton Mata
D
98
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
D
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
D
16
Abner Vinícius
M
Abner Vinícius
M
5
Orel Mangala
79'
M
Orel Mangala
79'
M
23
Tyler Morton
M
Tyler Morton
M
44
Khalis Merah
85'
M
Khalis Merah
85'
M
17
Afonso Moreira
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Afonso Moreira
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
9
Endrick
1 ⚽
1 👟
79'
F
Endrick
1 ⚽
1 👟
79'
F
Bench
7
Adam Karabec
15'
M
Adam Karabec
15'
M
33
Hans Hateboer
34'
D
Hans Hateboer
34'
D
99
Noah Nartey
M
Noah Nartey
M
18
R. Ghezzal
F
77
Roman Yaremchuk
F
Roman Yaremchuk
F
34
Steeve Kango
D
Steeve Kango
D
6
Tanner Tessmann
15'
M
Tanner Tessmann
15'
M
Best on the pitch
Afonso Moreira
F · Lyon
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 21 pass
Endrick
F · Lyon
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 13 pass
Fabián Ruiz
M · Paris
7.70
1 👟
· 25 pass
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
F · Paris
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 25 pass
Dominik Greif
G · Lyon
7.50
· 25 pass
Warren Zaïre-Emery
M · Paris
7.30
· 53 pass
Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvey Safonov | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Hernández | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 94 | 87% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Willian Pacho | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 122 | 118% | — | — | — |
| Ilya Zabarnyi | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 125 | 123% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Achraf Hakimi | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 92 | 83% | 2 | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 39 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Beraldo | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 5 | 56 | 51% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Senny Mayulu | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| B. Barcola | F | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Ramos | F | 59 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Désiré Doué | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Fabián Ruiz | M | 22 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | F | 35 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Lee Kang-In | M | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Dembélé | F | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Warren Zaïre-Emery | M | 55 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
Lyon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Greif | G | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ruben Kluivert | D | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| Clinton Mata | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ainsley Maitland-Niles | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Abner Vinícius | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Orel Mangala | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Tyler Morton | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Khalis Merah | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Afonso Moreira | F | 94 | 9.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Endrick | F | 79 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Adam Karabec | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Hans Hateboer | D | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Tanner Tessmann | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Lyon.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
The model assigned 84% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 7% to a draw, and 7% to an Lyon win.