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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26 April 22, 2026 19:00
Paris Saint Germain
#1 · 76 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Nantes
#17 · 23 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Paris Saint Germain
K. Kvaratskhelia 13' (pen.)
D. Doue (ast. A. Hakimi) 37'
K. Kvaratskhelia (ast. O. Dembele) 50'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 86% win probability (draw 8%, Nantes 4%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Nantes. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nantes.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
4
2.15
Actual xG
0.87
4
Saves
3
70%
Possession
30%
7
Corners
6
13
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽K. Kvaratskhelia (pen.)
13'
22'
W. Zaire-Emery
35'
⚽D. Doue · ast. A. Hakimi
37'
I. Zabarnyi
41'
46'
F. Guilbert
⚽K. Kvaratskhelia · ast. O. Dembele
50'
↕ J. Neves / F. Ruiz
60'
↕ A. Hakimi / L. Hernandez
60'
↕ W. Zaire-Emery / S. Mayulu
60'
65'
D. Tabibou / L. Leroux ↕
65'
I. Ganago / Mostafa Mohamed ↕
↕ K. Kvaratskhelia / I. Mbaye
65'
↕ O. Dembele / B. Barcola
65'
73'
B. Deuff / J. Lepenant ↕
79'
C. Awaziem / M. Acapandie ↕
80'
Y. El Arabi / M. Abline ↕
Pre-match prediction
86.24%
Paris ←
8.98%
X
4.77%
Nantes
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain) 86.24% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
3.31
2.15
-1.16
Nantes
0.60
0.87
+0.27
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.87). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
39 Matvey Safonov Matvey Safonov G 7.90
33
Warren Zaïre-Emery 60' D 7.20
6 Ilya Zabarnyi Ilya Zabarnyi D 7.20
5 Marquinhos Marquinhos D 7.90
2 A. Hakimi A. Hakimi 1 👟 60' D 7.20
27 Dro Fernández Dro Fernández M 7.00
4 Lucas Beraldo Lucas Beraldo M 7.30
87 João Neves João Neves 60' M 6.90
7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 2 ⚽ 65' F 9.30
10 Ousmane Dembélé Ousmane Dembélé 1 👟 65' F 7.90
14 D. Doué D. Doué 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
29 Bradley Barcola Bradley Barcola 25' F 6.30
8 Fabián Ruiz Fabián Ruiz 30' M 6.90
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos F
49 I. Mbaye I. Mbaye 25' F 6.90
19 Kang-in Lee Kang-in Lee M
21 Lucas Hernández Lucas Hernández 30' D 6.70
24 Senny Mayulu Senny Mayulu 30' M 6.70
51
W. Pacho D
Nantes Nantes 5-3-2
1
A. Lopes G 7.30
27
D. Machado D 6.00
3
N. Cozza D 6.20
2
Ali Youssef D 6.50
24
F. Guilbert D 6.50
22
M. Acapandie 79' D 5.90
66
L. Leroux 65' M 6.60
28
Ibrahima Sissoko M 6.60
8
J. Lepenant 73' M 6.20
10 M. Abline M. Abline 80' F 6.30
31
Mostafa Mohamed 65' F 6.60
Bench
6
Chidozie Awaziem 11' D 6.60
17
Dehmaine Tabibou 25' M 6.90
37
I. Ganago 25' F 6.70
26
U. Radakovic D
19
Y. El Arabi 10' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
F · Paris
9.30
2 ⚽
3 shots · 50 pass
D. Doué
D. Doué
F · Paris
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 61 pass
Matvey Safonov
Matvey Safonov
G · Paris
7.90
· 9 pass
Marquinhos
Marquinhos
D · Paris
7.90
· 80 pass
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé
F · Paris
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 42 pass
A. Lopes
G · Nantes
7.30
· 29 pass
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matvey Safonov G 90 7.90 — — — 9 8% — — —
Warren Zaïre-Emery D 60 7.20 — — — 73 70% 2 1 —
Ilya Zabarnyi D 90 7.20 — — — 84 81% — 1 —
Marquinhos D 90 7.90 — — — 80 72% — — —
A. Hakimi D 60 7.20 — 1 1 53 47% 1 — —
Dro Fernández M 90 7.00 — — — 53 47% 4 — —
Lucas Beraldo M 90 7.30 — — — 51 47% 2 — —
João Neves M 60 6.90 — — — 41 37% — — —
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F 65 9.30 2 — 3 50 45% 1 — —
Ousmane Dembélé F 65 7.90 — 1 2 42 33% — — —
D. Doué F 90 8.20 1 — 1 61 48% 2 — —
Bradley Barcola F 25 6.30 — — 1 10 10% — — —
Fabián Ruiz M 30 6.90 — — — 41 39% — — —
I. Mbaye F 25 6.90 — — — 19 18% 1 — —
Lucas Hernández D 30 6.70 — — — 43 39% — — —
Senny Mayulu M 30 6.70 — — 2 24 23% — — —
Nantes Nantes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Lopes G 90 7.30 — — — 29 18% — — —
D. Machado D 90 6.00 — — — 28 24% 1 — —
N. Cozza D 90 6.20 — — — 25 23% 1 — —
Ali Youssef D 90 6.50 — — — 28 26% 2 — —
F. Guilbert D 90 6.50 — — 1 19 17% — 1 —
M. Acapandie D 79 5.90 — — — 20 13% — — —
L. Leroux M 65 6.60 — — — 20 15% 1 — —
Ibrahima Sissoko M 90 6.60 — — — 32 27% 2 — —
J. Lepenant M 73 6.20 — — — 35 25% 1 — —
M. Abline F 80 6.30 — — 3 13 6% — — —
Mostafa Mohamed F 65 6.60 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
Chidozie Awaziem D 11 6.60 — — — 8 7% — — —
Dehmaine Tabibou M 25 6.90 — — — 9 7% — — —
I. Ganago F 25 6.70 — — 1 3 3% — — —
Y. El Arabi F 10 6.20 — — — 8 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Nantes.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes?
The model assigned 86% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 8% to a draw, and 4% to an Nantes win.