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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26 April 22, 2026 19:00 Parc des Princes, Paris
Paris Saint Germain
#13 · 0 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Nantes
✓Model correct — prediction Paris Saint Germain
K. Kvaratskhelia 13' (pen.)
D. Doue (ast. A. Hakimi) 37'
K. Kvaratskhelia (ast. O. Dembele) 50'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 86% win probability (draw 8%, Nantes 4%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Nantes. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nantes.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
4
2.15
Actual xG
0.87
4
Saves
3
70%
Possession
30%
7
Corners
6
13
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽K. Kvaratskhelia (pen.)
13'
22'
W. Zaire-Emery
35'
⚽D. Doue · ast. A. Hakimi
37'
I. Zabarnyi
41'
46'
F. Guilbert
⚽K. Kvaratskhelia · ast. O. Dembele
50'
↕ J. Neves / F. Ruiz
60'
↕ A. Hakimi / L. Hernandez
60'
↕ W. Zaire-Emery / S. Mayulu
60'
65'
D. Tabibou / L. Leroux ↕
65'
I. Ganago / Mostafa Mohamed ↕
↕ K. Kvaratskhelia / I. Mbaye
65'
↕ O. Dembele / B. Barcola
65'
73'
B. Deuff / J. Lepenant ↕
79'
C. Awaziem / M. Acapandie ↕
80'
Y. El Arabi / M. Abline ↕
Pre-match prediction
86.24%
Paris ←
8.98%
X
4.77%
Nantes
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain) 86.24% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
3.31
2.15
-1.16
Nantes
0.60
0.87
+0.27
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.87). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Auxerre Auxerre 0 0
2 Angers Angers 0 0
3 Monaco Monaco 0 0
4 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 0 0
5 Lorient Lorient 0 0
6 Le Havre Le Havre 0 0
7 Le Mans Le Mans 0 0
8 Lille Lille 0 0
9 Nice Nice 0 0
10 Lyon Lyon 0 0
11 Marseille Marseille 0 0
12 Paris FC Paris FC 0 0
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0 0
14 Lens Lens 0 0
15 Rennes Rennes 0 0
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 0 0
17 Toulouse Toulouse 0 0
18 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 0 0
Lineups
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
39 Matvey Safonov Matvey Safonov G 7.90
33 Warren Zaïre-Emery Warren Zaïre-Emery 60' D 7.20
6 I. Zabarnyi I. Zabarnyi D 7.20
5 Marquinhos Marquinhos D 7.90
2 A. Hakimi A. Hakimi 1 👟 60' D 7.20
27 Dro Fernández Dro Fernández M 7.00
4 Lucas Beraldo Lucas Beraldo M 7.30
87 João Neves João Neves 60' M 6.90
7 K. Kvaratskhelia K. Kvaratskhelia 2 ⚽ 65' F 9.30
10 O. Dembélé O. Dembélé 1 👟 65' F 7.90
14 D. Doué D. Doué 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
29 B. Barcola B. Barcola 25' F 6.30
8 Fabián Ruiz Fabián Ruiz 30' M 6.90
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos F
49 Ibrahim Mbaye Ibrahim Mbaye 25' F 6.90
19 Lee Kang-In Lee Kang-In M
21 Lucas Hernández Lucas Hernández 30' D 6.70
24 Senny Mayulu Senny Mayulu 30' M 6.70
51 Willian Pacho Willian Pacho D
Nantes Nantes 5-3-2
1
A. Lopes G 7.30
27 Deiver Machado Deiver Machado D 6.00
3
N. Cozza D 6.20
2
Ali Youssef D 6.50
24
F. Guilbert D 6.50
22
Mathieu Acapandié 79' D 5.90
66
L. Leroux 65' M 6.60
28
Ibrahima Sissoko M 6.60
8
J. Lepenant 73' M 6.20
10 M. Abline M. Abline 80' F 6.30
31
Mostafa Mohamed 65' F 6.60
Bench
6
Chidozie Awaziem 11' D 6.60
17
Dehmaine Tabibou 25' M 6.90
37
I. Ganago 25' F 6.70
26
U. Radakovic D
19
Y. El Arabi 10' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
K. Kvaratskhelia
K. Kvaratskhelia
F · Paris
9.30
2 ⚽
3 shots · 50 pass
D. Doué
D. Doué
F · Paris
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 61 pass
Matvey Safonov
Matvey Safonov
G · Paris
7.90
· 9 pass
Marquinhos
Marquinhos
D · Paris
7.90
· 80 pass
O. Dembélé
O. Dembélé
F · Paris
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 42 pass
A. Lopes
G · Nantes
7.30
· 29 pass
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matvey Safonov G 90 7.90 — — — 9 8% — — —
Warren Zaïre-Emery D 60 7.20 — — — 73 70% 2 1 —
I. Zabarnyi D 90 7.20 — — — 84 81% — 1 —
Marquinhos D 90 7.90 — — — 80 72% — — —
A. Hakimi D 60 7.20 — 1 1 53 47% 1 — —
Dro Fernández M 90 7.00 — — — 53 47% 4 — —
Lucas Beraldo M 90 7.30 — — — 51 47% 2 — —
João Neves M 60 6.90 — — — 41 37% — — —
K. Kvaratskhelia F 65 9.30 2 — 3 50 45% 1 — —
O. Dembélé F 65 7.90 — 1 2 42 33% — — —
D. Doué F 90 8.20 1 — 1 61 48% 2 — —
B. Barcola F 25 6.30 — — 1 10 10% — — —
Fabián Ruiz M 30 6.90 — — — 41 39% — — —
Ibrahim Mbaye F 25 6.90 — — — 19 18% 1 — —
Lucas Hernández D 30 6.70 — — — 43 39% — — —
Senny Mayulu M 30 6.70 — — 2 24 23% — — —
Nantes Nantes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Lopes G 90 7.30 — — — 29 18% — — —
Deiver Machado D 90 6.00 — — — 28 24% 1 — —
N. Cozza D 90 6.20 — — — 25 23% 1 — —
Ali Youssef D 90 6.50 — — — 28 26% 2 — —
F. Guilbert D 90 6.50 — — 1 19 17% — 1 —
Mathieu Acapandié D 79 5.90 — — — 20 13% — — —
L. Leroux M 65 6.60 — — — 20 15% 1 — —
Ibrahima Sissoko M 90 6.60 — — — 32 27% 2 — —
J. Lepenant M 73 6.20 — — — 35 25% 1 — —
M. Abline F 80 6.30 — — 3 13 6% — — —
Mostafa Mohamed F 65 6.60 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
Chidozie Awaziem D 11 6.60 — — — 8 7% — — —
Dehmaine Tabibou M 25 6.90 — — — 9 7% — — —
I. Ganago F 25 6.70 — — 1 3 3% — — —
Y. El Arabi F 10 6.20 — — — 8 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Nantes.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes?
The model assigned 86% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 8% to a draw, and 4% to an Nantes win.