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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26 April 22, 2026 19:00 Parc des Princes, Paris
Paris Saint Germain
#14 · 2 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Nantes
✓Model correct — prediction Paris Saint Germain
K. Kvaratskhelia 13' (pen.)
D. Doue (ast. A. Hakimi) 37'
K. Kvaratskhelia (ast. O. Dembele) 50'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 86% win probability (draw 8%, Nantes 4%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Nantes. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nantes.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
4
2.15
Actual xG
0.87
4
Saves
3
70%
Possession
30%
7
Corners
6
13
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽K. Kvaratskhelia (pen.)
13'
22'
W. Zaire-Emery
35'
⚽D. Doue · ast. A. Hakimi
37'
I. Zabarnyi
41'
46'
F. Guilbert
⚽K. Kvaratskhelia · ast. O. Dembele
50'
↕ J. Neves / F. Ruiz
60'
↕ A. Hakimi / L. Hernandez
60'
↕ W. Zaire-Emery / S. Mayulu
60'
65'
D. Tabibou / L. Leroux ↕
65'
I. Ganago / Mostafa Mohamed ↕
↕ K. Kvaratskhelia / I. Mbaye
65'
↕ O. Dembele / B. Barcola
65'
73'
B. Deuff / J. Lepenant ↕
79'
C. Awaziem / M. Acapandie ↕
80'
Y. El Arabi / M. Abline ↕
Pre-match prediction
86.24%
Paris ←
8.98%
X
4.77%
Nantes
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain) 86.24% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
3.31
2.15
-1.16
Nantes
0.60
0.87
+0.27
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (2.15 vs 0.87). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Lyon Lyon 4 8
4 Paris FC Paris FC 4 8
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 4 5
9 Angers Angers 4 4
10 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
11 Lens Lens 3 3
12 Marseille Marseille 4 3
13 Auxerre Auxerre 4 3
14 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
15 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 4 2
17 Toulouse Toulouse 4 2
18 Nice Nice 4 2
Lineups
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
39 M. Safonov M. Safonov G 7.90
33 W. Zaïre-Emery W. Zaïre-Emery 60' D 7.20
6 I. Zabarnyi I. Zabarnyi D 7.20
5 Marquinhos Marquinhos D 7.90
2 A. Hakimi A. Hakimi 1 👟 60' D 7.20
27 Pedro Fernández Pedro Fernández M 7.00
4 Beraldo Beraldo M 7.30
87 João Neves João Neves 60' M 6.90
7 K. Kvaratskhelia K. Kvaratskhelia 2 ⚽ 65' F 9.30
10 O. Dembélé O. Dembélé 1 👟 65' F 7.90
14 D. Doué D. Doué 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
29 B. Barcola B. Barcola 25' F 6.30
8 Fabián Ruiz Fabián Ruiz 30' M 6.90
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos F
49 I. Mbaye I. Mbaye 25' F 6.90
19 Lee Kang-In Lee Kang-In M
21 L. Hernández L. Hernández 30' D 6.70
24 Senny Mayulu Senny Mayulu 30' M 6.70
51 W. Pacho W. Pacho D
Nantes Nantes 5-3-2
1 Anthony Lopes Anthony Lopes G 7.30
27 Deiver Machado Deiver Machado D 6.00
3 N. Cozza N. Cozza D 6.20
2
Ali Youssef D 6.50
24 F. Guilbert F. Guilbert D 6.50
22 M. Acapandié M. Acapandié 79' D 5.90
66 Louis Leroux Louis Leroux 65' M 6.60
28 I. Sissoko I. Sissoko M 6.60
8 J. Lepenant J. Lepenant 73' M 6.20
10 M. Abline M. Abline 80' F 6.30
31 Mostafa Mohamed Mostafa Mohamed 65' F 6.60
Bench
6 Chidozie Awaziem Chidozie Awaziem 11' D 6.60
17 D. Assoumani D. Assoumani 25' M 6.90
37 I. Ganago I. Ganago 25' F 6.70
26
U. Radakovic D
19
Y. El Arabi 10' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
K. Kvaratskhelia
K. Kvaratskhelia
F · Paris
9.30
2 ⚽
3 shots · 50 pass
D. Doué
D. Doué
F · Paris
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 61 pass
M. Safonov
M. Safonov
G · Paris
7.90
· 9 pass
Marquinhos
Marquinhos
D · Paris
7.90
· 80 pass
O. Dembélé
O. Dembélé
F · Paris
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 42 pass
Anthony Lopes
Anthony Lopes
G · Nantes
7.30
· 29 pass
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Safonov G 90 7.90 — — — 9 8% — — —
W. Zaïre-Emery D 60 7.20 — — — 73 70% 2 1 —
I. Zabarnyi D 90 7.20 — — — 84 81% — 1 —
Marquinhos D 90 7.90 — — — 80 72% — — —
A. Hakimi D 60 7.20 — 1 1 53 47% 1 — —
Pedro Fernández M 90 7.00 — — — 53 47% 4 — —
Beraldo M 90 7.30 — — — 51 47% 2 — —
João Neves M 60 6.90 — — — 41 37% — — —
K. Kvaratskhelia F 65 9.30 2 — 3 50 45% 1 — —
O. Dembélé F 65 7.90 — 1 2 42 33% — — —
D. Doué F 90 8.20 1 — 1 61 48% 2 — —
B. Barcola F 25 6.30 — — 1 10 10% — — —
Fabián Ruiz M 30 6.90 — — — 41 39% — — —
I. Mbaye F 25 6.90 — — — 19 18% 1 — —
L. Hernández D 30 6.70 — — — 43 39% — — —
Senny Mayulu M 30 6.70 — — 2 24 23% — — —
Nantes Nantes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anthony Lopes G 90 7.30 — — — 29 18% — — —
Deiver Machado D 90 6.00 — — — 28 24% 1 — —
N. Cozza D 90 6.20 — — — 25 23% 1 — —
Ali Youssef D 90 6.50 — — — 28 26% 2 — —
F. Guilbert D 90 6.50 — — 1 19 17% — 1 —
M. Acapandié D 79 5.90 — — — 20 13% — — —
Louis Leroux M 65 6.60 — — — 20 15% 1 — —
I. Sissoko M 90 6.60 — — — 32 27% 2 — —
J. Lepenant M 73 6.20 — — — 35 25% 1 — —
M. Abline F 80 6.30 — — 3 13 6% — — —
Mostafa Mohamed F 65 6.60 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
Chidozie Awaziem D 11 6.60 — — — 8 7% — — —
D. Assoumani M 25 6.90 — — — 9 7% — — —
I. Ganago F 25 6.70 — — 1 3 3% — — —
Y. El Arabi F 10 6.20 — — — 8 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Nantes.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes?
The model assigned 86% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 8% to a draw, and 4% to an Nantes win.