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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 21:00
Paris Saint Germain
#1 · 76 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Stade Brestois 29
#12 · 38 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Paris Saint Germain
D. Doue (ast. L. Hernandez) 82'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 88% win probability (draw 7%, Stade Brestois 29 3%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Stade Brestois 29. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Stade Brestois 29.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
2
1.25
Actual xG
0.16
2
Saves
5
67%
Possession
33%
13
Corners
2
12
Tackles
16
Match Events
↕ Lee Kang-In / D. Doue
53'
↕ G. Ramos / O. Dembele
61'
↕ F. Ruiz / K. Kvaratskhelia
61'
67'
R. Labeau Lascary / K. Doumbia ↕
↕ B. Barcola / J. Neves
69'
⚽D. Doue · ast. L. Hernandez
82'
87'
M. Balde / R. Del Castillo ↕
88'
H. Makalou / L. Tousart ↕
Pre-match prediction
88.71%
Paris ←
7.37%
X
3.92%
Stade
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain) 88.71% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
4.28
1.25
-3.03
Stade
0.64
0.16
-0.49
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
89 Renato Marin Renato Marin G 7.30
21 Lucas Hernández Lucas Hernández 1 👟 D 7.90
6 Ilya Zabarnyi Ilya Zabarnyi D 7.20
5 Marquinhos Marquinhos D 7.90
24 Senny Mayulu Senny Mayulu D 8.70
8 Fabián Ruiz Fabián Ruiz 61' M 7.60
4 Lucas Beraldo Lucas Beraldo M 6.90
27 Dro Fernández Dro Fernández M 6.90
29 Bradley Barcola Bradley Barcola 69' F 6.70
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos 61' F 6.60
19 Kang-in Lee Kang-in Lee 53' F 6.70
Bench
42 David Boly David Boly D
14 D. Doué D. Doué 1 ⚽ 37' F 7.90
54 Dimitri Lucea Dimitri Lucea D
49 I. Mbaye I. Mbaye F
87 João Neves João Neves 21' M 6.70
7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 29' F 7.20
39 Matvey Safonov Matvey Safonov G
10 Ousmane Dembélé Ousmane Dembélé 29' F 6.70
17 Vitinha Vitinha M
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3-4-3
30 Grégoire Coudert Grégoire Coudert G 9.30
4 Michel Diaz Michel Diaz D 7.00
24 Lucas Tousart Lucas Tousart 88' D 6.30
71 Raphaël Le Guen Raphaël Le Guen D 7.50
27 Daouda Guindo Daouda Guindo M 6.90
8 Hugo Magnetti Hugo Magnetti M 6.30
13 Joris Chotard Joris Chotard M 6.90
7 Eric Ebimbe Eric Ebimbe M 6.30
23 Kamory Doumbia Kamory Doumbia 67' F 6.90
19 Ludovic Ajorque Ludovic Ajorque F 6.50
10 Romain Del Castillo Romain Del Castillo 87' F 7.20
Bench
39 Axel Lassus Axel Lassus M
5 Brendan Chardonnet Brendan Chardonnet D
33 Hamidou Makalou Hamidou Makalou 9' M 6.30
12 Luc Zogbé Luc Zogbé D
17 Mama Baldé Mama Baldé 10' F 6.30
99 Pathé Mboup Pathé Mboup F
1 Radosław Majecki Radosław Majecki G
14 Remy Labeau Lascary Remy Labeau Lascary 23' F 6.60
29 Serigne Diop Serigne Diop F
Best on the pitch
Grégoire Coudert
Grégoire Coudert
G · Stade
9.30
· 39 pass
Senny Mayulu
Senny Mayulu
D · Paris
8.70
3 shots · 79 pass
D. Doué
D. Doué
F · Paris
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
Lucas Hernández
Lucas Hernández
D · Paris
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 88 pass
Marquinhos
Marquinhos
D · Paris
7.90
· 81 pass
Fabián Ruiz
Fabián Ruiz
M · Paris
7.60
1 shots · 56 pass
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Renato Marin G 90 7.30 — — — 20 15% — — —
Lucas Hernández D 90 7.90 — 1 1 88 79% 2 — —
Ilya Zabarnyi D 90 7.20 — — — 69 68% — — —
Marquinhos D 90 7.90 — — — 81 80% — — —
Senny Mayulu D 90 8.70 — — 3 79 71% 4 — —
Fabián Ruiz M 61 7.60 — — 1 56 53% — — —
Lucas Beraldo M 90 6.90 — — 1 65 60% 2 — —
Dro Fernández M 90 6.90 — — 2 61 51% 1 — —
Bradley Barcola F 69 6.70 — — — 34 23% — — —
Gonçalo Ramos F 61 6.60 — — 1 8 7% 1 — —
Kang-in Lee F 53 6.70 — — 1 30 27% — — —
D. Doué F 37 7.90 1 — 1 20 17% — — —
João Neves M 21 6.70 — — 1 25 20% 2 — —
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F 29 7.20 — — — 31 25% — — —
Ousmane Dembélé F 29 6.70 — — — 20 13% — — —
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Grégoire Coudert G 90 9.30 — — — 39 26% — — —
Michel Diaz D 90 7.00 — — — 38 30% 1 — —
Lucas Tousart D 88 6.30 — — — 15 13% 1 — —
Raphaël Le Guen D 90 7.50 — — 1 22 20% 1 — —
Daouda Guindo M 90 6.90 — — — 27 18% 1 — —
Hugo Magnetti M 90 6.30 — — 1 27 24% 2 — —
Joris Chotard M 90 6.90 — — — 35 29% 2 — —
Eric Ebimbe M 90 6.30 — — 1 30 24% 2 — —
Kamory Doumbia F 67 6.90 — — — 21 19% 3 — —
Ludovic Ajorque F 90 6.50 — — — 36 27% — — —
Romain Del Castillo F 87 7.20 — — — 38 30% 2 — —
Hamidou Makalou M 9 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Mama Baldé F 10 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Remy Labeau Lascary F 23 6.60 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Stade Brestois 29.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29?
The model assigned 88% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 7% to a draw, and 3% to an Stade Brestois 29 win.