✓Model correct — prediction Paris Saint Germain
D. Doue
(ast. L. Hernandez)
82'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 88% win probability (draw 7%, Stade Brestois 29 3%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Stade Brestois 29. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Stade Brestois 29.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
2
1.25
Actual xG
0.16
2
Saves
5
67%
Possession
33%
13
Corners
2
12
Tackles
16
Match Events
Lee Kang-In
/ D. Doue
53'
G. Ramos
/ O. Dembele
61'
F. Ruiz
/ K. Kvaratskhelia
61'
67'
R. Labeau Lascary
/
K. Doumbia
B. Barcola
/ J. Neves
69'
⚽D. Doue
· ast. L. Hernandez
82'
87'
M. Balde
/
R. Del Castillo
88'
H. Makalou
/
L. Tousart
Pre-match prediction
88.71%
Paris ←
7.37%
X
3.92%
Stade
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain)
88.71%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.28
1.25
-3.03
0.64
0.16
-0.49
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.16).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
89
Renato Marin
G
Renato Marin
G
21
Lucas Hernández
1 👟
D
Lucas Hernández
1 👟
D
6
I. Zabarnyi
D
I. Zabarnyi
D
5
Marquinhos
D
Marquinhos
D
24
Senny Mayulu
D
Senny Mayulu
D
8
Fabián Ruiz
61'
M
Fabián Ruiz
61'
M
4
Lucas Beraldo
M
Lucas Beraldo
M
27
Dro Fernández
M
Dro Fernández
M
29
B. Barcola
69'
F
B. Barcola
69'
F
9
Gonçalo Ramos
61'
F
Gonçalo Ramos
61'
F
19
Lee Kang-In
53'
F
Lee Kang-In
53'
F
Bench
42
David Boly
D
David Boly
D
14
Désiré Doué
1 ⚽
37'
F
Désiré Doué
1 ⚽
37'
F
54
Dimitri Lucea
D
Dimitri Lucea
D
49
Ibrahim Mbaye
F
Ibrahim Mbaye
F
87
João Neves
21'
M
João Neves
21'
M
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
29'
F
K. Kvaratskhelia
29'
F
39
Matvey Safonov
G
Matvey Safonov
G
10
O. Dembélé
29'
F
O. Dembélé
29'
F
17
Vitinha
M
Vitinha
M
30
Grégoire Coudert
G
Grégoire Coudert
G
4
Michel Diaz
D
Michel Diaz
D
24
Lucas Tousart
88'
D
Lucas Tousart
88'
D
71
Raphaël Le Guen
D
Raphaël Le Guen
D
27
Daouda Guindo
M
Daouda Guindo
M
8
Hugo Magnetti
M
Hugo Magnetti
M
13
Joris Chotard
M
Joris Chotard
M
7
Eric Ebimbe
M
Eric Ebimbe
M
23
Kamory Doumbia
67'
F
Kamory Doumbia
67'
F
19
L. Ajorque
F
L. Ajorque
F
10
R. Del Castillo
87'
F
R. Del Castillo
87'
F
Bench
39
Axel Lassus
M
Axel Lassus
M
5
Brendan Chardonnet
D
Brendan Chardonnet
D
33
Hamidou Makalou
9'
M
Hamidou Makalou
9'
M
12
Luc Zogbé
D
Luc Zogbé
D
17
Mama Baldé
10'
F
Mama Baldé
10'
F
99
Pathé Mboup
F
Pathé Mboup
F
1
Radosław Majecki
G
Radosław Majecki
G
14
Remy Labeau Lascary
23'
F
Remy Labeau Lascary
23'
F
29
Serigne Diop
F
Serigne Diop
F
Best on the pitch
Grégoire Coudert
G · Stade
9.30
· 39 pass
Senny Mayulu
D · Paris
8.70
3 shots
· 79 pass
Désiré Doué
F · Paris
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Lucas Hernández
D · Paris
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 88 pass
Marquinhos
D · Paris
7.90
· 81 pass
Fabián Ruiz
M · Paris
7.60
1 shots
· 56 pass
Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Marin | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Hernández | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 88 | 79% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Zabarnyi | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 69 | 68% | — | — | — |
| Marquinhos | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 81 | 80% | — | — | — |
| Senny Mayulu | D | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | 3 | 79 | 71% | 4 | — | — |
| Fabián Ruiz | M | 61 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Beraldo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Dro Fernández | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 61 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Barcola | F | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Ramos | F | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Lee Kang-In | F | 53 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Désiré Doué | F | 37 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| João Neves | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Kvaratskhelia | F | 29 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| O. Dembélé | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
Stade Brestois 29 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grégoire Coudert | G | 90 | 9.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Michel Diaz | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Tousart | D | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Raphaël Le Guen | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Daouda Guindo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Magnetti | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Joris Chotard | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Eric Ebimbe | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Kamory Doumbia | F | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Ajorque | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| R. Del Castillo | F | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Hamidou Makalou | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mama Baldé | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Remy Labeau Lascary | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Stade Brestois 29.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29?
The model assigned 88% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 7% to a draw, and 3% to an Stade Brestois 29 win.