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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 21:00 Parc des Princes, Paris
Paris Saint Germain
#13 · 2 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Stade Brestois 29
#7 · 5 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Paris Saint Germain
D. Doue (ast. L. Hernandez) 82'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 88% win probability (draw 7%, Stade Brestois 29 3%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Stade Brestois 29. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Stade Brestois 29.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
2
1.25
Actual xG
0.16
2
Saves
5
67%
Possession
33%
13
Corners
2
12
Tackles
16
Match Events
↕ Lee Kang-In / D. Doue
53'
↕ G. Ramos / O. Dembele
61'
↕ F. Ruiz / K. Kvaratskhelia
61'
67'
R. Labeau Lascary / K. Doumbia ↕
↕ B. Barcola / J. Neves
69'
⚽D. Doue · ast. L. Hernandez
82'
87'
M. Balde / R. Del Castillo ↕
88'
H. Makalou / L. Tousart ↕
Pre-match prediction
88.71%
Paris ←
7.37%
X
3.92%
Stade
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain) 88.71% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
4.28
1.25
-3.03
Stade
0.64
0.16
-0.49
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Lineups
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
89 Renato Bellucci Renato Bellucci G 7.30
21 L. Hernández L. Hernández 1 👟 D 7.90
6 I. Zabarnyi I. Zabarnyi D 7.20
5 Marquinhos Marquinhos D 7.90
24 Senny Mayulu Senny Mayulu D 8.70
8 Fabián Ruiz Fabián Ruiz 61' M 7.60
4 Beraldo Beraldo M 6.90
27 Pedro Fernández Pedro Fernández M 6.90
29 B. Barcola B. Barcola 69' F 6.70
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos 61' F 6.60
19 Lee Kang-In Lee Kang-In 53' F 6.70
Bench
42 David Boly David Boly D
14 D. Doué D. Doué 1 ⚽ 37' F 7.90
54 Dimitri Lucea Dimitri Lucea D
49 I. Mbaye I. Mbaye F
87 João Neves João Neves 21' M 6.70
7 K. Kvaratskhelia K. Kvaratskhelia 29' F 7.20
39 M. Safonov M. Safonov G
10 O. Dembélé O. Dembélé 29' F 6.70
17 Vitinha Vitinha M
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3-4-3
30 G. Coudert G. Coudert G 9.30
4 M. Diaz M. Diaz D 7.00
24 L. Tousart L. Tousart 88' D 6.30
71 R. Le Guen R. Le Guen D 7.50
27 D. Guindo D. Guindo M 6.90
8 H. Magnetti H. Magnetti M 6.30
13 J. Chotard J. Chotard M 6.90
7 J. Dina Ebimbe J. Dina Ebimbe M 6.30
23 K. Doumbia K. Doumbia 67' F 6.90
19 L. Ajorque L. Ajorque F 6.50
10 R. Del Castillo R. Del Castillo 87' F 7.20
Bench
39 Axel Lassus Axel Lassus M
5 Brendan Chardonnet Brendan Chardonnet D
33 Hamidou Makalou Hamidou Makalou 9' M 6.30
12 L. Zogbe L. Zogbe D
17 Mama Baldé Mama Baldé 10' F 6.30
99 P. Mboup P. Mboup F
1
Radosław Majecki G
14 R. Labeau Lascary R. Labeau Lascary 23' F 6.60
29 Serigne Diop Serigne Diop F
Best on the pitch
G. Coudert
G. Coudert
G · Stade
9.30
· 39 pass
Senny Mayulu
Senny Mayulu
D · Paris
8.70
3 shots · 79 pass
D. Doué
D. Doué
F · Paris
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
L. Hernández
L. Hernández
D · Paris
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 88 pass
Marquinhos
Marquinhos
D · Paris
7.90
· 81 pass
Fabián Ruiz
Fabián Ruiz
M · Paris
7.60
1 shots · 56 pass
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Renato Bellucci G 90 7.30 — — — 20 15% — — —
L. Hernández D 90 7.90 — 1 1 88 79% 2 — —
I. Zabarnyi D 90 7.20 — — — 69 68% — — —
Marquinhos D 90 7.90 — — — 81 80% — — —
Senny Mayulu D 90 8.70 — — 3 79 71% 4 — —
Fabián Ruiz M 61 7.60 — — 1 56 53% — — —
Beraldo M 90 6.90 — — 1 65 60% 2 — —
Pedro Fernández M 90 6.90 — — 2 61 51% 1 — —
B. Barcola F 69 6.70 — — — 34 23% — — —
Gonçalo Ramos F 61 6.60 — — 1 8 7% 1 — —
Lee Kang-In F 53 6.70 — — 1 30 27% — — —
D. Doué F 37 7.90 1 — 1 20 17% — — —
João Neves M 21 6.70 — — 1 25 20% 2 — —
K. Kvaratskhelia F 29 7.20 — — — 31 25% — — —
O. Dembélé F 29 6.70 — — — 20 13% — — —
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Coudert G 90 9.30 — — — 39 26% — — —
M. Diaz D 90 7.00 — — — 38 30% 1 — —
L. Tousart D 88 6.30 — — — 15 13% 1 — —
R. Le Guen D 90 7.50 — — 1 22 20% 1 — —
D. Guindo M 90 6.90 — — — 27 18% 1 — —
H. Magnetti M 90 6.30 — — 1 27 24% 2 — —
J. Chotard M 90 6.90 — — — 35 29% 2 — —
J. Dina Ebimbe M 90 6.30 — — 1 30 24% 2 — —
K. Doumbia F 67 6.90 — — — 21 19% 3 — —
L. Ajorque F 90 6.50 — — — 36 27% — — —
R. Del Castillo F 87 7.20 — — — 38 30% 2 — —
Hamidou Makalou M 9 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Mama Baldé F 10 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
R. Labeau Lascary F 23 6.60 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Stade Brestois 29.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29?
The model assigned 88% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 7% to a draw, and 3% to an Stade Brestois 29 win.