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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28 April 03, 2026 20:45 Parc des Princes, Paris
Paris Saint Germain
#13 · 0 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Toulouse
#17 · 0 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Paris Saint Germain
O. Dembele 23'
O. Dembele (ast. K. Kvaratskhelia) 33'
G. Ramos (ast. N. Mendes) 90'
27' (ast. D. Sidibe) R. Nicolaisen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 80% win probability (draw 11%, Toulouse 7%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Toulouse. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Toulouse.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
1
1.79
Actual xG
0.16
0
Saves
3
72%
Possession
28%
5
Corners
2
21
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽O. Dembele
23'
27'
ast. D. Sidibe · R. Nicolaisen⚽
⚽O. Dembele · ast. K. Kvaratskhelia
33'
36'
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
↕ Lee Kang-In / J. Neves
59'
↕ L. Beraldo / Vitinha
67'
67'
W. Kamanzi / D. Methalie ↕
↕ K. Kvaratskhelia / N. Mendes
68'
83'
M. Sauer / C. Casseres ↕
83'
I. Azizi / D. Sidibe ↕
83'
J. Russell-Rowe / Emersonn ↕
↕ D. Doue / G. Ramos
87'
⚽G. Ramos · ast. N. Mendes
90'
Pre-match prediction
80.61%
Paris ←
11.44%
X
7.95%
Toulouse
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain) 80.61% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
3.26
1.79
-1.48
Toulouse
0.97
0.16
-0.81
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (1.79 vs 0.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Auxerre Auxerre 0 0
2 Angers Angers 0 0
3 Monaco Monaco 0 0
4 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 0 0
5 Lorient Lorient 0 0
6 Le Havre Le Havre 0 0
7 Le Mans Le Mans 0 0
8 Lille Lille 0 0
9 Nice Nice 0 0
10 Lyon Lyon 0 0
11 Marseille Marseille 0 0
12 Paris FC Paris FC 0 0
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0 0
14 Lens Lens 0 0
15 Rennes Rennes 0 0
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 0 0
17 Toulouse Toulouse 0 0
18 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 0 0
Lineups
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
39 Matvey Safonov Matvey Safonov G 5.90
21 Lucas Hernández Lucas Hernández D 6.60
51 Willian Pacho Willian Pacho D 6.90
6 I. Zabarnyi I. Zabarnyi D 7.00
2 A. Hakimi A. Hakimi D 6.60
14 D. Doué D. Doué 87' M 6.90
4 Lucas Beraldo Lucas Beraldo 67' M 7.00
33 Warren Zaïre-Emery Warren Zaïre-Emery M 7.30
7 K. Kvaratskhelia K. Kvaratskhelia 1 👟 68' F 8.00
10 O. Dembélé O. Dembélé 2 ⚽ F 8.70
19 Lee Kang-In Lee Kang-In 59' F 7.30
Bench
27 Dro Fernández Dro Fernández M
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos 1 ⚽ 7' F 7.30
49 Ibrahim Mbaye Ibrahim Mbaye F
87 João Neves João Neves 31' M 7.00
5 Marquinhos Marquinhos D
25 Nuno Mendes Nuno Mendes 1 👟 22' D 6.70
17 Vitinha Vitinha 23' M 7.30
Toulouse Toulouse 3-4-2-1
1 Guillaume Restes Guillaume Restes G 6.60
2 Rasmus Nicolaisen Rasmus Nicolaisen 1 ⚽ D 7.20
35 Seny Koumbassa Seny Koumbassa D 5.90
3 Mark McKenzie Mark McKenzie D 6.30
24 D. Methalie D. Methalie 67' M 6.30
18 P. Diop P. Diop M 6.30
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres 83' M 6.30
19 Djibril Sidibé Djibril Sidibé 1 👟 83' M 6.70
10 Y. Gboho Y. Gboho F 6.20
15 A. Dønnum A. Dønnum F 6.30
20 Emersonn Emersonn 83' F 6.30
Bench
45 A. Vossah A. Vossah M
13 Jacen Russell Rowe Jacen Russell Rowe 11' F 6.30
7 Julian Vignolo Julian Vignolo F
77
Mario Sauer 11' M 6.20
12 Waren Kamanzi Waren Kamanzi 23' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
O. Dembélé
O. Dembélé
F · Paris
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots · 53 pass
K. Kvaratskhelia
K. Kvaratskhelia
F · Paris
8.00
1 👟
5 shots · 46 pass
Gonçalo Ramos
Gonçalo Ramos
F · Paris
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
Warren Zaïre-Emery
Warren Zaïre-Emery
M · Paris
7.30
· 75 pass
Lee Kang-In
Lee Kang-In
F · Paris
7.30
· 39 pass
Vitinha
Vitinha
M · Paris
7.30
· 40 pass
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matvey Safonov G 90 5.90 — — — 28 23% — — —
Lucas Hernández D 90 6.60 — — — 92 83% — — —
Willian Pacho D 90 6.90 — — 1 104 101% 2 — —
I. Zabarnyi D 90 7.00 — — 1 100 93% 2 — —
A. Hakimi D 90 6.60 — — 1 75 70% — — —
D. Doué M 87 6.90 — — 1 72 60% 2 — —
Lucas Beraldo M 67 7.00 — — — 49 43% 4 — —
Warren Zaïre-Emery M 90 7.30 — — — 75 72% 3 — —
K. Kvaratskhelia F 68 8.00 — 1 5 46 40% 5 — —
O. Dembélé F 90 8.70 2 — 3 53 47% 1 — —
Lee Kang-In F 59 7.30 — — — 39 34% 1 — —
Gonçalo Ramos F 7 7.30 1 — 1 2 2% — — —
João Neves M 31 7.00 — — — 22 22% — — —
Nuno Mendes D 22 6.70 — 1 — 15 13% — — —
Vitinha M 23 7.30 — — — 40 36% 1 — —
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Guillaume Restes G 90 6.60 — — — 23 9% — — —
Rasmus Nicolaisen D 90 7.20 1 — 1 35 30% 1 — —
Seny Koumbassa D 90 5.90 — — — 20 17% 1 — —
Mark McKenzie D 90 6.30 — — — 32 26% — — —
D. Methalie M 67 6.30 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
P. Diop M 90 6.30 — — 2 42 39% 3 — —
C. Cásseres M 83 6.30 — — — 39 32% — 1 —
Djibril Sidibé M 83 6.70 — 1 — 26 19% 1 — —
Y. Gboho F 90 6.20 — — — 19 16% 1 — —
A. Dønnum F 90 6.30 — — 1 27 22% — — —
Emersonn F 83 6.30 — — 1 17 14% 1 — —
Jacen Russell Rowe F 11 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Mario Sauer M 11 6.20 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
Waren Kamanzi D 23 6.30 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Toulouse?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Toulouse.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Toulouse?
The model assigned 80% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 11% to a draw, and 7% to an Toulouse win.