Skip to main content
← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28 April 03, 2026 20:45 Parc des Princes, Paris
Paris Saint Germain
#13 · 2 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Toulouse
#17 · 1 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Paris Saint Germain
O. Dembele 23'
O. Dembele (ast. K. Kvaratskhelia) 33'
G. Ramos (ast. N. Mendes) 90'
27' (ast. D. Sidibe) R. Nicolaisen
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 80% win probability (draw 11%, Toulouse 7%). The final result was Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Toulouse. In 1 previous meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Toulouse.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
1
1.79
Actual xG
0.16
0
Saves
3
72%
Possession
28%
5
Corners
2
21
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽O. Dembele
23'
27'
ast. D. Sidibe · R. Nicolaisen⚽
⚽O. Dembele · ast. K. Kvaratskhelia
33'
36'
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
↕ Lee Kang-In / J. Neves
59'
↕ L. Beraldo / Vitinha
67'
67'
W. Kamanzi / D. Methalie ↕
↕ K. Kvaratskhelia / N. Mendes
68'
83'
M. Sauer / C. Casseres ↕
83'
I. Azizi / D. Sidibe ↕
83'
J. Russell-Rowe / Emersonn ↕
↕ D. Doue / G. Ramos
87'
⚽G. Ramos · ast. N. Mendes
90'
Pre-match prediction
80.61%
Paris ←
11.44%
X
7.95%
Toulouse
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain) 80.61% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
3.26
1.79
-1.48
Toulouse
0.97
0.16
-0.81
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (1.79 vs 0.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Lineups
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
39 M. Safonov M. Safonov G 5.90
21 L. Hernández L. Hernández D 6.60
51 W. Pacho W. Pacho D 6.90
6 I. Zabarnyi I. Zabarnyi D 7.00
2 A. Hakimi A. Hakimi D 6.60
14 D. Doué D. Doué 87' M 6.90
4 Beraldo Beraldo 67' M 7.00
33 W. Zaïre-Emery W. Zaïre-Emery M 7.30
7 K. Kvaratskhelia K. Kvaratskhelia 1 👟 68' F 8.00
10 O. Dembélé O. Dembélé 2 ⚽ F 8.70
19 Lee Kang-In Lee Kang-In 59' F 7.30
Bench
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos 1 ⚽ 7' F 7.30
49 I. Mbaye I. Mbaye F
87 João Neves João Neves 31' M 7.00
5 Marquinhos Marquinhos D
25 Nuno Mendes Nuno Mendes 1 👟 22' D 6.70
27 Pedro Fernández Pedro Fernández M
17 Vitinha Vitinha 23' M 7.30
Toulouse Toulouse 3-4-2-1
1 G. Restes G. Restes G 6.60
2 R. Nicolaisen R. Nicolaisen 1 ⚽ D 7.20
35 S. Koumbassa S. Koumbassa D 5.90
3 M. McKenzie M. McKenzie D 6.30
24 D. Methalie D. Methalie 67' M 6.30
18 P. Diop P. Diop M 6.30
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres 83' M 6.30
19 D. Sidibé D. Sidibé 1 👟 83' M 6.70
10 Y. Gboho Y. Gboho F 6.20
15 A. Dønnum A. Dønnum F 6.30
20 Emersonn Emersonn 83' F 6.30
Bench
45 A. Vossah A. Vossah M
13 J. Russell-Rowe J. Russell-Rowe 11' F 6.30
7 Julián Vignolo Julián Vignolo F
77 M. Sauer M. Sauer 11' M 6.20
12 Waren Kamanzi Waren Kamanzi 23' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
O. Dembélé
O. Dembélé
F · Paris
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots · 53 pass
K. Kvaratskhelia
K. Kvaratskhelia
F · Paris
8.00
1 👟
5 shots · 46 pass
Gonçalo Ramos
Gonçalo Ramos
F · Paris
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
W. Zaïre-Emery
W. Zaïre-Emery
M · Paris
7.30
· 75 pass
Lee Kang-In
Lee Kang-In
F · Paris
7.30
· 39 pass
Vitinha
Vitinha
M · Paris
7.30
· 40 pass
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Safonov G 90 5.90 — — — 28 23% — — —
L. Hernández D 90 6.60 — — — 92 83% — — —
W. Pacho D 90 6.90 — — 1 104 101% 2 — —
I. Zabarnyi D 90 7.00 — — 1 100 93% 2 — —
A. Hakimi D 90 6.60 — — 1 75 70% — — —
D. Doué M 87 6.90 — — 1 72 60% 2 — —
Beraldo M 67 7.00 — — — 49 43% 4 — —
W. Zaïre-Emery M 90 7.30 — — — 75 72% 3 — —
K. Kvaratskhelia F 68 8.00 — 1 5 46 40% 5 — —
O. Dembélé F 90 8.70 2 — 3 53 47% 1 — —
Lee Kang-In F 59 7.30 — — — 39 34% 1 — —
Gonçalo Ramos F 7 7.30 1 — 1 2 2% — — —
João Neves M 31 7.00 — — — 22 22% — — —
Nuno Mendes D 22 6.70 — 1 — 15 13% — — —
Vitinha M 23 7.30 — — — 40 36% 1 — —
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Restes G 90 6.60 — — — 23 9% — — —
R. Nicolaisen D 90 7.20 1 — 1 35 30% 1 — —
S. Koumbassa D 90 5.90 — — — 20 17% 1 — —
M. McKenzie D 90 6.30 — — — 32 26% — — —
D. Methalie M 67 6.30 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
P. Diop M 90 6.30 — — 2 42 39% 3 — —
C. Cásseres M 83 6.30 — — — 39 32% — 1 —
D. Sidibé M 83 6.70 — 1 — 26 19% 1 — —
Y. Gboho F 90 6.20 — — — 19 16% 1 — —
A. Dønnum F 90 6.30 — — 1 27 22% — — —
Emersonn F 83 6.30 — — 1 17 14% 1 — —
J. Russell-Rowe F 11 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
M. Sauer M 11 6.20 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
Waren Kamanzi D 23 6.30 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris Saint Germain vs Toulouse?
The final score was Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Toulouse.
What did the model predict before Paris Saint Germain vs Toulouse?
The model assigned 80% probability to a Paris Saint Germain win, 11% to a draw, and 7% to an Toulouse win.