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Serie A · Regular Season - 1 August 22, 2026 20:45 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Parma
#17 · 1 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Cagliari
#9 · 6 pts
79' (ast. M. Adopo) A. Romano
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Parma a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Cagliari 32%). The final result was Parma 0–1 Cagliari. In 2 previous meetings, Parma have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Cagliari.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
3
0.76
Actual xG
0.74
3
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
1
Corners
1
15
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
10'
J. Pedro
58'
J. Fazzini
↕ A. Bernabe / P. Almqvist
66'
66'
G. Zappa / J. Pedro ↕
66'
M. Felici / J. Fazzini ↕
66'
G. Borrelli / P. Mendy ↕
↕ M. Keita / R. Kouda
75'
↕ S. Lontani / O. Diallo
75'
79'
ast. M. Adopo · A. Romano⚽
↕ A. Konate / N. Elphege
85'
↕ M. Troilo / B. Cremaschi
85'
87'
G. Aurelio / A. Obert ↕
87'
K. Mutandwa / D. Maldini ↕
Pre-match prediction
34.55%
Parma
32.97%
X
32.48%
Cagliari ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cagliari) 32.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Parma
1.08
0.76
-0.32
Cagliari
1.53
0.74
-0.79
xG dominance was balanced (0.76 – 0.74). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 4 10
2 AS Roma AS Roma 3 9
3 Inter Inter 3 9
4 AC Milan AC Milan 4 8
5 Como Como 3 7
6 Juventus Juventus 3 7
7 Frosinone Frosinone 4 7
8 Atalanta Atalanta 3 6
9 Cagliari Cagliari 3 6
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3 4
11 Udinese Udinese 3 4
12 Napoli Napoli 3 3
13 Torino Torino 3 3
14 Lecce Lecce 3 3
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 4 3
16 Bologna Bologna 3 1
17 Parma Parma 3 1
18 Monza Monza 3 1
19 Genoa Genoa 4 1
20 Venezia Venezia 4 0
Lineups
Parma Parma 4-3-3
40 E. Corvi E. Corvi 61' G 7.00
14 E. Valeri E. Valeri 61' D 6.90
3 A. N'Diaye A. N'Diaye 61' D 6.70
37 M. Troilo M. Troilo 61' D 7.00
15 E. Del Prato E. Del Prato 61' D 6.90
32 C. Ordoñez C. Ordoñez 61' M 7.20
47 Abdou Konate Abdou Konate 61' M 6.60
10 Adrián Bernabé Adrián Bernabé 61' M 7.00
76 S. Lontani S. Lontani 61' F 7.20
19 E. Touré E. Touré 61' F 6.70
16 M. Keita M. Keita 61' F 7.00
Bench
75 A. Mazzocchi A. Mazzocchi G
8 B. Cremaschi B. Cremaschi M
72 D. Drobnic D. Drobnic D
9 D. Romero D. Romero F
29 F. Carboni F. Carboni D
30 G. Daffara G. Daffara G
5 L. Valenti L. Valenti D
20 M. Frigan M. Frigan F
23 N. Elphege N. Elphege F
24 O. Sørensen O. Sørensen M
7 Ousmane Diallo Ousmane Diallo F
11 P. Almqvist P. Almqvist F
80 R. Kouda R. Kouda M
25 T. De Martis T. De Martis F
Cagliari Cagliari 4-2-3-1
1 E. Caprile E. Caprile 61' G 6.90
33 A. Obert A. Obert 61' D 6.90
15 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez 61' D 6.60
14 A. Deiola A. Deiola 61' D 6.70
2 Zé Pedro Zé Pedro 61' D 6.50
6 H. Winks H. Winks 61' M 6.30
4 A. Romano A. Romano 1 ⚽ 61' M 6.90
10 J. Fazzini J. Fazzini 61' M 6.30
70 D. Maldini D. Maldini 61' M 6.30
8 M. Adopo M. Adopo 1 👟 61' M 6.70
31 P. Mendy P. Mendy 61' F 6.30
Bench
39 A. Fadera A. Fadera F
12 A. Sherri A. Sherri G
23 B. Radunović B. Radunović G
24 G. Aurelio G. Aurelio D
29 Gennaro Borrelli Gennaro Borrelli F
28 G. Zappa G. Zappa D
32 Ivan Stoyanov Sulev Ivan Stoyanov Sulev M
27 J. Liteta J. Liteta M
9 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi Kevin Carlos Omoruyi F
18 K. Mutandwa K. Mutandwa F
17 M. Felici M. Felici F
16 M. Prati M. Prati M
21 Nicolò Cavuoti Nicolò Cavuoti M
22 R. Kofler R. Kofler D
26 Yerry Mina Yerry Mina D
Best on the pitch
C. Ordoñez
C. Ordoñez
M · Parma
7.20
2 shots · 32 pass
S. Lontani
S. Lontani
F · Parma
7.20
1 shots · 22 pass
E. Corvi
E. Corvi
G · Parma
7.00
· 22 pass
M. Troilo
M. Troilo
D · Parma
7.00
· 64 pass
M. Keita
M. Keita
F · Parma
7.00
· 21 pass
Adrián Bernabé
Adrián Bernabé
M · Parma
7.00
1 shots · 39 pass
Parma Parma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Corvi G 61 7.00 — — — 22 21% — — —
E. Valeri D 61 6.90 — — 1 16 11% 1 — —
A. N'Diaye D 61 6.70 — — 1 46 41% 3 — —
M. Troilo D 61 7.00 — — — 64 58% 1 — —
E. Del Prato D 61 6.90 — — 1 28 24% 2 — —
C. Ordoñez M 61 7.20 — — 2 32 28% 5 — —
Abdou Konate M 61 6.60 — — 1 28 23% 1 — —
Adrián Bernabé M 61 7.00 — — 1 39 30% 1 — —
S. Lontani F 61 7.20 — — 1 22 18% 1 — —
E. Touré F 61 6.70 — — 1 11 9% — — —
M. Keita F 61 7.00 — — — 21 19% — — —
Cagliari Cagliari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Caprile G 61 6.90 — — — 19 17% — — —
A. Obert D 61 6.90 — — — 31 28% 1 — —
J. Rodríguez D 61 6.60 — — — 57 52% 1 — —
A. Deiola D 61 6.70 — — 1 32 31% 1 — —
Zé Pedro D 61 6.50 — — 1 27 22% — 1 —
H. Winks M 61 6.30 — — 1 42 39% — — —
A. Romano M 61 6.90 1 — — 38 34% 3 — —
J. Fazzini M 61 6.30 — — 1 30 26% — 1 —
D. Maldini M 61 6.30 — — 1 24 19% 1 — —
M. Adopo M 61 6.70 — 1 — 28 24% — — —
P. Mendy F 61 6.30 — — 2 11 9% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Parma vs Cagliari?
The final score was Parma 0–1 Cagliari.
What did the model predict before Parma vs Cagliari?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Parma win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Cagliari win.