Parma - Catania
Weather at kick-off
☀️
Clear sky
35.7°C
💨 9 km/h
· Parma
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.75%
Win
Parma
35.67%
Draw
29.58%
Win
Catania
0.73
0.72
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(17.4%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
36%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
65%
12
64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
48%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Parma a 34% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 29% for Catania. Expected goals are 0.7 for Parma and 0.7 for Catania (total 1.4), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 17.4% probability.
Season Stats
1W
1D
1L
0W
1D
0L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.0
1.3
Conceded
1.0
6.3
Shots OT
—
4.0
Corners
—
42%
Poss.
—
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
0%
67%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Coppa Italia. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
1W
1D
0L
· at home
0W
1D
0L
· away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
0%
50%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Parma
Catania →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23.5% | 17.0% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | — |
| 1 | 17.0% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Parma
Attack
17
Defence
68
Form
45
Catania
Attack
26
Defence
60
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Parma vs Catania?
The model gives Parma a 34% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 29% for an Catania win.
How many goals are expected in Parma vs Catania?
Expected goals: Parma 0.7, Catania 0.7 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Parma vs Catania?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.4%.