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Serie A · Regular Season - 5 September 20, 2026 15:00 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Parma
#15 · 4 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Genoa
#19 · 1 pts
D. Romero (ast. E. B. Toure) 38'
P. Almqvist (ast. N. Elphege) 80'
70' (ast. L. Colombo) M. Osmajic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Genoa a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Parma 32%). The final result was Parma 2–1 Genoa. In 2 previous meetings, Parma have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Genoa.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
5
0.32
Actual xG
0.76
4
Saves
0
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
5
10
Tackles
25
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
D. Drobnic
9'
14'
S. Otoa
⚽D. Romero · ast. E. B. Toure
38'
44'
A. Marcandalli
↕ D. Romero / N. Elphege
56'
↕ E. B. Toure / P. Almqvist
56'
60'
S. El Shaarawy / K. Ehizibue ↕
60'
D. Puczka / S. Otoa ↕
↕ S. Lontani / G. Fabbian
67'
69'
L. Colombo / T. Baldanzi ↕
70'
ast. L. Colombo · M. Osmajic⚽
⚽P. Almqvist · ast. N. Elphege
80'
↕ Diego Carlos / S. Britschgi
81'
↕ V. Sierro / C. Ordonez
81'
85'
Vitinha / D. Sow ↕
85'
H. J. Traore / Junior Messias ↕
E. Delprato
85'
90'+2
M. E. Ellertsson
M. Troilo
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
32.99%
Parma ←
31.67%
X
35.35%
Genoa
we assigned to the actual result (Parma) 32.99% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Parma
1.04
0.32
-0.72
Genoa
1.25
0.76
-0.49
Genoa dominated by xG (0.76 vs 0.32). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AS Roma AS Roma 5 13
2 Inter Inter 5 13
3 Lazio Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Cagliari 5 12
5 AC Milan AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Frosinone 5 10
7 Juventus Juventus 5 10
8 Como Como 5 10
9 Napoli Napoli 5 7
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 5 7
11 Atalanta Atalanta 5 6
12 Lecce Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Udinese 5 4
14 Torino Torino 5 4
15 Parma Parma 5 4
16 Monza Monza 5 4
17 Fiorentina Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna Bologna 5 2
19 Genoa Genoa 5 1
20 Venezia Venezia 5 0
Lineups
Parma Parma 3-4-2-1
40 Edoardo Corvi Edoardo Corvi G 7.30
72 Dominik Drobnic Dominik Drobnic D 5.60
37 Mariano Troilo Mariano Troilo D 6.50
34 Diego Carlos Diego Carlos 81' D 7.00
14 Emanuele Valeri Emanuele Valeri M 6.60
16 Mandela Keita Mandela Keita M 7.20
4 Vincent Sierro Vincent Sierro 81' M 6.00
15 Enrico Delprato Enrico Delprato M 6.70
19 E. Touré E. Touré 1 👟 57' F 6.60
76 S. Lontani S. Lontani 67' F 6.20
9 D. Romero D. Romero 1 ⚽ 57' F 7.20
Bench
3 Abdoulaye Ndiaye Abdoulaye Ndiaye D
47 Abdou-Salam Konate Abdou-Salam Konate M
8 Benjamin Cremaschi Benjamin Cremaschi M
32 Christian Ordoñez Christian Ordoñez 15' M 6.90
29 F. Carboni F. Carboni D
30 Giovanni Daffara Giovanni Daffara G
80 Giovanni Fabbian Giovanni Fabbian 29' M 6.30
20 Matija Frigan Matija Frigan F
23 Nesta Elphege Nesta Elphege 1 👟 39' F 7.00
7 Ousmane Diallo Ousmane Diallo F
11 Pontus Almqvist Pontus Almqvist 1 ⚽ 39' F 7.30
27 Sascha Britschgi Sascha Britschgi 15' D 6.90
22 Simone Ghidotti Simone Ghidotti G
Genoa Genoa 3-4-2-1
1 Justin Bijlow Justin Bijlow G 5.70
34 Sebastian Otoa Sebastian Otoa 60' D 6.30
5 L. Østigård L. Østigård D 7.20
27 Alessandro Marcandalli Alessandro Marcandalli D 6.50
77 Mikael Ellertsson Mikael Ellertsson M 6.50
97 Djibril Sow Djibril Sow 85' M 6.70
32 Morten Frendrup Morten Frendrup M 6.60
3 Kingsley Ehizibue Kingsley Ehizibue 60' M 6.50
8 Tommaso Baldanzi Tommaso Baldanzi 69' F 6.60
10 Junior Messias Junior Messias 85' F 7.60
18 M. Osmajić M. Osmajić 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
4 Alexsandro Amorim Alexsandro Amorim M
16 Cody Drameh Cody Drameh D
39 Daniele Sommariva Daniele Sommariva G
31 D. Puczka D. Puczka 36' D 6.20
11 Franz-Ethan Meichtry Franz-Ethan Meichtry M
99 Franz Stolz Franz Stolz G
25 Hamed Junior Traorè Hamed Junior Traorè 11' M 6.90
29 Lorenzo Colombo Lorenzo Colombo 1 👟 27' F 6.50
2 M. Mitaj M. Mitaj D
71 Samuel Wiafe Samuel Wiafe M
20 Stefano Sabelli Stefano Sabelli D
92 Stephan El Shaarawy Stephan El Shaarawy 36' F 6.90
9 Vitinha Vitinha 11' F 7.50
Best on the pitch
Junior Messias
Junior Messias
F · Genoa
7.60
3 shots · 22 pass
Vitinha
Vitinha
F · Genoa
7.50
1 shots · 3 pass
Pontus Almqvist
Pontus Almqvist
F · Parma
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
M. Osmajić
M. Osmajić
F · Genoa
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
Edoardo Corvi
Edoardo Corvi
G · Parma
7.30
· 41 pass
Mandela Keita
Mandela Keita
M · Parma
7.20
· 30 pass
Parma Parma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Edoardo Corvi G 96 7.30 — — — 41 21% — — —
Dominik Drobnic D 96 5.60 — — — 40 31% — 1 —
Mariano Troilo D 96 6.50 — — — 47 40% — 1 —
Diego Carlos D 81 7.00 — — — 38 34% 3 — —
Emanuele Valeri M 96 6.60 — — — 19 12% — — —
Mandela Keita M 96 7.20 — — — 30 28% 1 — —
Vincent Sierro M 81 6.00 — — — 32 28% — — —
Enrico Delprato M 96 6.70 — — — 24 20% — 1 —
E. Touré F 57 6.60 — 1 1 9 7% 2 — —
S. Lontani F 67 6.20 — — — 13 9% 2 — —
D. Romero F 57 7.20 1 — 1 6 3% — — —
Christian Ordoñez M 15 6.90 — — 1 2 2% 1 — —
Giovanni Fabbian M 29 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
Nesta Elphege F 39 7.00 — 1 — 11 11% — — —
Pontus Almqvist F 39 7.30 1 — 1 3 2% — — —
Sascha Britschgi D 15 6.90 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Genoa Genoa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Justin Bijlow G 96 5.70 — — — 29 17% — — —
Sebastian Otoa D 60 6.30 — — — 35 32% 3 1 —
L. Østigård D 96 7.20 — — 2 52 49% 3 — —
Alessandro Marcandalli D 96 6.50 — — — 54 44% 1 1 —
Mikael Ellertsson M 96 6.50 — — — 24 17% 2 1 —
Djibril Sow M 85 6.70 — — — 47 46% 1 — —
Morten Frendrup M 96 6.60 — — — 50 44% 2 — —
Kingsley Ehizibue M 60 6.50 — — — 29 22% — — —
Tommaso Baldanzi F 69 6.60 — — 1 26 21% 1 — —
Junior Messias F 85 7.60 — — 3 22 17% 6 — —
M. Osmajić F 96 7.30 1 — 1 7 5% — — —
D. Puczka D 36 6.20 — — — 24 22% 1 — —
Hamed Junior Traorè M 11 6.90 — — — 13 13% — — —
Lorenzo Colombo F 27 6.50 — 1 — 3 3% — — —
Stephan El Shaarawy F 36 6.90 — — — 21 16% 3 — —
Vitinha F 11 7.50 — — 1 3 3% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Parma vs Genoa?
The final score was Parma 2–1 Genoa.
What did the model predict before Parma vs Genoa?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Parma win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Genoa win.