N. Elphege
(ast. O. Sorensen)
82'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Parma a 39% win probability (draw 38%, Pisa 21%). The final result was Parma 1–0 Pisa. In 1 previous meetings, Parma have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Pisa.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
3
1.57
Actual xG
1.28
3
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
4
10
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
S. Canestrelli
44'
I. Vural
46'
G. Piccinini
/
I. Vural
65'
I. Toure
/
M. Leris
66'
H. Meister
/
F. Stojilkovic
G. Strefezza
/ N. Elphege
66'
M. Keita
/ C. Ordonez
66'
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
/ N. Estevez
78'
A. Bernabe
/ O. Sorensen
78'
80'
J. Cuadrado
/
E. Akinsanmiro
80'
Lorran
/
R. Bozhinov
E. Delprato
/ P. Almqvist
81'
⚽N. Elphege
· ast. O. Sorensen
82'
A. Ndiaye
89'
Pre-match prediction
39.98%
Parma ←
38.66%
X
21.35%
Pisa
we assigned to the actual result (Parma)
39.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.76
1.57
+0.81
0.52
1.28
+0.77
xG dominance was balanced (1.57 – 1.28).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Z. Suzuki
89'
G
Z. Suzuki
89'
G
3
A. N'Diaye
89'
D
A. N'Diaye
89'
D
37
89'
D
39
A. Circati
89'
D
A. Circati
89'
D
14
E. Valeri
89'
M
E. Valeri
89'
M
16
M. Keita
66'
M
M. Keita
66'
M
41
H. Nicolussi
78'
M
H. Nicolussi
78'
M
10
Adrián Bernabé
78'
M
Adrián Bernabé
78'
M
15
E. Del Prato
81'
M
E. Del Prato
81'
M
7
Gabriel Strefezza
66'
F
Gabriel Strefezza
66'
F
9
Mateo Pellegrino
89'
F
Mateo Pellegrino
89'
F
Bench
29
F. Carboni
D
F. Carboni
D
23
N. Elphege
1 ⚽
23'
F
N. Elphege
1 ⚽
23'
F
27
S. Britschgi
D
S. Britschgi
D
1
89'
G
2
R. Bozhinov
80'
D
R. Bozhinov
80'
D
4
A. Caracciolo
89'
D
A. Caracciolo
89'
D
5
S. Canestrelli
89'
D
S. Canestrelli
89'
D
3
S. Angori
89'
M
S. Angori
89'
M
21
İ. Vural
45'
M
İ. Vural
45'
M
20
M. Aebischer
89'
M
M. Aebischer
89'
M
14
E. Akinsanmiro
80'
M
E. Akinsanmiro
80'
M
7
M. Léris
65'
M
M. Léris
65'
M
32
S. Moreo
89'
F
S. Moreo
89'
F
81
F. Stojilković
66'
F
F. Stojilković
66'
F
Bench
33
A. Calabresi
D
A. Calabresi
D
35
F. Loyola
D
F. Loyola
D
9
H. Meister
23'
F
H. Meister
23'
F
15
I. Touré
24'
M
I. Touré
24'
M
8
M. Højholt
M
M. Højholt
M
Best on the pitch
D · Parma
7.70
· 51 pass
N. Elphege
F · Parma
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
A. N'Diaye
D · Parma
7.30
1 shots
· 38 pass
A. Circati
D · Parma
7.30
· 44 pass
Z. Suzuki
G · Parma
7.20
· 20 pass
S. Moreo
F · Pisa
7.20
1 shots
· 18 pass
Parma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Suzuki | G | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. N'Diaye | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 89 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | 2 | — | — | |
| A. Circati | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Valeri | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Keita | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Nicolussi | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Adrián Bernabé | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | — | — | — |
| E. Del Prato | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Strefezza | F | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| N. Elphege | F | 23 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Pisa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| R. Bozhinov | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Caracciolo | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Canestrelli | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Angori | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| İ. Vural | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Aebischer | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Akinsanmiro | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 38% | — | — | — |
| M. Léris | M | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. Moreo | F | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Stojilković | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Meister | F | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| I. Touré | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Parma vs Pisa?
The final score was Parma 1–0 Pisa.
What did the model predict before Parma vs Pisa?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Parma win, 38% to a draw, and 21% to an Pisa win.