N. Elphege
(ast. O. Sorensen)
82'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Parma a 39% win probability (draw 38%, Pisa 21%). The final result was Parma 1–0 Pisa. In 1 previous meetings, Parma have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Pisa.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
3
1.57
Actual xG
1.28
3
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
4
10
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
S. Canestrelli
44'
I. Vural
46'
G. Piccinini
/
I. Vural
65'
I. Toure
/
M. Leris
66'
H. Meister
/
F. Stojilkovic
G. Strefezza
/ N. Elphege
66'
M. Keita
/ C. Ordonez
66'
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
/ N. Estevez
78'
A. Bernabe
/ O. Sorensen
78'
80'
J. Cuadrado
/
E. Akinsanmiro
80'
Lorran
/
R. Bozhinov
E. Delprato
/ P. Almqvist
81'
⚽N. Elphege
· ast. O. Sorensen
82'
A. Ndiaye
89'
Pre-match prediction
39.98%
Parma ←
38.66%
X
21.35%
Pisa
we assigned to the actual result (Parma)
39.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.76
1.57
+0.81
0.52
1.28
+0.77
xG dominance was balanced (1.57 – 1.28).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Z. Suzuki
89'
G
Z. Suzuki
89'
G
3
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
89'
D
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
89'
D
37
89'
D
39
A. Circati
89'
D
A. Circati
89'
D
14
E. Valeri
89'
M
E. Valeri
89'
M
16
Mandela Keita
66'
M
Mandela Keita
66'
M
41
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
78'
M
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
78'
M
10
A. Bernabe
78'
M
15
Enrico Delprato
81'
M
Enrico Delprato
81'
M
7
Gabriel Strefezza
66'
F
Gabriel Strefezza
66'
F
9
Mateo Pellegrino
89'
F
Mateo Pellegrino
89'
F
Bench
29
Franco Carboni
D
Franco Carboni
D
23
Nesta Elphege
1 ⚽
23'
F
Nesta Elphege
1 ⚽
23'
F
27
Sascha Britschgi
D
Sascha Britschgi
D
1
89'
G
2
Rosen Bozhinov
80'
D
4
A. Caracciolo
89'
D
A. Caracciolo
89'
D
5
Simone Canestrelli
89'
D
Simone Canestrelli
89'
D
3
Samuele Angori
89'
M
Samuele Angori
89'
M
21
Isak Vural
45'
M
Isak Vural
45'
M
20
Michel Aebischer
89'
M
Michel Aebischer
89'
M
14
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
80'
M
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
80'
M
7
Mehdi Léris
65'
M
Mehdi Léris
65'
M
32
Stefano Moreo
89'
F
Stefano Moreo
89'
F
81
F. Stojilković
66'
F
F. Stojilković
66'
F
Bench
33
A. Calabresi
D
A. Calabresi
D
35
F. Loyola
D
F. Loyola
D
9
Henrik Wendel Meister
23'
F
Henrik Wendel Meister
23'
F
15
Idrissa Touré
24'
M
Idrissa Touré
24'
M
8
Malthe Højholt
M
Malthe Højholt
M
Best on the pitch
D · Parma
7.70
· 51 pass
Nesta Elphege
F · Parma
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
D · Parma
7.30
1 shots
· 38 pass
A. Circati
D · Parma
7.30
· 44 pass
Z. Suzuki
G · Parma
7.20
· 20 pass
Stefano Moreo
F · Pisa
7.20
1 shots
· 18 pass
Parma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Suzuki | G | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Ndiaye | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 89 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | 2 | — | — | |
| A. Circati | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Valeri | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Mandela Keita | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Hans Nicolussi Caviglia | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | — | — | — |
| A. Bernabe | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Enrico Delprato | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Strefezza | F | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Nesta Elphege | F | 23 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Pisa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Rosen Bozhinov | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Caracciolo | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Simone Canestrelli | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Samuele Angori | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Isak Vural | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Michel Aebischer | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Ebenezer Akinsanmiro | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Mehdi Léris | M | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Stefano Moreo | F | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Stojilković | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Henrik Wendel Meister | F | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Idrissa Touré | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Parma vs Pisa?
The final score was Parma 1–0 Pisa.
What did the model predict before Parma vs Pisa?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Parma win, 38% to a draw, and 21% to an Pisa win.