M. Pellegrino
(ast. P. Almqvist)
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sassuolo a 44% win probability (draw 29%, Parma 26%). The final result was Parma 1–0 Sassuolo. In 2 previous meetings, Parma have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Sassuolo.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
1
1.22
Actual xG
0.92
1
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
1
Corners
1
12
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
S. Britschgi
7'
18'
K. Thorstvedt
21'
T. Macchioni
L. Valenti
30'
D. Mikolajewski
/ A. Cardinali
46'
54'
Pedro Felipe
/
J. Idzes
L. Valenti
/ A. Ndiaye
61'
65'
N. Matic
/
I. Kone
66'
M. Nzola
/
A. Lauriente
M. Keita
/ O. Sorensen
72'
S. Britschgi
/ P. Almqvist
73'
E. Valeri
/ F. Carboni
76'
⚽M. Pellegrino
· ast. P. Almqvist
80'
83'
C. Volpato
/
L. Lipani
83'
G. Zacchi
/
S. Turati
Pre-match prediction
26.09%
Parma ←
29.45%
X
44.46%
Sassuolo
we assigned to the actual result (Parma)
26.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.65
1.22
+0.57
1.19
0.92
-0.27
xG dominance was balanced (1.22 – 0.92).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
Edoardo Corvi
G
Edoardo Corvi
G
5
Lautaro Valenti
61'
D
Lautaro Valenti
61'
D
37
Mariano Troilo
D
Mariano Troilo
D
39
Alessandro Circati
D
Alessandro Circati
D
14
Emanuele Valeri
76'
M
Emanuele Valeri
76'
M
16
M. Keita
72'
M
M. Keita
72'
M
41
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
M
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
M
24
Christian Ordoñez
M
Christian Ordoñez
M
27
S. Britschgi
72'
M
S. Britschgi
72'
M
76
D. Mikołajewski
45'
F
D. Mikołajewski
45'
F
9
Mateo Pellegrino
1 ⚽
F
Mateo Pellegrino
1 ⚽
F
Bench
3
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
34'
D
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
34'
D
75
Alessandro Cardinali
50'
F
Alessandro Cardinali
50'
F
60
A. Mazzocchi
G
A. Mazzocchi
G
77
Edoardo Tigani
M
Edoardo Tigani
M
15
Enrico Delprato
D
Enrico Delprato
D
65
E. Plicco
M
E. Plicco
M
29
F. Carboni
19'
D
F. Carboni
19'
D
63
M. Mena
D
M. Mena
D
8
N. Estévez
M
N. Estévez
M
22
O. Sørensen
23'
M
O. Sørensen
23'
M
11
Pontus Almqvist
1 👟
23'
F
Pontus Almqvist
1 👟
23'
F
31
Zion Suzuki
G
Zion Suzuki
G
13
Stefano Turati
83'
G
Stefano Turati
83'
G
23
U. Garcia
D
U. Garcia
D
21
Jay Idzes
54'
D
Jay Idzes
54'
D
31
T. Macchioni
D
T. Macchioni
D
25
W. Coulibaly
D
W. Coulibaly
D
90
I. Koné
65'
M
I. Koné
65'
M
35
L. Lipani
83'
M
L. Lipani
83'
M
42
K. Thorstvedt
M
K. Thorstvedt
M
45
Armand Laurienté
66'
F
Armand Laurienté
66'
F
99
Andrea Pinamonti
F
Andrea Pinamonti
F
10
Domenico Berardi
F
Domenico Berardi
F
Bench
20
A. Fadera
F
A. Fadera
F
49
A. Murić
G
A. Murić
G
33
Christian Frangella
M
Christian Frangella
M
7
C. Volpato
12'
M
C. Volpato
12'
M
44
E. Iannoni
M
E. Iannoni
M
12
Giacomo Satalino
G
Giacomo Satalino
G
16
Gioele Zacchi
12'
G
Gioele Zacchi
12'
G
36
Giorgio Vezzosi
D
Giorgio Vezzosi
D
3
J. Doig
D
J. Doig
D
24
L. Moro
F
L. Moro
F
8
M'bala Nzola
29'
F
M'bala Nzola
29'
F
18
Nemanja Matić
30'
M
Nemanja Matić
30'
M
66
Pedro Felipe
41'
D
Pedro Felipe
41'
D
80
T. Muharemović
D
T. Muharemović
D
Best on the pitch
Stefano Turati
G · Sassuolo
7.60
· 28 pass
L. Lipani
M · Sassuolo
7.30
· 47 pass
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
M · Parma
7.30
3 shots
· 42 pass
Pontus Almqvist
F · Parma
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 6 pass
Mateo Pellegrino
F · Parma
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 18 pass
Mariano Troilo
D · Parma
7.20
· 60 pass
Parma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edoardo Corvi | G | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Valenti | D | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Mariano Troilo | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Alessandro Circati | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Emanuele Valeri | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Keita | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Hans Nicolussi Caviglia | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Christian Ordoñez | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Britschgi | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Mikołajewski | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Ndiaye | D | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Alessandro Cardinali | F | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| F. Carboni | D | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| O. Sørensen | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Pontus Almqvist | F | 23 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Sassuolo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Turati | G | 83 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 12% | — | — | — |
| U. Garcia | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Jay Idzes | D | 54 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| T. Macchioni | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| W. Coulibaly | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Koné | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Lipani | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Thorstvedt | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Armand Laurienté | F | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrea Pinamonti | F | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Domenico Berardi | F | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| C. Volpato | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Gioele Zacchi | G | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M'bala Nzola | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Nemanja Matić | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Felipe | D | 41 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Parma vs Sassuolo?
The final score was Parma 1–0 Sassuolo.
What did the model predict before Parma vs Sassuolo?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Parma win, 29% to a draw, and 44% to an Sassuolo win.