Serie D - Girone D
· Group D - 5
September 27, 2026 15:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pavia a 39% win probability (draw 32%, Arconatese 27%). The final result was Pavia 1–1 Arconatese.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
39.57%
Pavia
32.7%
X ←
27.73%
Arconatese
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.33
—
—
0.30
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pavia vs Arconatese?
The final score was Pavia 1–1 Arconatese.
What did the model predict before Pavia vs Arconatese?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Pavia win, 32% to a draw, and 27% to an Arconatese win.