Serie D - Girone D
· Group D - 7
October 11, 2026 15:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Varesina a 32% win probability (draw 38%, Pavia 28%). The final result was Pavia 2–2 Varesina. In 2 previous meetings, Pavia have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Varesina.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
28.69%
Pavia
38.77%
X ←
32.55%
Varesina
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
38.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.30
—
—
0.54
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pavia vs Varesina?
The final score was Pavia 2–2 Varesina.
What did the model predict before Pavia vs Varesina?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Pavia win, 38% to a draw, and 32% to an Varesina win.