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← Serie D - Girone B

Pavonese - Milan II

Serie D - Girone B October 28, 2026 17:30
Pavonese
#10 · 11 pts
vs
Milan II
#7 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.04%
Win
Pavonese
33.6%
Draw
33.37%
Win
Milan II
0.8
Expected xG
0.82

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.87%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 34%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 47%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Pavonese a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Milan II. Expected goals are 0.8 for Pavonese and 0.8 for Milan II (total 1.6), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.87% probability.

Season Stats

Pavonese
3W 2D 3L
Milan II
7W 3D 5L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.2
1.4
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
87%
38%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
73%
13%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie D - Girone B. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
32%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Pavonese
2W 0D 1L · at home
Milan II
6W 1D 3L · away
1.7
gls/g
1.8
1.7
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
60%
67%
Win or Draw
70%
100%
O 1.5
80%
67%
O 2.5
70%
33%
O 3.5
30%
67%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
30%
33%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Pavonese Milan II →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 20.0% 16.3% 6.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.9% 13.0% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% —
2 6.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% —
3 1.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% — —
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% — — — — —

Recent form

Pavonese Pavonese
D Real Calepina 1–1
W Fiorenzuola 2–1
L Leon 3–0
W Virtus Verona 0–1
W Tritium 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
Milan II Milan II
D Club Milano 1–1
W Chievo 1–2
L Rovato Vertovese 1–2
W Villa Valle 1–2
W Brusaporto 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Pavonese Pavonese
Attack
26
Defence
66
Form
47
Milan II Milan II
Attack
39
Defence
58
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Nibbiano & Valtidone Nibbiano & Valtidone 9 24
2 Chievo Chievo 9 19
3 Piacenza Piacenza 8 15
4 Caldiero Terme Caldiero Terme 9 15
5 Leon Leon 9 15
6 Villa Valle Villa Valle 9 14
7 Milan II Milan II 7 13
8 Real Calepina Real Calepina 9 12
9 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 9 12
10 Pavonese Pavonese 8 11
11 Pro Palazzolo Pro Palazzolo 9 11
12 Scanzorosciate Scanzorosciate 9 10
13 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 9 9
14 Brusaporto Brusaporto 9 9
15 Club Milano Club Milano 9 8
16 Rovato Vertovese Rovato Vertovese 9 7
17 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola 9 6
18 Tritium Tritium 9 5
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pavonese vs Milan II?
The model gives Pavonese a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Milan II win.
How many goals are expected in Pavonese vs Milan II?
Expected goals: Pavonese 0.8, Milan II 0.8 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Pavonese vs Milan II?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.87%.