76'
(ast. T. Arokodare)
J. Mokio
90'+5
(ast. M. Godts)
J. Brandt
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 39% win probability (draw 30%, PEC Zwolle 29%). The final result was PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax. In 2 previous meetings, PEC Zwolle have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Ajax.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
6
0.59
Actual xG
1.54
4
Saves
2
31%
Possession
69%
2
Corners
10
22
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
33'
A. Ouazane
S. Floranus
57'
I. Cissoko
/ D. van der Haar
60'
61'
M. Godts
/
Y. Regeer
61'
J. Brandt
/
S. Berghuis
61'
J. Mokio
/
O. Gloukh
D. Mbayo
/ G. Reiziger
61'
67'
Marcos Leonardo
/
K. Dolberg
73'
T. Arokodare
/
A. Ouazane
T. Oosting
/ T. Velthuis
74'
76'
ast. T. Arokodare ·
J. Mokio⚽
T. Sommer
/ E. Sorensen
85'
R. Thomas
/ O. Velanas
85'
86'
D. Klaassen
G. Reiziger
88'
K. Kostons
89'
90'+5
ast. M. Godts ·
J. Brandt⚽
Pre-match prediction
29.58%
PEC
30.89%
X
39.53%
Ajax ←
we assigned to the actual result (Ajax)
39.53%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
0.59
-0.65
1.35
1.54
+0.19
Ajax dominated by xG (1.54 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Schendelaar
G
J. Schendelaar
G
2
S. Floranus
57'
D
S. Floranus
57'
D
24
N. Viergever
D
N. Viergever
D
28
S. Graves
D
S. Graves
D
3
O. Aertssen
D
O. Aertssen
D
30
R. Thomas
85'
M
R. Thomas
85'
M
8
T. Sommer
85'
M
T. Sommer
85'
M
22
I. Cissoko
60'
M
I. Cissoko
60'
M
25
T. Oosting
74'
M
T. Oosting
74'
M
11
D. Mbayo
61'
M
D. Mbayo
61'
M
10
K. Kostons
F
K. Kostons
F
Bench
33
D. van der Haar
30'
D
D. van der Haar
30'
D
41
D. Verduin
G
D. Verduin
G
42
Dylan Ruward
D
Dylan Ruward
D
9
E. Sørensen
11'
F
E. Sørensen
11'
F
37
Gilles van der Wal
M
Gilles van der Wal
M
38
G. Rahajaän
M
G. Rahajaän
M
20
G. Reiziger
29'
M
G. Reiziger
29'
M
26
Jadiel Pereira da Gama
M
Jadiel Pereira da Gama
M
34
N. Fichtinger
M
N. Fichtinger
M
18
O. Velanas
11'
M
O. Velanas
11'
M
16
T. de Graaff
G
T. de Graaff
G
4
T. Velthuis
16'
D
T. Velthuis
16'
D
1
M. ter Stegen
G
M. ter Stegen
G
12
Caio Henrique
D
Caio Henrique
D
15
Y. Baas
D
Y. Baas
D
30
A. Bouwman
D
A. Bouwman
D
2
Lucas Rosa
D
Lucas Rosa
D
10
O. Gloukh
61'
M
O. Gloukh
61'
M
6
Y. Regeer
61'
M
Y. Regeer
61'
M
18
D. Klaassen
M
D. Klaassen
M
68
A. Ouazane
73'
F
A. Ouazane
73'
F
9
K. Dolberg
67'
F
K. Dolberg
67'
F
23
S. Berghuis
61'
F
S. Berghuis
61'
F
Bench
3
A. Gaaei
D
A. Gaaei
D
17
D. Blind
D
D. Blind
D
8
J. Brandt
1 ⚽
29'
M
J. Brandt
1 ⚽
29'
M
22
J. Heerkens
G
J. Heerkens
G
24
J. Mokio
1 ⚽
29'
M
J. Mokio
1 ⚽
29'
M
38
Marcos Leonardo
23'
F
Marcos Leonardo
23'
F
7
M. Carrizo
F
M. Carrizo
F
11
M. Godts
1 👟
29'
F
M. Godts
1 👟
29'
F
26
M. Paes
G
M. Paes
G
20
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
F
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
F
5
O. Wijndal
D
O. Wijndal
D
99
T. Arokodare
1 👟
17'
F
T. Arokodare
1 👟
17'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Bouwman
D · Ajax
8.20
1 shots
· 101 pass
J. Schendelaar
G · PEC
7.90
· 35 pass
J. Mokio
M · Ajax
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
Y. Baas
D · Ajax
7.90
· 79 pass
J. Brandt
M · Ajax
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
R. Thomas
M · PEC
7.30
· 15 pass
PEC Zwolle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Schendelaar | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 22% | — | — | — |
| S. Floranus | D | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | 1 |
| N. Viergever | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| S. Graves | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Aertssen | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 8 | — | — |
| R. Thomas | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Sommer | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Cissoko | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| T. Oosting | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Mbayo | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Kostons | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| D. van der Haar | D | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Sørensen | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| G. Reiziger | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Velanas | M | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Velthuis | D | 16 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Ajax — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. ter Stegen | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Caio Henrique | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Baas | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 79 | 77% | — | — | — |
| A. Bouwman | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 101 | 94% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Rosa | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 60% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Gloukh | M | 61 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Y. Regeer | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| D. Klaassen | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Ouazane | F | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Dolberg | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| S. Berghuis | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Brandt | M | 29 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Mokio | M | 29 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Leonardo | F | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Godts | F | 29 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| T. Arokodare | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
The final score was PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax.
What did the model predict before PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
The model assigned 29% probability to a PEC Zwolle win, 30% to a draw, and 39% to an Ajax win.