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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 8 October 11, 2026 14:30 MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
#15 · 8 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Cambuur
#10 · 12 pts
83' Nicolas Binder
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cambuur a 42% win probability (draw 27%, PEC Zwolle 29%). The final result was PEC Zwolle 0–1 Cambuur.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
13
6
Shots on target
4
1.06
Actual xG
0.88
3
Saves
6
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
5
29
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Sherel Floranus
39'
39'
Devid Eugene Bouah
45'
Jason Ceka / Fabian Kvam ↕
45'
Nicolas Binder / Ethan Apkakou ↕
Ibrahim Cissoko
52'
56'
Jason Ceka
↕ Ibrahim Cissoko / Elias Sörensen
60'
↕ Koen Kostons / Sydney van Hooijdonk
60'
67'
Sami Bouhoudane / Mathieu Maertens ↕
73'
Morgan Costarelli
74'
Jamal Amofa / Devid Eugene Bouah ↕
↕ Thijs Oosting / Gilles Van Der Wal
78'
↕ Dylan Mbayo / Gabriel Reiziger
78'
79'
Rik Mulders / Jamal Amofa ↕
83'
Nicolas Binder⚽
Gabriel Reiziger
86'
↕ Sherel Floranus / Damian van der Haar
87'
Pre-match prediction
29.46%
PEC
27.96%
X
42.58%
Cambuur ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cambuur) 42.58% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
PEC
0.67
1.06
+0.39
Cambuur
1.80
0.88
-0.92
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 0.88). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1
1 J. Schendelaar J. Schendelaar G 6.35
2 S. Floranus S. Floranus 87' D 6.48
24 N. Viergever N. Viergever D 6.57
28 S. Graves S. Graves D 6.73
3 O. Aertssen O. Aertssen D 6.83
8 T. Sommer T. Sommer M 6.66
30 R. Thomas R. Thomas M 6.75
22 I. Cissoko I. Cissoko 60' M 7.12
25 T. Oosting T. Oosting 78' M 6.87
11 D. Mbayo D. Mbayo 78' M 6.07
10 K. Kostons K. Kostons 60' F 6.38
Bench
33 D. van der Haar D. van der Haar 3' D 6.59
41 D. Verduin D. Verduin G 0.00
9 E. Sørensen E. Sørensen 30' F 6.41
37 Gilles van der Wal Gilles van der Wal 12' M 6.51
20 G. Reiziger G. Reiziger 12' M 6.23
26 Jadiel Pereira da Gama Jadiel Pereira da Gama M 0.00
6 Jan Bürger Jan Bürger D 0.00
34 N. Fichtinger N. Fichtinger M 0.00
18 O. Velanas O. Velanas M 0.00
17 S. van Hooijdonk S. van Hooijdonk 30' F 6.67
16 T. de Graaff T. de Graaff G 0.00
4 T. Velthuis T. Velthuis D 0.00
Cambuur Cambuur 4-2-3-1
1 T. Jansen T. Jansen G 7.69
28 M. Costarelli M. Costarelli D 7.14
14 B. van Duijl B. van Duijl D 7.37
4 I. Baouf I. Baouf D 7.52
2 D. Bouah D. Bouah 74' D 6.99
8 N. Souren N. Souren M 7.17
17 Ethan Apkakou Ethan Apkakou 45' M 7.20
11 I. Hamache I. Hamache M 6.70
10 R. El Arguioui R. El Arguioui M 6.69
15 F. Kvam F. Kvam 45' M 6.91
33 M. Maertens M. Maertens 67' F 6.28
Bench
29 Iwan Henstra Iwan Henstra F 0.00
6 J. Amofa J. Amofa 5' D 6.96
3 J. Berkhout J. Berkhout D 0.00
30 J. Çeka J. Çeka 45' F 6.64
23 L. Jetten L. Jetten D 0.00
22 L. Plogmann L. Plogmann G 0.00
24 M. Kalisvaart M. Kalisvaart G 0.00
13 N. Binder N. Binder 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.70
16 R. Mulders R. Mulders 11' D 7.29
7 S. Bouhoudane S. Bouhoudane 23' F 6.85
9 S. Vink S. Vink F 0.00
27 W. Kooistra W. Kooistra F 0.00
Best on the pitch
N. Binder
N. Binder
F · Cambuur
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 8 pass
T. Jansen
T. Jansen
G · Cambuur
7.69
· 53 pass
I. Baouf
I. Baouf
D · Cambuur
7.52
1 shots · 67 pass
B. van Duijl
B. van Duijl
D · Cambuur
7.37
· 80 pass
R. Mulders
R. Mulders
D · Cambuur
7.29
· 3 pass
Ethan Apkakou
Ethan Apkakou
M · Cambuur
7.20
· 22 pass
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Schendelaar G 90 6.35 — — 0 47 27% 0 — —
S. Floranus D 87 6.48 — — 0 34 29% 1 1 —
N. Viergever D 90 6.57 — — 0 62 51% 6 — —
S. Graves D 90 6.73 — — 1 47 37% 2 — —
O. Aertssen D 90 6.83 — — 0 17 11% 1 — —
T. Sommer M 90 6.66 — — 0 33 21% 2 — —
R. Thomas M 90 6.75 — — 1 37 30% 9 — —
I. Cissoko M 60 7.12 — — 3 13 8% 1 1 —
T. Oosting M 78 6.87 — — 2 17 12% 2 — —
D. Mbayo M 78 6.07 — — 1 15 10% 2 — —
K. Kostons F 60 6.38 — — 4 13 8% 0 — —
D. van der Haar D 3 6.59 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
E. Sørensen F 30 6.41 — — 1 5 4% 3 — —
Gilles van der Wal M 12 6.51 — — 1 5 3% 0 — —
G. Reiziger M 12 6.23 — — 0 4 3% 0 1 —
S. van Hooijdonk F 30 6.67 — — 1 7 6% 0 — —
Cambuur Cambuur — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Jansen G 90 7.69 — — 0 53 36% 0 — —
M. Costarelli D 90 7.14 — — 0 34 31% 2 1 —
B. van Duijl D 90 7.37 — — 0 80 64% 3 — —
I. Baouf D 90 7.52 — — 1 67 59% 2 — —
D. Bouah D 74 6.99 — — 0 33 32% 1 1 —
N. Souren M 90 7.17 — — 0 42 36% 1 — —
Ethan Apkakou M 45 7.20 — — 0 22 20% 0 — —
I. Hamache M 90 6.70 — — 1 26 18% 3 — —
R. El Arguioui M 90 6.69 — — 5 19 12% 0 — —
F. Kvam M 45 6.91 — — 0 9 6% 2 — —
M. Maertens F 67 6.28 — — 1 19 17% 1 — —
J. Amofa D 5 6.96 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
J. Çeka F 45 6.64 — — 3 12 6% 2 1 —
N. Binder F 45 7.70 1 — 2 8 3% 1 — —
R. Mulders D 11 7.29 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
S. Bouhoudane F 23 6.85 — — 0 3 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur?
The final score was PEC Zwolle 0–1 Cambuur.
What did the model predict before PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur?
The model assigned 29% probability to a PEC Zwolle win, 27% to a draw, and 42% to an Cambuur win.