Eredivisie · Regular Season - 30 April 12, 2026 14:30 MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

#15 · 8 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Excelsior

#13 · 11 pts

T. Oosting 3'

O. Velanas (ast. T. Oosting) 60'

16' (ast. C. Widell) D. Sanches Fernandes

80' (ast. G. de Regt) S. Wlodarczyk

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PEC Zwolle a 43% win probability (draw 31%, Excelsior 24%). The final result was PEC Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior. In 1 previous meetings, PEC Zwolle have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Excelsior.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

11

5

Shots on target

3

2.66

Actual xG

1.62

1

Saves

3

49%

Possession

51%

5

Corners

2

16

Tackles

14

0

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽T. Oosting

3'

16'

ast. C. Widell · D. Sanches Fernandes⚽

53'

Irakli Yegoian

⚽O. Velanas · ast. T. Oosting

60'

↕ O. Velanas / K. de Rooij

62'

↕ R. Thomas / T. Gooijer

62'

62'

E. Hansson / L. Schouten ↕

↕ K. Kostons / T. Buitink

74'

79'

M. van Duinen / I. Yegoian ↕

79'

S. Wlodarczyk / R. Meissen ↕

80'

ast. G. de Regt · S. Wlodarczyk⚽

Pre-match prediction

43.63%

PEC

31.4%

X ←

24.98%

Excelsior

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.4% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

PEC

1.09

2.66

+1.57

Excelsior

0.89

1.62

+0.73

PEC Zwolle dominated by xG (2.66 vs 1.62). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Feyenoord	10	24
2	Ajax	10	21
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	20
4	Twente	10	20
5	AZ Alkmaar	10	20
6	Fortuna Sittard	10	18
7	Heerenveen	10	15
8	Groningen	10	15
9	GO Ahead Eagles	10	14
10	Cambuur	10	12
11	Utrecht	10	12
12	NEC Nijmegen	10	11
13	Excelsior	10	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	9
15	PEC Zwolle	10	8
16	Telstar	10	6
17	ADO Den Haag	10	6
18	Willem II	10	2

Lineups

PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1

16

G 6.30

2 S. Floranus D 6.20

4 A. MacNulty D 6.20

28 Simon Graves D 6.50

3 Olivier Aertssen D 6.30

8 Zico Buurmeester M 7.00

30 Ryan Thomas 62' M 7.50

18 Odysseus Velanas 1 ⚽ 62' M 8.30

25 Thijs Oosting 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.50

9

M 7.70

10 Koen Kostons 74' F 5.60

Bench

22 Kaj de Rooij 28' F 6.70

5 Tijs Velthuis D

6 Tristan Gooijer 28' D 6.50

Excelsior 5-4-1

1

G 7.30

12 A. Zagré D 7.30

14 L. Schouten 62' D 6.30

4 Casper Widell 1 👟 D 7.20

3 Rick Meissen 79' D 6.00

2 I. Bronkhorst D 6.70

11 G. de Regt 1 👟 M 7.30

20 L. Hartjes M 6.70

23 Irakli Yegoian 79' M 6.70

30 D. Sanches Fernandes 1 ⚽ M 6.90

10 Noah Naujoks F 6.70

Bench

7 Emil Hansson 28' F 6.30

33 Jerolldino Armantrading F

9 S. Włodarczyk 1 ⚽ 11' F 7.30

Best on the pitch

Thijs Oosting

M · PEC

8.50

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 21 pass

Odysseus Velanas

M · PEC

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 34 pass

M · PEC

7.70

· 22 pass

Ryan Thomas

M · PEC

7.50

· 38 pass

G. de Regt

M · Excelsior

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 19 pass

A. Zagré

D · Excelsior

7.30

1 shots · 44 pass

PEC Zwolle — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	36	17%	—	—	—
S. Floranus	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	47	36%	3	—	—
A. MacNulty	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	63	51%	1	—	—
Simon Graves	D	90	6.50	—	—	2	57	51%	—	—	—
Olivier Aertssen	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	24	20%	2	—	—
Zico Buurmeester	M	90	7.00	—	—	1	31	24%	2	—	—
Ryan Thomas	M	62	7.50	—	—	—	38	35%	3	—	—
Odysseus Velanas	M	62	8.30	1	—	2	34	26%	3	—	—
Thijs Oosting	M	90	8.50	1	1	1	21	17%	—	—	—
	M	90	7.70	—	—	—	22	13%	1	—	—
Koen Kostons	F	74	5.60	—	—	3	9	7%	—	—	—
Kaj de Rooij	F	28	6.70	—	—	—	9	5%	1	—	—
Tristan Gooijer	D	28	6.50	—	—	—	13	8%	—	—	—

Excelsior — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	52	25%	—	—	—
A. Zagré	D	90	7.30	—	—	1	44	41%	1	—	—
L. Schouten	D	62	6.30	—	—	—	30	24%	1	—	—
Casper Widell	D	90	7.20	—	1	2	62	46%	1	—	—
Rick Meissen	D	79	6.00	—	—	—	35	28%	1	—	—
I. Bronkhorst	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	45	33%	2	—	—
G. de Regt	M	90	7.30	—	1	1	19	13%	—	—	—
L. Hartjes	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	34	30%	2	—	—
Irakli Yegoian	M	79	6.70	—	—	—	37	28%	3	1	—
D. Sanches Fernandes	M	90	6.90	1	—	3	27	25%	2	—	—
Noah Naujoks	F	90	6.70	—	—	2	24	15%	1	—	—
Emil Hansson	F	28	6.30	—	—	1	12	10%	—	—	—
S. Włodarczyk	F	11	7.30	1	—	1	2	—	—	—	—