Eredivisie · Regular Season - 30 April 12, 2026 16:30

PEC Zwolle

#13 · 37 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Excelsior

#14 · 35 pts

T. Oosting 3'

O. Velanas (ast. T. Oosting) 60'

16' (ast. C. Widell) D. Sanches Fernandes

80' (ast. G. de Regt) S. Wlodarczyk

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PEC Zwolle a 43% win probability (draw 31%, Excelsior 24%). The final result was PEC Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior. In 1 previous meetings, PEC Zwolle have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Excelsior.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

11

5

Shots on target

3

2.66

Actual xG

1.62

1

Saves

3

49%

Possession

51%

5

Corners

2

16

Tackles

14

0

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽T. Oosting

3'

16'

ast. C. Widell · D. Sanches Fernandes⚽

53'

Irakli Yegoian

⚽O. Velanas · ast. T. Oosting

60'

↕ O. Velanas / K. de Rooij

62'

↕ R. Thomas / T. Gooijer

62'

62'

E. Hansson / L. Schouten ↕

↕ K. Kostons / T. Buitink

74'

79'

M. van Duinen / I. Yegoian ↕

79'

S. Wlodarczyk / R. Meissen ↕

80'

ast. G. de Regt · S. Wlodarczyk⚽

Pre-match prediction

43.63%

PEC

31.4%

X ←

24.98%

Excelsior

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.4% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

PEC

1.09

2.66

+1.57

Excelsior

0.89

1.62

+0.73

PEC Zwolle dominated by xG (2.66 vs 1.62). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Roda	1	1
1	Willem II	1	3
1	PSV Eindhoven	33	81
2	Feyenoord	33	62
2	Waalwijk	1	1
2	Waalwijk	1	0
3	Twente	33	58
4	NEC Nijmegen	33	56
5	Ajax	33	55
6	AZ Alkmaar	33	51
7	Utrecht	33	50
8	Heerenveen	33	50
9	Groningen	33	45
10	Sparta Rotterdam	33	43
11	Fortuna Sittard	33	39
12	GO Ahead Eagles	33	38
13	PEC Zwolle	33	37
14	Excelsior	33	35
15	Telstar	33	34
16	FC Volendam	33	32
17	NAC Breda	33	28
18	Heracles	33	19

Lineups

PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1

16

G 6.30

2

S. Floranus D 6.20

4 Anselmo Garcia McNulty D 6.20

28 Simon Graves D 6.50

3 Olivier Aertssen D 6.30

8 Zico Buurmeester M 7.00

30 R. Thomas 62' M 7.50

18 Odysseus Velanas 1 ⚽ 62' M 8.30

25 Thijs Oosting 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.50

9

M 7.70

10 K. Kostons 74' F 5.60

Bench

22 Kaj de Rooij 28' F 6.70

5 Tijs Velthuis D

6 Tristan Gooijer 28' D 6.50

Excelsior 5-4-1

1

G 7.30

12 A. Zagré D 7.30

14 Lewis Schouten 62' D 6.30

4 Casper Widell 1 👟 D 7.20

3 Rick Meissen 79' D 6.00

2 I. Bronkhorst D 6.70

11 Gyan de Regt 1 👟 M 7.30

20 Lennard Hartjes M 6.70

23 Irakli Yegoian 79' M 6.70

30 Derensili Sanches Fernandes 1 ⚽ M 6.90

10 N. Naujoks F 6.70

Bench

7 Emil Hansson 28' F 6.30

33 Jerolldino Bergraaf F

9 Szymon Włodarczyk 1 ⚽ 11' F 7.30

Best on the pitch

Thijs Oosting

M · PEC

8.50

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 21 pass

Odysseus Velanas

M · PEC

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 34 pass

M · PEC

7.70

· 22 pass

R. Thomas

M · PEC

7.50

· 38 pass

Gyan de Regt

M · Excelsior

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 19 pass

A. Zagré

D · Excelsior

7.30

1 shots · 44 pass

PEC Zwolle — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	36	17%	—	—	—
S. Floranus	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	47	36%	3	—	—
Anselmo Garcia McNulty	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	63	51%	1	—	—
Simon Graves	D	90	6.50	—	—	2	57	51%	—	—	—
Olivier Aertssen	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	24	20%	2	—	—
Zico Buurmeester	M	90	7.00	—	—	1	31	24%	2	—	—
R. Thomas	M	62	7.50	—	—	—	38	35%	3	—	—
Odysseus Velanas	M	62	8.30	1	—	2	34	26%	3	—	—
Thijs Oosting	M	90	8.50	1	1	1	21	17%	—	—	—
	M	90	7.70	—	—	—	22	13%	1	—	—
K. Kostons	F	74	5.60	—	—	3	9	7%	—	—	—
Kaj de Rooij	F	28	6.70	—	—	—	9	5%	1	—	—
Tristan Gooijer	D	28	6.50	—	—	—	13	8%	—	—	—

Excelsior — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	52	25%	—	—	—
A. Zagré	D	90	7.30	—	—	1	44	41%	1	—	—
Lewis Schouten	D	62	6.30	—	—	—	30	24%	1	—	—
Casper Widell	D	90	7.20	—	1	2	62	46%	1	—	—
Rick Meissen	D	79	6.00	—	—	—	35	28%	1	—	—
I. Bronkhorst	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	45	33%	2	—	—
Gyan de Regt	M	90	7.30	—	1	1	19	13%	—	—	—
Lennard Hartjes	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	34	30%	2	—	—
Irakli Yegoian	M	79	6.70	—	—	—	37	28%	3	1	—
Derensili Sanches Fernandes	M	90	6.90	1	—	3	27	25%	2	—	—
N. Naujoks	F	90	6.70	—	—	2	24	15%	1	—	—
Emil Hansson	F	28	6.30	—	—	1	12	10%	—	—	—
Szymon Włodarczyk	F	11	7.30	1	—	1	2	—	—	—	—