Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28 March 21, 2026 21:00 MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

#15 · 37 pts

2 – 1

Final score

NAC Breda

#17 · 29 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PEC Zwolle a 51% win probability (draw 30%, NAC Breda 17%). The final result was PEC Zwolle 2–1 NAC Breda. In 1 previous meetings, PEC Zwolle have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for NAC Breda.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

6

0.82

Actual xG

1.08

43%

Possession

57%

2

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

51.52%

PEC ←

30.78%

X

17.7%

NAC

we assigned to the actual result (PEC Zwolle) 51.52% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

PEC

1.23

0.82

-0.41

NAC

0.58

1.08

+0.5

xG dominance was balanced (0.82 – 1.08). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Roda	1	1
1	Willem II	1	3
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	84
2	Feyenoord	34	65
2	Waalwijk	1	1
2	Waalwijk	1	0
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	59
4	Twente	34	58
5	Ajax	34	56
6	Utrecht	34	53
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	52
8	Heerenveen	34	51
9	Groningen	34	48
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	43
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	39
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	38
13	Excelsior	34	38
14	Telstar	34	37
15	PEC Zwolle	34	37
16	FC Volendam	34	32
17	NAC Breda	34	29
18	Heracles	34	19