The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PEC Zwolle a 51% win probability (draw 30%, NAC Breda 17%). The final result was PEC Zwolle 2–1 NAC Breda. In 1 previous meetings, PEC Zwolle have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for NAC Breda.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
6
0.82
Actual xG
1.08
43%
Possession
57%
2
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
51.52%
PEC ←
30.78%
X
17.7%
NAC
we assigned to the actual result (PEC Zwolle)
51.52%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
0.82
-0.41
0.58
1.08
+0.5
xG dominance was balanced (0.82 – 1.08).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda?
The final score was PEC Zwolle 2–1 NAC Breda.
What did the model predict before PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda?
The model assigned 51% probability to a PEC Zwolle win, 30% to a draw, and 17% to an NAC Breda win.