Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28 March 21, 2026 22:00

PEC Zwolle

#13 · 37 pts

2 – 1

Final score

NAC Breda

#17 · 28 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PEC Zwolle a 51% win probability (draw 30%, NAC Breda 17%). The final result was PEC Zwolle 2–1 NAC Breda. In 1 previous meetings, PEC Zwolle have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for NAC Breda.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

6

0.82

Actual xG

1.08

43%

Possession

57%

2

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

51.52%

PEC ←

30.78%

X

17.7%

NAC

we assigned to the actual result (PEC Zwolle) 51.52% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

PEC

1.23

0.82

-0.41

NAC

0.58

1.08

+0.5

xG dominance was balanced (0.82 – 1.08). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Roda	1	1
1	Willem II	1	3
1	PSV Eindhoven	33	81
2	Feyenoord	33	62
2	Waalwijk	1	1
2	Waalwijk	1	0
3	Twente	33	58
4	NEC Nijmegen	33	56
5	Ajax	33	55
6	AZ Alkmaar	33	51
7	Utrecht	33	50
8	Heerenveen	33	50
9	Groningen	33	45
10	Sparta Rotterdam	33	43
11	Fortuna Sittard	33	39
12	GO Ahead Eagles	33	38
13	PEC Zwolle	33	37
14	Excelsior	33	35
15	Telstar	33	34
16	FC Volendam	33	32
17	NAC Breda	33	28
18	Heracles	33	19