Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28 March 21, 2026 21:00 MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

#13 · 12 pts

2 – 1

Final score

NAC Breda

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PEC Zwolle a 51% win probability (draw 30%, NAC Breda 17%). The final result was PEC Zwolle 2–1 NAC Breda. In 1 previous meetings, PEC Zwolle have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for NAC Breda.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

6

0.82

Actual xG

1.08

43%

Possession

57%

2

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

51.52%

PEC ←

30.78%

X

17.7%

NAC

we assigned to the actual result (PEC Zwolle) 51.52% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

PEC

1.23

0.82

-0.41

NAC

0.58

1.08

+0.5

xG dominance was balanced (0.82 – 1.08). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	26
2	Feyenoord	12	25
3	Ajax	12	25
4	Twente	12	24
5	AZ Alkmaar	12	23
6	Heerenveen	12	21
7	Fortuna Sittard	12	20
8	GO Ahead Eagles	12	17
9	Groningen	12	15
10	Cambuur	12	15
11	NEC Nijmegen	12	14
12	Sparta Rotterdam	12	12
13	PEC Zwolle	12	12
14	Utrecht	12	12
15	Excelsior	12	11
16	Telstar	12	10
17	ADO Den Haag	12	9
18	Willem II	12	3