Penafiel - Leça
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.8%
Win
Penafiel
25.19%
Draw
26.01%
Win
Leça
2.38
1.25
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.06%)
1X2 Result
1
49%
X
25%
2
26%
Double Chance
1X
74%
X2
51%
12
75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
64%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Penafiel a 48% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Leça. Expected goals are 2.4 for Penafiel and 1.3 for Leça (total 3.6), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.06% probability.
Season Stats
1W
1D
0L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Penafiel
Leça →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Penafiel
Attack
45
Defence
70
Form
67
Leça
Attack
31
Defence
64
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Penafiel vs Leça?
The model gives Penafiel a 48% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 26% for an Leça win.
How many goals are expected in Penafiel vs Leça?
Expected goals: Penafiel 2.4, Leça 1.3 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Penafiel vs Leça?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.06%.