✓Model correct — prediction Penarol
L. Ferreira
11'
A. Hernandez
90'+2
51'
F. Bonfiglio
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 82% win probability (draw 9%, Boston River 7%). The final result was Penarol 2–1 Boston River. In 2 previous meetings, Penarol have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Boston River.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽L. Ferreira
11'
L. Ferreira
32'
E. Remedi
38'
45'+1
L. Vazquez
45'+2
M. Gonzalez
G. Pezzella
/ N. Herrera
46'
L. Ferreira
/ F. Romero
46'
51'
F. Bonfiglio⚽
56'
L. Suhr
J. Cabrera
/ Lucas Hernandez
60'
66'
F. Aristegui
/
L. Suhr
T. N. Espinosa Dovat
/ A. Hernandez
74'
78'
F. Saravia
/
L. Vazquez
86'
J. S. O'Neill Lopez
/
F. Martinez
86'
N. Siri
/
F. Bonfiglio
C. Jaime
/ I. Alegre
89'
⚽A. Hernandez
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
82.67%
Penarol ←
9.59%
X
7.74%
Boston
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Penarol)
82.67%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
—
—
1.07
—
—
Lineups
26
Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat
M
29
W. Aguerre
G
2
G. Pezzella
D
15
M. Olivera
D
6
L. Ferreira
1 ⚽
D
32
L. Umpiérrez
M
7
J. Cabrera
M
5
E. Remedi
M
8
N. Fernández
M
11
C. Jaime
F
19
M. Arezo
F
Bench
99
A. Hernández
1 ⚽
F
9
F. Batista
F
80
F. González
M
4
F. Romero
D
28
I. Alegre
D
33
J. Rodríguez
M
21
J. Trindade
M
27
L. Hernández
D
34
N. Herrera
D
1
S. Britos
G
1
B. Antúnez
G
22
F. Martínez
D
25
A. Aguirre
D
30
M. González
D
31
J. Acosta
D
5
R. Saravia
M
10
A. Amado
M
26
F. Muñoa
M
15
L. Vazquez
M
16
L. Suhr
M
9
F. Bonfiglio
1 ⚽
F
Bench
29
A. Lima
M
13
F. Aristegui
F
20
F. Avenatti
F
6
F. Saravia
D
4
Ignacio Fernandez
D
12
J. González
G
24
J. O'Neill
D
8
L. Suárez
M
3
M. Mancebo
D
27
N. Siri
F
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Aguerre | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Pezzella | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Olivera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ferreira | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Umpiérrez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cabrera | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Remedi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Jaime | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Arezo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Boston River — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Antúnez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Martínez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Aguirre | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. González | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Acosta | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Saravia | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Amado | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Muñoa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Vazquez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Suhr | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Bonfiglio | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Penarol vs Boston River?
The final score was Penarol 2–1 Boston River.
What did the model predict before Penarol vs Boston River?
The model assigned 82% probability to a Penarol win, 9% to a draw, and 7% to an Boston River win.