Primera División · Clausura - 2 August 16, 2026 23:30

Penarol

#1 · 55 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Central Espanol

#5 · 9 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Penarol

M. Olivera 55'

C. Jaime 69'

80' G. Gandolfo

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 68% win probability (draw 22%, Central Espanol 9%). The final result was Penarol 2–1 Central Espanol. In 2 previous meetings, Penarol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Central Espanol.

Match statistics

Match Events

25'

F. Munoz

M. Lemos

27'

46'

L. Pino / F. Munoz ↕

⚽M. Olivera

55'

63'

M. Aguilera / I. Mendez ↕

63'

F. Camarda / J. Dellarossa ↕

↕ A. Hernandez / L. Umpierrez

68'

⚽C. Jaime

69'

74'

M. Gonzalez

↕ E. Darias / Lucas Hernandez

76'

↕ C. Jaime / I. Alegre

76'

↕ J. Cabrera / L. Angulo

76'

N. Fernandez

77'

80'

G. Gandolfo⚽

I. Alegre

81'

↕ M. Arezo / F. Batista

82'

N. Fernandez

85'

N. Fernandez

85'

87'

E. Mereles / M. Gonzalez ↕

87'

M. Alonso / I. Rodriguez ↕

90'+1

A. Villoldo

Pre-match prediction

68.4%

Penarol ←

22.27%

X

9.33%

Central

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Penarol) 68.4% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Penarol

1.60

—

—

Central

0.30

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Penarol	28	55
2	Atletico Torque	28	53
3	Racing Montevideo	29	53
4	Deportivo Maldonado	29	52
5	Club Nacional	29	46
6	Wanderers	29	44
7	Liverpool Montevideo	29	43
8	Central Espanol	29	38
9	Juventud	29	35
10	Albion FC	29	34
11	Cerro Largo	29	33
12	Defensor Sporting	29	32
13	Cerro	29	32
14	Boston River	29	30
15	Danubio	29	26
16	Progreso	29	25