Penarol 3–1 Cerro — pre-match prediction — Primera División — March 21, 2026 — ForzaPitch

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Primera División · Regular Season - 7 March 21, 2026 23:30

#4 · 27 pts

3 – 1

Final score

#1 · 0 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Cerro 23%). The final result was Penarol 3–1 Cerro.

Match statistics

Pre-match prediction

47.34%

Penarol ←

28.91%

X

23.76%

Cerro

we assigned to the actual result (Penarol) 47.34% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Penarol

1.65

—

—

Cerro

0.31

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Racing Montevideo	15	31
1	Club Nacional	0	0
1	Cerro	0	0
2	Progreso	0	0
2	Liverpool Montevideo	0	0
2	Deportivo Maldonado	15	29
3	Albion FC	15	28
3	Central Espanol	0	0
3	Danubio	0	0
4	Penarol	15	27
4	Defensor Sporting	0	0
4	Wanderers	0	0
5	Central Espanol	15	24
5	Penarol	0	0
5	Juventud	0	0
6	Racing Montevideo	0	0
6	Deportivo Maldonado	0	0
6	Atletico Torque	15	23
7	Cerro Largo	0	0
7	Club Nacional	15	22
7	Atletico Torque	0	0
8	Albion FC	0	0
8	Boston River	0	0
8	Defensor Sporting	15	21
9	Liverpool Montevideo	15	20
10	Wanderers	15	20
11	Danubio	15	18
12	Cerro Largo	15	17
13	Boston River	15	17
14	Juventud	15	15
15	Progreso	15	10
16	Cerro	15	10

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Penarol vs Cerro?

The final score was Penarol 3–1 Cerro.

What did the model predict before Penarol vs Cerro?

The model assigned 47% probability to a Penarol win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an Cerro win.