The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Cerro 23%). The final result was Penarol 3–1 Cerro. In 2 previous meetings, Penarol have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cerro.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
47.34%
Penarol ←
28.91%
X
23.76%
Cerro
we assigned to the actual result (Penarol)
47.34%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.65
—
—
0.31
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Penarol vs Cerro?
The final score was Penarol 3–1 Cerro.
What did the model predict before Penarol vs Cerro?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Penarol win, 28% to a draw, and 23% to an Cerro win.