Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 5
May 22, 2026 02:30
M. Olivera
(ast. Jesus Trindade)
19'
63'
Z. Labyad
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 39% win probability (draw 31%, Corinthians 29%). The final result was Penarol 1–1 Corinthians. In 1 previous meetings, Penarol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Corinthians.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
7
0.50
Actual xG
2.04
6
Saves
2
34%
Possession
66%
3
Corners
5
10
Tackles
18
Match Events
⚽M. Olivera
· ast. Jesus Trindade
19'
E. Gularte
/ F. Alvez
60'
E. Darias
/ L. Angulo
60'
63'
Z. Labyad⚽
F. Alvez
/ B. Barboza
71'
M. Arezo
/ F. Batista
71'
D. Laxalt
/ A. Hernandez
71'
73'
Yuri Alberto
/
Pedro Raul
74'
R. Garro
/
M. Pereira
74'
J. Lingard
/
Z. Labyad
84'
Dieguinho
/
Kaio Cesar
Pre-match prediction
39.14%
Penarol
31.61%
X ←
29.26%
Corinthians
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.61%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
0.50
-0.49
0.79
2.04
+1.25
Corinthians dominated by xG (2.04 vs 0.50).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
W. Aguerre
G
23
G. Togni
D
G. Togni
D
15
M. Olivera
1 ⚽
D
3
M. Lemos
D
4
Emanuel Gularte
60'
D
2
F. Escobar
D
F. Escobar
D
13
E. Darias
60'
M
93
D. Laxalt
71'
M
21
J. Trindade
1 👟
M
32
L. Umpiérrez
M
19
M. Arezo
71'
F
Bench
11
A. Hernández
25'
F
36
B. Barboza
25'
D
5
E. Remedi
M
22
Facundo Alvez
11'
D
Facundo Alvez
11'
D
9
F. Batista
25'
F
18
German Barbas
M
14
Kevin Rodríguez
D
77
L. Angulo
36'
F
27
L. Hernández
D
1
S. Britos
G
30
S. Mülhethaler
M
16
Tomas Olase
M
1
Hugo Souza
G
Hugo Souza
G
26
Fabrizio Angileri
D
Fabrizio Angileri
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
20
Pedro Milans
D
Pedro Milans
D
49
André Luiz
M
André Luiz
M
29
Allan
M
Allan
M
52
Zakaria Labyad
1 ⚽
74'
M
Zakaria Labyad
1 ⚽
74'
M
23
Matheus Pereira
73'
M
Matheus Pereira
73'
M
37
Kaio César
84'
M
Kaio César
84'
M
18
Pedro Raul
74'
F
Pedro Raul
74'
F
Bench
19
André Carrillo
M
André Carrillo
M
5
André Ramalho
D
André Ramalho
D
7
Breno Bidon
M
Breno Bidon
M
35
Charles
M
Charles
M
61
Dieguinho
12'
M
Dieguinho
12'
M
56
Gui Negão
F
Gui Negão
F
77
J. Lingard
22'
M
J. Lingard
22'
M
51
Kauê Camargo
G
Kauê Camargo
G
2
Matheuzinho
D
Matheuzinho
D
14
Raniele
M
Raniele
M
8
Rodrigo Garro
23'
M
Rodrigo Garro
23'
M
9
Yuri Alberto
22'
F
Yuri Alberto
22'
F
Best on the pitch
Gustavo Henrique
D · Corinthians
8.50
· 62 pass
M. Olivera
D · Penarol
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
W. Aguerre
G · Penarol
7.60
· 23 pass
Matheus Pereira
M · Corinthians
7.20
· 62 pass
Zakaria Labyad
M · Corinthians
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 48 pass
Gabriel Paulista
D · Corinthians
7.20
2 shots
· 70 pass
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Aguerre | G | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Togni | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Olivera | D | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Lemos | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Gularte | D | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F. Escobar | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Darias | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| D. Laxalt | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Trindade | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Umpiérrez | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M. Arezo | F | 71 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Hernández | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| B. Barboza | D | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Alvez | D | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| F. Batista | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Angulo | F | 36 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Souza | G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Fabrizio Angileri | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 96 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 62 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Milans | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| André Luiz | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 94 | 81% | 1 | — | — |
| Zakaria Labyad | M | 74 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Kaio César | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Raul | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Lingard | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Garro | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Penarol vs Corinthians?
The final score was Penarol 1–1 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Penarol vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Penarol win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an Corinthians win.