✗Model wrong — prediction Penarol, result Draw
A. Hernandez
53'
L. Umpierrez
82'
45'+2
R. Rabino
78'
F. Mimbacas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Juventud 19%). The final result was Penarol 2–2 Juventud.
Match statistics
Match Events
M. Olivera
/ Jesus Trindade
8'
L. Umpierrez
13'
18'
L. Roldan
25'
D. Morosini
L. Ferreira
37'
42'
E. Cecchini
45'+2
R. Rabino⚽
⚽A. Hernandez
53'
L. Angulo
/ F. Batista
56'
59'
R. Peralta
/
L. Roldan
66'
J. Boselli
/
P. Lago
W. Aguerre
70'
75'
R. Rabino
A. Hernandez
/ F. Gonzalez
75'
E. Darias
/ G. Togni
75'
E. Remedi
76'
78'
F. Mimbacas⚽
⚽L. Umpierrez
82'
83'
F. Perez
N. Fernandez
85'
86'
M. Izaguirre
/
F. Perez
86'
M. Perez
/
F. Mimbacas
86'
G. Pereiro
/
A. Cruz
Pre-match prediction
57.99%
Penarol
22.82%
X ←
19.2%
Juventud
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.30
—
—
1.00
—
—
Lineups
29
Washington Aguerre
G
15
Maximiliano Olivera
D
6
Lucas Ferreira
D
3
Mauricio Lemos
D
2
F. Escobar
D
F. Escobar
D
8
Nicolás Fernández
M
5
Eric Remedi
M
77
Luis Miguel Angulo
F
32
Leandro Umpierrez
1 ⚽
M
13
Eduardo Darias
M
11
Abel Hernández
1 ⚽
F
Bench
93
Diego Laxalt
M
9
Facundo Batista
F
80
Franco González
F
23
Gastón Togni
M
Gastón Togni
M
21
Jesús Trindade
M
14
Kevin Rodríguez
D
25
Matías González
D
1
G
16
Renzo Rabino
1 ⚽
D
23
Emmanuel Más
D
2
Patricio Pernicone
D
5
Angel Morosini
D
14
Leonel Roldán
M
21
Facundo Perez
M
19
Emanuel Cecchini
M
15
A. Cruz
M
A. Cruz
M
80
Fernando Mimbacas
1 ⚽
F
11
P. Lago
M
P. Lago
M
Bench
28
Franco Risso
D
26
Gastón Pereiro
F
30
Gonzalo Gomez
M
27
Juan Boselli
M
9
Marcelo Perez
F
8
Mateo Izaguirre
M
37
R. Peralta
M
R. Peralta
M
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Aguerre | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximiliano Olivera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ferreira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Lemos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Escobar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Remedi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Miguel Angulo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leandro Umpierrez | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Darias | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abel Hernández | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Juventud — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Renzo Rabino | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Más | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patricio Pernicone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Angel Morosini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonel Roldán | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Perez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Cecchini | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Cruz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando Mimbacas | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Lago | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Penarol vs Juventud?
The final score was Penarol 2–2 Juventud.
What did the model predict before Penarol vs Juventud?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Penarol win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an Juventud win.