✗Model wrong — prediction Penarol, result Draw
A. Hernandez
53'
L. Umpierrez
82'
45'+2
R. Rabino
78'
F. Mimbacas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Juventud 19%). The final result was Penarol 2–2 Juventud. In 1 previous meetings, Penarol have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Juventud.
Match statistics
Match Events
M. Olivera
/ Jesus Trindade
8'
L. Umpierrez
13'
18'
L. Roldan
25'
D. Morosini
L. Ferreira
37'
42'
E. Cecchini
45'+2
R. Rabino⚽
⚽A. Hernandez
53'
L. Angulo
/ F. Batista
56'
59'
R. Peralta
/
L. Roldan
66'
J. Boselli
/
P. Lago
W. Aguerre
70'
75'
R. Rabino
A. Hernandez
/ F. Gonzalez
75'
E. Darias
/ G. Togni
75'
E. Remedi
76'
78'
F. Mimbacas⚽
⚽L. Umpierrez
82'
83'
F. Perez
N. Fernandez
85'
86'
M. Izaguirre
/
F. Perez
86'
M. Perez
/
F. Mimbacas
86'
G. Pereiro
/
A. Cruz
Pre-match prediction
57.99%
Penarol
22.82%
X ←
19.2%
Juventud
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.30
—
—
1.00
—
—
Lineups
29
W. Aguerre
G
15
M. Olivera
D
6
L. Ferreira
D
3
M. Lemos
D
2
F. Escobar
D
F. Escobar
D
8
N. Fernández
M
5
E. Remedi
M
77
L. Angulo
F
32
L. Umpiérrez
1 ⚽
M
13
E. Darias
M
11
A. Hernández
1 ⚽
F
Bench
93
D. Laxalt
M
9
F. Batista
F
80
F. González
F
23
G. Togni
M
G. Togni
M
21
J. Trindade
M
14
Kevin Rodríguez
D
25
Matías González
D
1
G
16
R. Rabino
1 ⚽
D
23
E. Más
D
2
P. Pernicone
D
5
Angel Morosini
D
14
L. Roldán
M
21
Facundo Nahuel Pérez Bertinat
M
19
R. Cecchini
M
15
A. Cruz
M
A. Cruz
M
80
Fernando Mimbacas
1 ⚽
F
11
P. Lago
M
P. Lago
M
Bench
28
Franco Risso
D
30
Gonzalo Gomez
M
26
G. Pereiro
F
27
J. Boselli
M
9
Marcelo Perez
F
8
Mateo Izaguirre
M
Mateo Izaguirre
M
37
R. Peralta
M
R. Peralta
M
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Aguerre | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Olivera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ferreira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lemos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Escobar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Remedi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Angulo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Umpiérrez | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Darias | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hernández | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Juventud — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| R. Rabino | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Más | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Pernicone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Angel Morosini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Roldán | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Nahuel Pérez Bertinat | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Cecchini | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Cruz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando Mimbacas | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Lago | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Penarol vs Juventud?
The final score was Penarol 2–2 Juventud.
What did the model predict before Penarol vs Juventud?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Penarol win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an Juventud win.