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Penarol - Liverpool Montevideo

Primera División May 16, 2026 23:30
Penarol
#4 · 27 pts
vs
Liverpool Montevideo
#2 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.73%
Win
Penarol
22.63%
Draw
30.64%
Win
Liverpool Montevideo
1.7
Expected xG
1.33

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Penarol a 46% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Liverpool Montevideo. Expected goals are 1.7 for Penarol and 1.3 for Liverpool Montevideo (total 3.0), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.9% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Penarol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Liverpool Montevideo.

Score Matrix
↕ Penarol Liverpool Montevideo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8% 6.4% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.2% 10.9% 7.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
2 7.0% 9.3% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.0% 5.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —
Recent form
Penarol Penarol
W Cerro Largo 2–3
D Defensor Sporting 1–1
L Wanderers 1–0
D Juventud 2–2
L Liverpool Montevideo 0–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 11%
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
L Wanderers 1–0
W Danubio 3–0
D Juventud 1–1
L Club Nacional 1–3
W Penarol 0–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 31%
Playing profile
Penarol Penarol
Attack
35
Defence
68
Form
49
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo
Attack
39
Defence
61
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Penarol
0
Draw
1
Liverpool Montevideo
L 14 Apr 2026 Primera División 0–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 15 31
1 Club Nacional Club Nacional 0 0
1 Cerro Cerro 0 0
2 Progreso Progreso 0 0
2 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 0 0
2 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 15 29
3 Albion FC Albion FC 15 28
3 Central Espanol Central Espanol 0 0
3 Danubio Danubio 0 0
4 Penarol Penarol 15 27
4 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0 0
4 Wanderers Wanderers 0 0
5 Central Espanol Central Espanol 15 24
5 Penarol Penarol 0 0
5 Juventud Juventud 0 0
6 Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 0 0
6 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0 0
6 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 15 23
7 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0 0
7 Club Nacional Club Nacional 15 22
7 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 0 0
8 Albion FC Albion FC 0 0
8 Boston River Boston River 0 0
8 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 15 21
9 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 15 20
10 Wanderers Wanderers 15 20
11 Danubio Danubio 15 18
12 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 15 17
13 Boston River Boston River 15 17
14 Juventud Juventud 15 15
15 Progreso Progreso 15 10
16 Cerro Cerro 15 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
The model gives Penarol a 46% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 30% for an Liverpool Montevideo win.
How many goals are expected in Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Expected goals: Penarol 1.7, Liverpool Montevideo 1.3 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.9%.