✗Model wrong — prediction Penarol, result Draw
Abel Hernández
90'+2
26'
nahuel lopez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 74% win probability (draw 12%, Progreso 12%). The final result was Penarol 1–1 Progreso. In 1 previous meetings, Penarol have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Progreso.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
6
61%
Possession
39%
4
Corners
2
Match Events
5'
hernan carroso
/
Marco Antonio Saravia
26'
nahuel lopez⚽
Roberto Fernández
/ Abel Hernández
46'
nahuel herrera
/ Ignacio alegre
46'
Cristian Jaime
58'
leandro umpierrez
/ eduardo darias
61'
70'
Gastón Silva
/
Ayrton Cougo
70'
Matteo copelotti
/
Maximiliano Juambeltz
Thiago Espinosa
/ Lucas Hernández
71'
eduardo darias
76'
Cristian Jaime
/ Franco González
78'
83'
Santino Bruschi
/
Agustín Ocampo
83'
Agustin Codagnone
/
Facundo De Leon
⚽Abel Hernández
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
74.5%
Penarol
12.76%
X ←
12.74%
Progreso
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
12.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.32
—
—
1.20
—
—
Lineups
29
W. Aguerre
G
34
N. Herrera
D
2
G. Pezzella
D
6
L. Ferreira
D
26
Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat
D
8
N. Fernández
M
5
E. Remedi
D
7
J. Cabrera
F
32
L. Umpiérrez
F
11
C. Jaime
F
19
M. Arezo
F
Bench
99
A. Hernández
1 ⚽
F
13
E. Darias
M
9
F. Batista
F
80
F. González
M
28
I. Alegre
D
33
J. Rodríguez
F
21
J. Trindade
M
27
L. Hernández
D
3
M. Lemos
D
1
S. Britos
G
1
R. Bacchia
G
40
A. Cougo
D
6
M. Saravia
D
15
M. Martin
F
24
E. Álvarez
D
25
R. Cristóbal
M
5
A. Pinheiro
M
7
A. Ocampo
F
10
N. López
1 ⚽
F
17
F. de León
F
8
M. Juambeltz
F
Bench
30
Agustin Codagnone
M
27
G. Silva
D
18
G. Silva
M
13
H. Carroso
D
12
L. Fernández
G
23
M. Copelotti
F
21
S. Bruschi
M
2
S. Cardozo
D
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Aguerre | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Herrera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Pezzella | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ferreira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Remedi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cabrera | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Umpiérrez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Jaime | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Arezo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Progreso — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bacchia | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Cougo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Saravia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Martin | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Álvarez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Cristóbal | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Pinheiro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ocampo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. López | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. de León | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Juambeltz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Penarol vs Progreso?
The final score was Penarol 1–1 Progreso.
What did the model predict before Penarol vs Progreso?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Penarol win, 12% to a draw, and 12% to an Progreso win.