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Penrhyncoch - Bala Town

FAW Championship September 15, 2026 20:45
Penrhyncoch
#16 · 1 pts
vs
Bala Town
#5 · 15 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.03%
Win
Penrhyncoch
32.3%
Draw
36.67%
Win
Bala Town
0.83
Expected xG
1.99

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.06%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 32%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 69%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
✓ 71.4% hit rate (70 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bala Town a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Penrhyncoch. Expected goals are 0.8 for Penrhyncoch and 2.0 for Bala Town (total 2.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.06% probability.

Season Stats

Penrhyncoch
6W 1D 8L
Bala Town
5W 0D 2L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
2.0
2.1
Conceded
1.4
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
86%
67%
O 2.5
86%
40%
BTTS
71%
20%
Clean Sht
14%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
60%
O 3.5
85%
BTTS
Penrhyncoch
4W 1D 5L · at home
Bala Town
3W 0D 1L · away
1.8
gls/g
2.2
1.9
Conceded
2.0
40%
Win %
75%
50%
Win or Draw
75%
80%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
100%
70%
O 3.5
50%
70%
BTTS
100%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
10%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Penrhyncoch Bala Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0% 11.9% 11.8% 7.9% 3.9% 1.6%
1 4.9% 9.8% 9.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.0% 4.1% 4.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch
L Bangor City 1876 FC 1–5
L Buckley Town 5–0
L Guilsfield 4–0
D Denbigh Town 2–2
L Brickfield Rangers 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
Bala Town Bala Town
L Denbigh Town 5–2
W Porthmadog 1–2
L Newtown AFC 0–1
W Rhyl 1–3
W Gresford Athletic 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch
Attack
22
Defence
29
Form
32
Bala Town Bala Town
Attack
50
Defence
79
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

North

# Team G Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers Brickfield Rangers 8 21
2 Newtown AFC Newtown AFC 7 19
3 Bangor City 1876 FC Bangor City 1876 FC 8 17
4 Mold Alexandra Mold Alexandra 8 15
5 Bala Town Bala Town 7 15
6 Porthmadog Porthmadog 8 14
7 Caersws Caersws 7 13
8 Llanuwchllyn Llanuwchllyn 8 11
9 Rhyl Rhyl 8 10
10 Guilsfield Guilsfield 8 10
11 Buckley Town Buckley Town 8 8
12 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 8 7
13 Holyhead Hotspur Holyhead Hotspur 7 4
14 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 8 4
15 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 7 1
16 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 7 1

What's at stake · North

Top 2 advance to the next round

Penrhyncoch Bala Town
Current #16 #5
→ Penrhyncoch #15 #5
→ Draw #15 #4
→ Bala Town #16 #3

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Penrhyncoch vs Bala Town?
The model gives Penrhyncoch a 31% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 36% for an Bala Town win.
How many goals are expected in Penrhyncoch vs Bala Town?
Expected goals: Penrhyncoch 0.8, Bala Town 2.0 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Penrhyncoch vs Bala Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.06%.