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Penrhyncoch - Mold Alexandra

FAW Championship October 24, 2026 15:30
Penrhyncoch
#16 · 1 pts
vs
Mold Alexandra
#3 · 25 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
13.63%
Win
Penrhyncoch
12.6%
Draw
73.77%
Win
Mold Alexandra
0.37
Expected xG
4.46
Most likely outcome
Mold Alexandra
73.77%
Probability
62.5%
1X2 accuracy · 24 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–3 (10.22%)
1X2 Result
1 14%
X 13%
2 74%
Double Chance
1X 26%
X2 86%
12 87%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 64%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mold Alexandra a 73% win probability, against 12% for a draw and 13% for Penrhyncoch. Expected goals are 0.4 for Penrhyncoch and 4.5 for Mold Alexandra (total 4.8), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–3 at 10.22% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Penrhyncoch have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mold Alexandra.

Season Stats

Penrhyncoch
3W 1D 11L
Mold Alexandra
11W 2D 2L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
2.6
2.5
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
87%
67%
O 2.5
87%
40%
BTTS
73%
7%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
60%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Penrhyncoch
3W 1D 6L · at home
Mold Alexandra
7W 0D 3L · away
1.4
gls/g
2.5
1.7
Conceded
1.9
30%
Win %
70%
40%
Win or Draw
70%
60%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
90%
50%
O 3.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
30%
30%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Penrhyncoch Mold Alexandra →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.8% 3.5% 7.9% 11.8% 13.1% 11.7%
1 0.3% 1.3% 2.9% 4.4% 4.9% 4.4%
2 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8%
3 — — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 — — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch
L Caersws 0–3
L Holyhead Hotspur 3–1
L Llanuwchllyn 4–1
L Gresford Athletic 0–1
L Ruthin Town 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 15%
Mold Alexandra Mold Alexandra
D Denbigh Town 2–2
W Rhyl 2–1
W Brickfield Rangers 0–4
L Newtown AFC 1–2
W Bala Town 2–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch
Attack
10
Defence
29
Form
21
Mold Alexandra Mold Alexandra
Attack
71
Defence
72
Form
76
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Penrhyncoch
1
Draw
0
Mold Alexandra
14 Feb 2026 FAW Championship 3–1
26 Jul 2025 FAW Championship 2–2

North

# Team G Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers Brickfield Rangers 13 31
2 Newtown AFC Newtown AFC 13 30
3 Mold Alexandra Mold Alexandra 13 25
4 Porthmadog Porthmadog 13 24
5 Bala Town Bala Town 14 24
6 Caersws Caersws 13 23
7 Bangor City 1876 FC Bangor City 1876 FC 13 22
8 Guilsfield Guilsfield 14 18
9 Buckley Town Buckley Town 13 15
10 Llanuwchllyn Llanuwchllyn 13 15
11 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 13 14
12 Holyhead Hotspur Holyhead Hotspur 12 14
13 Rhyl Rhyl 13 12
14 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 13 12
15 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 12 7
16 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 13 1

What's at stake · North

Top 2 advance to the next round

Penrhyncoch Mold Alexandra
Current #16 #3
→ Penrhyncoch #16 #3
→ Draw #16 #3
→ Mold Alexandra #16 #3

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra?
The model gives Penrhyncoch a 13% win probability, 12% for a draw, and 73% for an Mold Alexandra win.
How many goals are expected in Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra?
Expected goals: Penrhyncoch 0.4, Mold Alexandra 4.5 (total 4.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra?
0–3 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.22%.