Penybont - Caerau (Ely)
Friendlies Clubs
June 13, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Penybont
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Caerau (Ely)
1.75
1.17
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.0%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Penybont a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Caerau (Ely). Expected goals are 1.8 for Penybont and 1.2 for Caerau (Ely) (total 2.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.0% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Penybont
Caerau (Ely) →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Penybont
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Caerau (Ely)
Attack
34
Defence
74
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Penybont vs Caerau (Ely)?
The model gives Penybont a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Caerau (Ely) win.
How many goals are expected in Penybont vs Caerau (Ely)?
Expected goals: Penybont 1.8, Caerau (Ely) 1.2 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Penybont vs Caerau (Ely)?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.0%.