The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Perugia a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Ostia Mare 32%). The final result was Perugia 1–0 Ostia Mare.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
34.55%
Perugia ←
32.9%
X
32.55%
Ostia
we assigned to the actual result (Perugia)
34.55%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.72
—
—
1.72
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Perugia vs Ostia Mare?
The final score was Perugia 1–0 Ostia Mare.
What did the model predict before Perugia vs Ostia Mare?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Perugia win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Ostia Mare win.