The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Spezia a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Perugia 30%). The final result was Perugia 0–3 Spezia.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
30.28%
Perugia
31.13%
X
38.59%
Spezia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Spezia)
38.59%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.15
—
—
2.02
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Perugia vs Spezia?
The final score was Perugia 0–3 Spezia.
What did the model predict before Perugia vs Spezia?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Perugia win, 31% to a draw, and 38% to an Spezia win.