Skip to main content
← League One
League One · Regular Season - 11 October 17, 2026 13:30 Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
Peterborough
#21 · 10 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Burton Albion
#12 · 17 pts
Owura Edwards (ast. Harry Leonard) 2'
Matthew Garbett 90'+6
30' (ast. Kgagelo Chauke) Charlie Webster
89' Gbemi Arubi
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Burton Albion a 33% win probability (draw 34%, Peterborough 32%). The final result was Peterborough 2–2 Burton Albion. In 2 previous meetings, Peterborough have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Burton Albion.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
16
6
Shots on target
6
2.58
Actual xG
0.91
4
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
8
Corners
4
17
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Owura Edwards · ast. Harry Leonard
2'
30'
ast. Kgagelo Chauke · Charlie Webster⚽
45'
Gbemi Arubi / Matthew Dennis ↕
60'
Sulyman Krubally / F. Delap ↕
↕ Harry Ashfield / Brandon·Singh Khela
66'
↕ Owura Edwards / Matthew Garbett
69'
Carl Johnston
77'
78'
Raphael Borges Rodrigues
Brandon·Singh Khela
79'
↕ Harry Leonard / D. Ormerod
81'
↕ Bolu Shofowoke / Vernon Masara
82'
82'
Emeka Adeile / Raphael Borges Rodrigues ↕
82'
M. O’Mahony / Caylon Vickers ↕
89'
Gbemi Arubi⚽
⚽Matthew Garbett
90'+6
R. Savage
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
32.5%
Peterborough
34.11%
X ←
33.39%
Burton
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 34.11% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Peterborough
0.78
2.58
+1.81
Burton
0.93
0.91
-0.02
Peterborough dominated by xG (2.58 vs 0.91). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Huddersfield Huddersfield 12 25
2 Stockport County Stockport County 13 23
3 Oxford United Oxford United 11 22
4 Bradford Bradford 12 22
5 Plymouth Plymouth 13 22
6 Reading Reading 12 21
7 Cambridge United Cambridge United 13 21
8 Luton Luton 12 20
9 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 12 19
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 11 18
11 Leicester Leicester 12 18
12 Burton Albion Burton Albion 13 17
13 Stevenage Stevenage 11 15
14 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 12 15
15 Wycombe Wycombe 12 15
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 12 14
17 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 12 13
18 Doncaster Doncaster 12 12
19 Notts County Notts County 11 11
20 Blackpool Blackpool 11 11
21 Peterborough Peterborough 12 10
22 Bromley Bromley 12 9
23 Barnsley Barnsley 11 8
24 Wigan Wigan 12 7
Lineups
Peterborough Peterborough 4-2-3-1
1 A. Bass A. Bass G 6.28
14 Harley Mills Harley Mills D 5.68
12 Joshua Feeney Joshua Feeney D 6.45
18 Lucca Mendonça Lucca Mendonça D 6.53
2 C. Johnston C. Johnston D 5.97
45 Harry Ashfield Harry Ashfield 66' M 6.24
4 L. Kelly L. Kelly M 6.74
11 O. Edwards O. Edwards 1 ⚽ 69' M 7.53
10 Ethan Williams Ethan Williams M 6.22
19 Bolu Shofowoke Bolu Shofowoke 82' M 6.08
9 H. Leonard H. Leonard 1 👟 81' F 7.70
Bench
8 B. Khela B. Khela 24' M 6.12
23 C. Andeng Ndi C. Andeng Ndi G 0.00
26 D. Okagbue D. Okagbue D 0.00
7 Harrison Jones Harrison Jones M 0.00
28 M. Garbett M. Garbett 1 ⚽ 21' M 7.55
17 Vernon Masara Vernon Masara 8' F 6.41
Burton Albion Burton Albion 3-4-2-1
34 C. Addai C. Addai G 6.87
16 C. Tilt C. Tilt D 6.16
26 F. Delap F. Delap 60' D 5.78
6 T. Sibbick T. Sibbick D 5.87
24 Harvey Araujo Harvey Araujo M 6.31
12 G. Evans G. Evans M 6.39
4 K. Chauke K. Chauke 1 👟 M 6.51
17 R. Borges Rodrigues R. Borges Rodrigues 82' M 6.16
8 C. Webster C. Webster 1 ⚽ M 7.88
18
82' M 6.38
19 M. Dennis M. Dennis 45' F 6.56
Bench
23 Emeka Adeile Emeka Adeile 8' D 5.99
9 G. Arubi G. Arubi 1 ⚽ 45' F 8.20
32 J. Kean J. Kean G 0.00
20 J. Sraha J. Sraha D 0.00
10 Mark O’Mahony Mark O’Mahony 8' F 6.81
41 Sulyman Krubally Sulyman Krubally 30' M 6.26
14 W. Collar W. Collar M 0.00
Best on the pitch
G. Arubi
G. Arubi
F · Burton
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots · 14 pass
C. Webster
C. Webster
M · Burton
7.88
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
H. Leonard
H. Leonard
F · Peterborough
7.70
1 👟
4 shots · 10 pass
M. Garbett
M. Garbett
M · Peterborough
7.55
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
O. Edwards
O. Edwards
M · Peterborough
7.53
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
C. Addai
C. Addai
G · Burton
6.87
· 39 pass
Peterborough Peterborough — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Bass G 90 6.28 — — 0 30 11% 0 — —
Harley Mills D 90 5.68 — — 2 52 36% 3 — —
Joshua Feeney D 90 6.45 — — 0 70 55% 1 — —
Lucca Mendonça D 90 6.53 — — 0 67 53% 5 — —
C. Johnston D 90 5.97 — — 2 57 44% 0 1 —
Harry Ashfield M 66 6.24 — — 2 24 16% 2 — —
L. Kelly M 90 6.74 — — 2 76 66% 1 — —
O. Edwards M 69 7.53 1 — 2 17 13% 4 — —
Ethan Williams M 90 6.22 — — 3 28 20% 0 — —
Bolu Shofowoke M 82 6.08 — — 0 10 7% 0 — —
H. Leonard F 81 7.70 — 1 4 10 9% 0 — —
B. Khela M 24 6.12 — — 1 13 10% 1 1 —
M. Garbett M 21 7.55 1 — 1 15 13% 0 — —
Vernon Masara F 8 6.41 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Burton Albion Burton Albion — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Addai G 90 6.87 — — 0 39 29% 0 — —
C. Tilt D 90 6.16 — — 0 43 30% 1 — —
F. Delap D 60 5.78 — — 0 37 25% 1 — —
T. Sibbick D 90 5.87 — — 0 32 22% 0 — —
Harvey Araujo M 90 6.31 — — 0 31 17% 3 — —
G. Evans M 90 6.39 — — 0 42 30% 1 — —
K. Chauke M 90 6.51 — 1 1 43 35% 1 — —
R. Borges Rodrigues M 82 6.16 — — 2 17 12% 1 1 —
C. Webster M 90 7.88 1 — 2 37 28% 0 — —
M 82 6.38 — — 4 28 17% 1 — —
M. Dennis F 45 6.56 — — 2 6 4% 0 — —
Emeka Adeile D 8 5.99 — — 0 3 3% 1 — —
G. Arubi F 45 8.20 1 — 5 14 8% 0 — —
Mark O’Mahony F 8 6.81 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
Sulyman Krubally M 30 6.26 — — 0 13 10% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Peterborough vs Burton Albion?
The final score was Peterborough 2–2 Burton Albion.
What did the model predict before Peterborough vs Burton Albion?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Peterborough win, 34% to a draw, and 33% to an Burton Albion win.