B. Woods
50'
H. Leonard
90'+3
60'
(ast. R. Oates)
M. Smith
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mansfield Town a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Peterborough 32%). The final result was Peterborough 2–1 Mansfield Town. In 2 previous meetings, Peterborough have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mansfield Town.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
1.17
Actual xG
1.30
2
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
3
8
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽B. Woods
50'
B. Khela
54'
60'
ast. R. Oates ·
M. Smith⚽
C. Johnston
66'
O. Edwards
/ B. Shofowoke
68'
68'
R. Hendry
/
J. Russell
68'
O. Dodgson
/
S. McLaughlin
69'
E. Hewitt
/
M. Smith
B. Woods
/ C. Conn-Clarke
71'
77'
N. Moriah-Welsh
/
F. Blake-Tracy
79'
R. Oates
L. Kelly
/ H. Jones
80'
E. Williams
/ V. Masara
80'
85'
G. Maris
/
L. Thompson
87'
R. Sweeney
⚽H. Leonard
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
32.71%
Peterborough ←
31.97%
X
35.31%
Mansfield
we assigned to the actual result (Peterborough)
32.71%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
1.17
+0.06
2.04
1.30
-0.74
xG dominance was balanced (1.17 – 1.30).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Bass
71'
G
A. Bass
71'
G
3
E. Weir
71'
D
E. Weir
71'
D
6
T. O'Connor
71'
D
T. O'Connor
71'
D
15
George Nevett
71'
D
George Nevett
71'
D
2
C. Johnston
71'
D
C. Johnston
71'
D
16
B. Woods
1 ⚽
71'
M
B. Woods
1 ⚽
71'
M
4
L. Kelly
71'
M
L. Kelly
71'
M
10
Ethan Williams
71'
M
Ethan Williams
71'
M
8
B. Khela
71'
M
B. Khela
71'
M
11
O. Edwards
68'
M
O. Edwards
68'
M
9
H. Leonard
1 ⚽
71'
F
H. Leonard
1 ⚽
71'
F
Bench
19
Bolu Shofowoke
3'
F
Bolu Shofowoke
3'
F
31
B. Smith
G
B. Smith
G
20
C. Conn-Clarke
M
C. Conn-Clarke
M
14
Harley Mills
D
Harley Mills
D
7
Harrison Jones
M
Harrison Jones
M
33
James Dornelly
D
James Dornelly
D
17
Vernon Masara
F
Vernon Masara
F
1
L. Roberts
71'
G
L. Roberts
71'
G
5
R. Sweeney
71'
D
R. Sweeney
71'
D
20
F. Blake-Tracy
71'
D
F. Blake-Tracy
71'
D
23
A. Oshilaja
71'
D
A. Oshilaja
71'
D
25
L. Reed
71'
M
L. Reed
71'
M
3
S. McLaughlin
68'
M
S. McLaughlin
68'
M
16
L. Thompson
71'
M
L. Thompson
71'
M
13
J. Russell
68'
M
J. Russell
68'
M
7
L. Akins
71'
M
L. Akins
71'
M
14
M. Smith
1 ⚽
69'
F
M. Smith
1 ⚽
69'
F
18
R. Oates
1 👟
71'
F
R. Oates
1 👟
71'
F
Bench
4
E. Hewitt
2'
D
E. Hewitt
2'
D
10
G. Maris
M
G. Maris
M
21
H. Lewis
G
H. Lewis
G
2
K. Knoyle
D
K. Knoyle
D
22
N. Moriah-Welsh
M
N. Moriah-Welsh
M
39
O. Dodgson
3'
D
O. Dodgson
3'
D
24
R. Hendry
3'
M
R. Hendry
3'
M
Best on the pitch
B. Woods
M · Peterborough
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 36 pass
E. Weir
D · Peterborough
7.20
· 42 pass
C. Johnston
D · Peterborough
7.20
· 61 pass
M. Smith
F · Mansfield
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
F. Blake-Tracy
D · Mansfield
7.20
· 15 pass
R. Oates
F · Mansfield
7.00
1 👟
2 shots
· 10 pass
Peterborough — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bass | G | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 11% | — | — | — |
| E. Weir | D | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| T. O'Connor | D | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | — | — | — |
| George Nevett | D | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | — | — |
| C. Johnston | D | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Woods | M | 71 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Kelly | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Ethan Williams | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Khela | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Edwards | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Leonard | F | 71 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Bolu Shofowoke | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Mansfield Town — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Roberts | G | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Sweeney | D | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Blake-Tracy | D | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Oshilaja | D | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Reed | M | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| S. McLaughlin | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Thompson | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| J. Russell | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Akins | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Smith | F | 69 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 9% | — | — | — |
| R. Oates | F | 71 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Hewitt | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Dodgson | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Hendry | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Peterborough vs Mansfield Town?
The final score was Peterborough 2–1 Mansfield Town.
What did the model predict before Peterborough vs Mansfield Town?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Peterborough win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Mansfield Town win.