Liga 1 · Regular Season - 1 July 19, 2026 18:30

Petrolul Ploiesti

#4 · 23 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Dinamo Bucuresti

#1 · 30 pts

R. Martins 39' (pen.)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Bucuresti a 34% win probability (draw 33%, Petrolul Ploiesti 32%). The final result was Petrolul Ploiesti 1–0 Dinamo Bucuresti. In 2 previous meetings, Petrolul Ploiesti have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Dinamo Bucuresti.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

3

1.35

Actual xG

2.16

32%

Possession

68%

3

Corners

6

Match Events

20'

I. Marginean

37'

M. Pascual

⚽R. Martins (pen.)

39'

54'

M. Sivis

↕ K. Ludewig / D. N'Lundulu

57'

↕ M. Ionita / M. Tutu

57'

M. Tutu

58'

58'

O. Hintsa / A. Pop ↕

A. Zaian

65'

R. Jerdea

67'

68'

M. Karamoko / A. Soro ↕

68'

I. Tarba / A. Musi ↕

↕ R. Martins / L. Argesanu

74'

↕ L. Santos Teixeira / A. Chica-Rosa

74'

↕ R. Jerdea / I. Tolea

74'

D. N'Lundulu

82'

82'

R. Radu / R. Oprut ↕

82'

C. Mihai / M. Pascual ↕

Pre-match prediction

32.84%

Petrolul ←

33.05%

X

34.11%

Dinamo

we assigned to the actual result (Petrolul Ploiesti) 32.84% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Petrolul

1.82

1.35

-0.47

Dinamo

1.63

2.16

+0.53

Dinamo Bucuresti dominated by xG (2.16 vs 1.35). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	13	30
2	Universitatea Craiova	13	29
3	Rapid	13	27
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	13	23
5	Universitatea Cluj	13	22
6	FCSB	13	21
7	Farul Constanta	13	20
8	Uta Arad	13	18
9	CFR 1907 Cluj	13	17
10	Corvinul Hunedoara	13	16
11	FC Botosani	13	14
12	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	13	14
13	Arges Pitesti	13	12
14	Oţelul	13	11
15	FC Voluntari	13	8
16	Csikszereda	13	5