Liga 1 · Regular Season - 1 July 19, 2026 18:30

Petrolul Ploiesti

#3 · 15 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Dinamo Bucuresti

#1 · 20 pts

R. Martins 39' (pen.)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Bucuresti a 34% win probability (draw 33%, Petrolul Ploiesti 32%). The final result was Petrolul Ploiesti 1–0 Dinamo Bucuresti. In 2 previous meetings, Petrolul Ploiesti have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Dinamo Bucuresti.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

3

1.35

Actual xG

2.16

32%

Possession

68%

3

Corners

6

Match Events

20'

I. Marginean

37'

M. Pascual

⚽R. Martins (pen.)

39'

54'

M. Sivis

↕ K. Ludewig / D. N'Lundulu

57'

↕ M. Ionita / M. Tutu

57'

M. Tutu

58'

58'

O. Hintsa / A. Pop ↕

A. Zaian

65'

R. Jerdea

67'

68'

M. Karamoko / A. Soro ↕

68'

I. Tarba / A. Musi ↕

↕ R. Martins / L. Argesanu

74'

↕ L. Santos Teixeira / A. Chica-Rosa

74'

↕ R. Jerdea / I. Tolea

74'

D. N'Lundulu

82'

82'

R. Radu / R. Oprut ↕

82'

C. Mihai / M. Pascual ↕

Pre-match prediction

32.84%

Petrolul ←

33.05%

X

34.11%

Dinamo

we assigned to the actual result (Petrolul Ploiesti) 32.84% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Petrolul

1.82

1.35

-0.47

Dinamo

1.63

2.16

+0.53

Dinamo Bucuresti dominated by xG (2.16 vs 1.35). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	9	20
2	Rapid	8	15
3	Petrolul Ploiesti	8	15
4	Universitatea Craiova	8	14
5	Farul Constanta	9	14
6	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	9	13
7	FCSB	8	11
8	FC Botosani	8	10
9	Corvinul Hunedoara	8	10
10	Oţelul	8	10
11	CFR 1907 Cluj	8	10
12	Arges Pitesti	8	10
13	Uta Arad	9	9
14	Universitatea Cluj	7	9
15	FC Voluntari	8	8
16	Csikszereda	9	1