Egyptian Premier League
· Relegation Group - 6
April 24, 2026 16:00
Haras El-Hodod Stadium, Alexandria
70'
M. Emad
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pharco a 31% win probability (draw 41%, El Gouna FC 27%). The final result was Pharco 0–1 El Gouna FC. In 1 previous meetings, Pharco have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for El Gouna FC.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
1
0.72
Actual xG
0.31
0
Saves
3
34%
Possession
66%
4
Corners
4
9
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
M. Fakhri
5'
W. Mostafa
20'
28'
A. Karim
41'
O. El Gazar
Y. El Mallah
45'+5
46'
M. Emad
/
A. Karim
46'
N. El Sayed
/
M. Metawea
46'
M. Mahmoud
/
O. El Gazar
W. Mostafa
/ Halimo
46'
65'
M. Mohsen
/
M. El Nahas
70'
M. Emad⚽
H. Yassin
/ A. Ghouma
75'
M. Fakhri
/ W. R. Medhat
75'
M. Gaber
/ M. Yasser
75'
A. Ndiay
/ M. Ezz
76'
86'
B. El Sayed
/
T. Ojo
90'+1
M. Alaa
Pre-match prediction
31.82%
Pharco
41.18%
X
27.0%
El ←
we assigned to the actual result (El Gouna FC)
27.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.76
0.72
-0.04
0.69
0.31
-0.38
Pharco dominated by xG (0.72 vs 0.31).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
25
G
11
Walid Mostafa
45'
D
Walid Mostafa
45'
D
12
75'
D
33
B. Ndiaye
D
B. Ndiaye
D
44
D
17
Mohamed Gaber
75'
D
Mohamed Gaber
75'
D
7
Karim El Tayeb
M
Karim El Tayeb
M
4
Mohamed Fakhry
75'
M
Mohamed Fakhry
75'
M
13
Yassin El Mallah
50'
M
Yassin El Mallah
50'
M
32
Aliou Ndiay
76'
F
Aliou Ndiay
76'
F
70
Fathy Mohamed
F
Fathy Mohamed
F
Bench
21
Azmi Ghouma
15'
D
Azmi Ghouma
15'
D
20
Halimo
45'
M
Halimo
45'
M
57
Hossam Reda
M
Hossam Reda
M
9
Mahmoud Farahat
M
Mahmoud Farahat
M
22
Mohamed Ezz
14'
F
Mohamed Ezz
14'
F
23
G
28
Mostafa Metawea
45'
D
Mostafa Metawea
45'
D
4
D
5
Saber El Shimi
D
Saber El Shimi
D
2
Abdel Gawad Taalab
D
Abdel Gawad Taalab
D
3
Khaled Ahmed
M
Khaled Ahmed
M
13
O. El Gazar
45'
M
6
Hafiz Ibrahim
M
Hafiz Ibrahim
M
29
Ojo Tolulope
86'
M
Ojo Tolulope
86'
M
90
Adham Karim
45'
F
Adham Karim
45'
F
22
Mohamed El Nahass
65'
F
Mohamed El Nahass
65'
F
Bench
25
Abdallah El Saeed
D
Abdallah El Saeed
D
36
Alpha Turay
M
9
Marwan Mohsen
25'
F
Marwan Mohsen
25'
F
30
Mohamed Emad
45'
M
Mohamed Emad
45'
M
10
Mohamed Mahmoud
45'
M
Mohamed Mahmoud
45'
M
14
Nour El Sayed
45'
M
Nour El Sayed
45'
M
Best on the pitch
Fathy Mohamed
F · Pharco
7.70
· 19 pass
G · El
7.70
· 31 pass
Saber El Shimi
D · El
7.60
1 shots
· 54 pass
Mohamed Emad
M · El
7.30
1 shots
· 18 pass
Hafiz Ibrahim
M · El
7.30
1 shots
· 74 pass
Mohamed Gaber
D · Pharco
7.30
· 19 pass
Pharco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Walid Mostafa | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — | |
| B. Ndiaye | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | 1 | — | — | |
| Mohamed Gaber | D | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Karim El Tayeb | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Fakhry | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Yassin El Mallah | M | 50 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 2 | — | 1 |
| Aliou Ndiay | F | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Fathy Mohamed | F | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Azmi Ghouma | D | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Halimo | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Ezz | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
El Gouna FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | 1 | — | |
| Mostafa Metawea | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 1 | — | — | |
| Saber El Shimi | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Abdel Gawad Taalab | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Khaled Ahmed | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| O. El Gazar | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Hafiz Ibrahim | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 58% | 4 | — | — |
| Ojo Tolulope | M | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Adham Karim | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Mohamed El Nahass | F | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Marwan Mohsen | F | 25 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Emad | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohamed Mahmoud | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Nour El Sayed | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pharco vs El Gouna FC?
The final score was Pharco 0–1 El Gouna FC.
What did the model predict before Pharco vs El Gouna FC?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Pharco win, 41% to a draw, and 27% to an El Gouna FC win.